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While Shareholders of Bank of GuiyangLtd (SHSE:601997) Are in the Red Over the Last Five Years, Underlying Earnings Have Actually Grown

While Shareholders of Bank of GuiyangLtd (SHSE:601997) Are in the Red Over the Last Five Years, Underlying Earnings Have Actually Grown

儘管貴陽銀行有限公司(SHSE: 601997)的股東在過去五年中處於虧損狀態,但基礎收益實際上有所增長
Simply Wall St ·  2023/05/05 19:37

For many, the main point of investing is to generate higher returns than the overall market. But every investor is virtually certain to have both over-performing and under-performing stocks. At this point some shareholders may be questioning their investment in Bank of Guiyang Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:601997), since the last five years saw the share price fall 40%.

對許多人來說,投資的主要目的是創造比整體市場更高的回報。但幾乎可以肯定的是,每個投資者都會同時擁有表現優異和表現不佳的股票。在這一點上,一些股東可能會質疑他們在貴陽銀行股份有限公司。(上海證券交易所:601997),自過去五年股價下跌40%以來。

Although the past week has been more reassuring for shareholders, they're still in the red over the last five years, so let's see if the underlying business has been responsible for the decline.

儘管過去一週對股東來說更令人安心,但他們在過去五年仍處於虧損狀態,所以讓我們看看基礎業務是否對股價下跌負有責任。

Check out our latest analysis for Bank of GuiyangLtd

查看我們對貴陽銀行有限公司的最新分析

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

在他的文章中格雷厄姆和多德斯維爾的超級投資者沃倫·巴菲特描述了股價並不總是理性地反映一家企業的價值。一種不完美但簡單的方法來考慮市場對一家公司的看法是如何改變的,那就是將每股收益(EPS)的變化與股價走勢進行比較。

During the unfortunate half decade during which the share price slipped, Bank of GuiyangLtd actually saw its earnings per share (EPS) improve by 4.3% per year. Given the share price reaction, one might suspect that EPS is not a good guide to the business performance during the period (perhaps due to a one-off loss or gain). Alternatively, growth expectations may have been unreasonable in the past.

在股價下滑的不幸的五年裡,貴陽銀行的每股收益(EPS)實際上以每年4.3%的速度增長。考慮到股價的反應,人們可能會懷疑,每股收益不是這段時間內業務表現的良好指南(可能是因為一次性的虧損或收益)。或者,增長預期在過去可能是不合理的。

By glancing at these numbers, we'd posit that the the market had expectations of much higher growth, five years ago. Looking to other metrics might better explain the share price change.

通過瀏覽這些數位,我們可以假設,五年前,市場曾預期會有更高的增長。看看其他指標可能更好地解釋了股價的變化。

We note that the dividend has remained healthy, so that wouldn't really explain the share price drop. While it's not completely obvious why the share price is down, a closer look at the company's history might help explain it.

我們注意到,股息一直保持健康,因此這並不能真正解釋股價下跌的原因。雖然股價下跌的原因並不完全明顯,但仔細看看該公司的歷史可能有助於解釋這一點。

The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

該公司的收入和收益(隨著時間的推移)如下圖所示(點擊查看具體數位)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SHSE:601997 Earnings and Revenue Growth May 5th 2023
上海證交所:601997收益和收入增長2023年5月5日

It's probably worth noting that the CEO is paid less than the median at similar sized companies. It's always worth keeping an eye on CEO pay, but a more important question is whether the company will grow earnings throughout the years. This free report showing analyst forecasts should help you form a view on Bank of GuiyangLtd

可能值得注意的是,首席執行官的薪酬低於類似規模公司的中位數。關注首席執行官的薪酬總是值得的,但更重要的問題是,該公司是否會在未來幾年實現盈利增長。這免費顯示分析師預測的報告應該有助於您形成對貴陽銀行有限公司的看法

What About Dividends?

那股息呢?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. In the case of Bank of GuiyangLtd, it has a TSR of -27% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

在考察投資回報時,重要的是要考慮到股東總回報(TSR)和股價回報。TSR是一種回報計算,計入了現金股息的價值(假設收到的任何股息都進行了再投資),以及任何貼現融資和剝離的計算價值。可以說,TSR更全面地描繪了一隻股票產生的回報。以貴陽銀行股份有限公司為例,過去5年的總資產收益率為-27%。這超過了我們之前提到的它的股價回報。這在很大程度上是其股息支付的結果!

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

Bank of GuiyangLtd shareholders are up 3.0% for the year (even including dividends). Unfortunately this falls short of the market return. On the bright side, that's still a gain, and it is certainly better than the yearly loss of about 5% endured over half a decade. It could well be that the business is stabilizing. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Bank of GuiyangLtd better, we need to consider many other factors. To that end, you should be aware of the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Bank of GuiyangLtd .

貴陽銀行的股東今年上漲了3.0%(甚至包括股息)。不幸的是,這與市場回報率相去甚遠。從好的方面來看,這仍然是一種收益,而且肯定比過去五年來每年約5%的損失要好。這很可能是因為業務正在企穩。跟蹤股價的長期表現總是很有趣的。但要更好地理解貴陽銀行,我們還需要考慮許多其他因素。為此,您應該意識到2個警告標誌我們發現了貴陽銀行有限公司。

For those who like to find winning investments this free list of growing companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.

對於那些想要找到贏得投資免費最近有內幕收購的不斷增長的公司名單可能就是合適的選擇。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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