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Earnings Release: Here's Why Analysts Cut Their Dime Community Bancshares, Inc. (NASDAQ:DCOM) Price Target To US$36.40
Earnings Release: Here's Why Analysts Cut Their Dime Community Bancshares, Inc. (NASDAQ:DCOM) Price Target To US$36.40
Dime Community Bancshares, Inc. (NASDAQ:DCOM) shareholders are probably feeling a little disappointed, since its shares fell 9.3% to US$29.76 in the week after its latest annual results. Revenues came in 2.2% below expectations, at US$413m. Statutory earnings per share were relatively better off, with a per-share profit of US$3.73 being roughly in line with analyst estimates. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. With this in mind, we've gathered the latest statutory forecasts to see what the analysts are expecting for next year.
View our latest analysis for Dime Community Bancshares
Taking into account the latest results, the current consensus from Dime Community Bancshares' five analysts is for revenues of US$436.0m in 2023, which would reflect a reasonable 5.7% increase on its sales over the past 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are forecast to decrease 2.7% to US$3.67 in the same period. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of US$451.8m and earnings per share (EPS) of US$4.03 in 2023. It's pretty clear that pessimism has reared its head after the latest results, leading to a weaker revenue outlook and a minor downgrade to earnings per share estimates.
The consensus price target fell 6.7% to US$36.40, with the weaker earnings outlook clearly leading valuation estimates. There's another way to think about price targets though, and that's to look at the range of price targets put forward by analysts, because a wide range of estimates could suggest a diverse view on possible outcomes for the business. Currently, the most bullish analyst values Dime Community Bancshares at US$42.00 per share, while the most bearish prices it at US$34.00. The narrow spread of estimates could suggest that the business' future is relatively easy to value, or thatthe analysts have a strong view on its prospects.
Looking at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can make sense of these forecasts is to see how they measure up against both past performance and industry growth estimates. It's pretty clear that there is an expectation that Dime Community Bancshares' revenue growth will slow down substantially, with revenues to the end of 2023 expected to display 5.7% growth on an annualised basis. This is compared to a historical growth rate of 26% over the past five years. Juxtapose this against the other companies in the industry with analyst coverage, which are forecast to grow their revenues (in aggregate) 6.5% annually. Factoring in the forecast slowdown in growth, it looks like Dime Community Bancshares is forecast to grow at about the same rate as the wider industry.
The Bottom Line
The biggest concern is that the analysts reduced their earnings per share estimates, suggesting business headwinds could lay ahead for Dime Community Bancshares. Sadly, they also downgraded their sales forecasts, but the business is still expected to grow at roughly the same rate as the industry itself. The consensus price target fell measurably, with the analysts seemingly not reassured by the latest results, leading to a lower estimate of Dime Community Bancshares' future valuation.
With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. We have forecasts for Dime Community Bancshares going out to 2024, and you can see them free on our platform here.
However, before you get too enthused, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Dime Community Bancshares that you should be aware of.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
DIME社區銀行股份有限公司。納斯達克(Youku)股東可能感到有點失望,因為在公佈最新年度業績後的一週裡,該公司股價下跌9.3%,至29.76美元。營收為4.13億美元,低於預期的2.2%。法定每股收益相對較好,每股收益為3.73美元,與分析師的預期大致一致。盈利對投資者來說是一個重要的時刻,因為他們可以跟蹤一家公司的表現,看看分析師對明年的預測,以及對該公司的情緒是否發生了變化。考慮到這一點,我們收集了最新的法定預測,看看分析師對明年的預期是什麼。
查看我們對DIME Community BancShares的最新分析
考慮到最新的業績,DIME Community BancShares的五位分析師目前的共識是,2023年的收入將達到4.36億美元,這將反映出其在過去12個月的銷售額合理增長5.7%。預計同期法定每股收益將下降2.7%,至3.67美元。在本報告發布前,分析師們一直在預測2023年的收入為4.518億美元,每股收益(EPS)為4.03美元。很明顯,在最新財報公佈後,悲觀情緒已經抬頭,導致營收前景黯淡,每股收益預期略有下調。
共識目標價下跌6.7%,至36.40美元,較弱的盈利前景顯然領先於估值預期。不過,還有另一種方式來考慮價格目標,那就是看看分析師提出的價格目標的範圍,因為廣泛的估計可能表明,對企業可能出現的結果有不同的看法。目前,最樂觀的分析師對DIME Community BancShares的估值為每股42.00美元,而最悲觀的分析師將其估值為34.00美元。估值之間的狹窄差距可能表明,該公司的未來相對容易估值,或者分析師對其前景有很強的看法。
從現在的大局來看,我們能夠理解這些預測的方法之一,是看看它們如何與過去的業績和行業增長預期相比較。很明顯,人們預計DIME Community BancShares的收入增長將大幅放緩,截至2023年底的收入預計將按年率計算增長5.7%。相比之下,過去五年的歷史增長率為26%。將這一點與分析師覆蓋的行業內其他公司進行比較,預計這些公司的收入(總計)每年將增長6.5%。考慮到增長預期放緩,DIME Community BancShares預計將以與整個行業大致相同的速度增長。
底線
最大的擔憂是,分析師們下調了每股收益預期,這表明未來可能會出現業務逆風。遺憾的是,他們也下調了銷售預期,但預計該業務的增長速度仍將與行業本身大致相同。共識目標價大幅下降,分析師似乎對最新結果並不放心,導致對DIME Community BancShares未來估值的估計較低。
話雖如此,該公司盈利的長期軌跡比明年重要得多。我們對2024年之前的DIME社區銀行股進行了預測,你可以在我們的平臺上免費看到。
然而,在你太興奮之前,我們已經發現1個一角社區銀行股的警告標誌這一點你應該知道。
對這篇文章有什麼反饋嗎?擔心內容嗎?保持聯繫直接與我們聯繫。或者,也可以給編輯組發電子郵件,地址是implywallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉。
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moomoo是Moomoo Technologies Inc.公司提供的金融資訊和交易應用程式。
在美國,moomoo上的投資產品和服務由Moomoo Financial Inc.提供,一家受美國證券交易委員會(SEC)監管的持牌主體。 Moomoo Financial Inc.是金融業監管局(FINRA)和證券投資者保護公司(SIPC)的成員。
在新加坡,moomoo上的投資產品和服務是通過Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.提供,該公司受新加坡金融管理局(MAS)監管(牌照號碼︰CMS101000) ,持有資本市場服務牌照 (CMS) ,持有財務顧問豁免(Exempt Financial Adviser)資質。本內容未經新加坡金融管理局的審查。
在澳大利亞,moomoo上的金融產品和服務是通過Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd提供,該公司是受澳大利亞證券和投資委員會(ASIC)監管的澳大利亞金融服務許可機構(AFSL No. 224663)。請閱讀並理解我們的《金融服務指南》、《條款與條件》、《隱私政策》和其他披露文件,這些文件可在我們的網站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中獲取。
在加拿大,透過moomoo應用程式提供的僅限訂單執行的券商服務由Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.提供,並受加拿大投資監管機構(CIRO)監管。
在馬來西亞,moomoo上的投資產品和服務是透過Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,該公司受馬來西亞證券監督委員會(SC)監管(牌照號碼︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有資本市場服務牌照 (CMSL) 。本內容未經馬來西亞證券監督委員會的審查。
Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.,Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd., 是關聯公司。
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