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Investors in Tyson Foods (NYSE:TSN) Have Unfortunately Lost 13% Over the Last Three Years
Investors in Tyson Foods (NYSE:TSN) Have Unfortunately Lost 13% Over the Last Three Years
For many investors, the main point of stock picking is to generate higher returns than the overall market. But its virtually certain that sometimes you will buy stocks that fall short of the market average returns. Unfortunately, that's been the case for longer term Tyson Foods, Inc. (NYSE:TSN) shareholders, since the share price is down 18% in the last three years, falling well short of the market return of around 36%. The share price has dropped 23% in three months.
With that in mind, it's worth seeing if the company's underlying fundamentals have been the driver of long term performance, or if there are some discrepancies.
See our latest analysis for Tyson Foods
There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.
Although the share price is down over three years, Tyson Foods actually managed to grow EPS by 23% per year in that time. This is quite a puzzle, and suggests there might be something temporarily buoying the share price. Or else the company was over-hyped in the past, and so its growth has disappointed.
Since the change in EPS doesn't seem to correlate with the change in share price, it's worth taking a look at other metrics.
We note that, in three years, revenue has actually grown at a 7.4% annual rate, so that doesn't seem to be a reason to sell shares. It's probably worth investigating Tyson Foods further; while we may be missing something on this analysis, there might also be an opportunity.
You can see how earnings and revenue have changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).
NYSE:TSN Earnings and Revenue Growth October 6th 2022Tyson Foods is a well known stock, with plenty of analyst coverage, suggesting some visibility into future growth. So it makes a lot of sense to check out what analysts think Tyson Foods will earn in the future (free analyst consensus estimates)
What About Dividends?
When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. In the case of Tyson Foods, it has a TSR of -13% for the last 3 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!
A Different Perspective
Although it hurts that Tyson Foods returned a loss of 13% in the last twelve months, the broader market was actually worse, returning a loss of 18%. Of course, the long term returns are far more important and the good news is that over five years, the stock has returned 1.2% for each year. In the best case scenario the last year is just a temporary blip on the journey to a brighter future. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Take risks, for example - Tyson Foods has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.
If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on US exchanges.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對於許多投資者來説,選股的主要着眼點是產生高於整體市場的回報。但幾乎可以肯定的是,有時你會買入低於市場平均回報率的股票。不幸的是,從長遠來看,情況就是這樣泰森食品公司(紐約證券交易所股票代碼:TSN)的股東,因為股價在過去三年中下跌了18%,遠遠低於約36%的市場回報率。該公司股價在三個月內下跌了23%。
考慮到這一點,值得關注的是,該公司的潛在基本面是長期業績的驅動力,還是存在一些差異。
查看我們對泰森食品的最新分析
不可否認,市場有時是有效的,但價格並不總是反映潛在的商業表現。評估圍繞一家公司的情緒變化的一個有缺陷但合理的方法是將每股收益(EPS)與股價進行比較。
儘管泰森食品的股價在三年多的時間裏下跌了,但實際上在這段時間裏,它的每股收益以每年23%的速度增長。這是一個相當令人費解的問題,表明可能有什麼因素暫時提振了股價。或者,該公司過去被過度炒作,因此其增長令人失望。
由於每股收益的變化似乎與股價的變化沒有相關性,因此值得看看其他指標。
我們注意到,在三年的時間裏,收入實際上以7.4%的年率增長,因此這似乎不是出售股票的理由。泰森食品可能值得進一步調查;雖然我們在這一分析上可能遺漏了一些東西,但也可能存在機會。
您可以在下圖中看到收益和收入隨時間的變化(單擊圖表查看確切的值)。
紐約證券交易所:TSN收益和收入增長2022年10月6日泰森食品是一隻知名的股票,有大量的分析師報道,這表明對未來的增長有一定的可見性。因此,看看分析師對泰森食品未來收入的看法是很有意義的(自由分析師一致估計)。
那股息呢?
在考察投資回報時,重要的是要考慮到股東總回報(TSR)和股價回報。TSR是一種回報計算,計入了現金股息的價值(假設收到的任何股息都進行了再投資),以及任何貼現融資和剝離的計算價值。可以説,TSR更全面地描繪了一隻股票產生的回報。就泰森食品而言,它在過去3年的總資產收益率為-13%。這超過了我們之前提到的它的股價回報。這在很大程度上是其股息支付的結果!
不同的視角
儘管泰森食品在過去12個月裏虧損了13%,令人痛心,但大盤實際上更糟糕,虧損了18%。當然,長期回報要重要得多,好消息是,在過去五年中,該股的年回報率為1.2%。在最好的情況下,去年只是通向更光明未來的旅途中的一個暫時的轉折點。雖然值得考慮市場狀況對股價可能產生的不同影響,但還有其他更重要的因素。例如,以風險為例-泰森食品1個警告標誌我們認為你應該意識到。
如果你更願意看看另一家公司--一家財務狀況可能更好的公司--那麼不要錯過這一點免費已證明自己能夠實現盈利增長的公司名單。
請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在美國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。
對這篇文章有什麼反饋嗎?擔心內容嗎? 保持聯繫直接與我們聯繫。或者,也可以給編輯組發電子郵件,地址是implywallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉。
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moomoo是Moomoo Technologies Inc.公司提供的金融資訊和交易應用程式。
在美國,moomoo上的投資產品和服務由Moomoo Financial Inc.提供,一家受美國證券交易委員會(SEC)監管的持牌主體。 Moomoo Financial Inc.是金融業監管局(FINRA)和證券投資者保護公司(SIPC)的成員。
在新加坡,moomoo上的投資產品和服務是通過Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.提供,該公司受新加坡金融管理局(MAS)監管(牌照號碼︰CMS101000) ,持有資本市場服務牌照 (CMS) ,持有財務顧問豁免(Exempt Financial Adviser)資質。本內容未經新加坡金融管理局的審查。
在澳大利亞,moomoo上的金融產品和服務是通過Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd提供,該公司是受澳大利亞證券和投資委員會(ASIC)監管的澳大利亞金融服務許可機構(AFSL No. 224663)。請閱讀並理解我們的《金融服務指南》、《條款與條件》、《隱私政策》和其他披露文件,這些文件可在我們的網站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中獲取。
在加拿大,透過moomoo應用程式提供的僅限訂單執行的券商服務由Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.提供,並受加拿大投資監管機構(CIRO)監管。
在馬來西亞,moomoo上的投資產品和服務是透過Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,該公司受馬來西亞證券監督委員會(SC)監管(牌照號碼︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有資本市場服務牌照 (CMSL) 。本內容未經馬來西亞證券監督委員會的審查。
Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.,Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd., 是關聯公司。
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