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Here's Why Vail Resorts (NYSE:MTN) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly
Here's Why Vail Resorts (NYSE:MTN) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Vail Resorts, Inc. (NYSE:MTN) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for Vail Resorts
What Is Vail Resorts's Net Debt?
As you can see below, Vail Resorts had US$2.38b of debt at July 2022, down from US$2.86b a year prior. However, it does have US$1.11b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about US$1.27b.
NYSE:MTN Debt to Equity History October 2nd 2022How Healthy Is Vail Resorts' Balance Sheet?
The latest balance sheet data shows that Vail Resorts had liabilities of US$1.11b due within a year, and liabilities of US$3.36b falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$1.11b and US$383.4m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling US$2.98b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
This deficit isn't so bad because Vail Resorts is worth US$8.69b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
Vail Resorts's net debt is sitting at a very reasonable 1.5 times its EBITDA, while its EBIT covered its interest expense just 4.0 times last year. While that doesn't worry us too much, it does suggest the interest payments are somewhat of a burden. Importantly, Vail Resorts grew its EBIT by 97% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Vail Resorts's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the last three years, Vail Resorts actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. There's nothing better than incoming cash when it comes to staying in your lenders' good graces.
Our View
Happily, Vail Resorts's impressive conversion of EBIT to free cash flow implies it has the upper hand on its debt. But, on a more sombre note, we are a little concerned by its interest cover. Taking all this data into account, it seems to us that Vail Resorts takes a pretty sensible approach to debt. While that brings some risk, it can also enhance returns for shareholders. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 2 warning signs with Vail Resorts , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
伯克希爾哈撒韋的外部基金經理理想汽車·盧直言不諱地説,最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受永久性的資本損失。當我們考慮一家公司的風險有多大時,我們總是喜歡看它對債務的使用,因為債務過重可能導致破產。重要的是維爾度假村,Inc.(紐約證券交易所代碼:MTN)確實揹負着債務。但這筆債務對股東來説是一個擔憂嗎?
債務在什麼時候是危險的?
債務幫助企業,直到企業難以償還債務,無論是用新資本還是用自由現金流。如果情況真的變得很糟糕,貸款人可以控制業務。然而,一種更常見(但仍令人痛苦)的情景是,它不得不以低價籌集新的股本,從而永久性地稀釋股東。然而,通過取代稀釋,對於需要資本投資於高回報率增長的企業來説,債務可以成為一個非常好的工具。在考慮一家公司的債務水平時,第一步是同時考慮其現金和債務。
查看我們對Vail Resorts的最新分析
Vail Resorts的淨債務是多少?
如下所示,截至2022年7月,Vail Resorts的債務為23.8億美元,低於一年前的28.6億美元。然而,它確實有11.1億美元的現金來抵消這一點,導致淨債務約為12.7億美元。
紐約證券交易所:MTN債轉股歷史2022年10月2日Vail Resorts的資產負債表健康程度如何?
最新的資產負債表數據顯示,Vail Resorts有11.1億美元的債務在一年內到期,33.6億美元的債務在一年後到期。另一方面,它有11.1億美元的現金和價值3.834億美元的應收賬款在一年內到期。因此,它的負債總額比現金和近期應收賬款加起來還要多29.8億美元。
這一赤字並不是那麼糟糕,因為Vail Resorts的價值為86.9億美元,因此如果需要的話,可能會籌集到足夠的資本來支撐其資產負債表。但我們肯定希望密切關注其債務帶來太大風險的跡象。
為了評估一家公司的債務相對於它的收益,我們計算它的淨債務除以它的利息、税項、折舊和攤銷前收益(EBITDA)和它的利息和税前收益(EBIT)除以它的利息支出(它的利息覆蓋)。這種方法的優點是,我們既考慮了債務的絕對數量(淨債務與EBITDA之比),也考慮了與債務相關的實際利息支出(及其利息覆蓋率)。
Vail Resorts的淨債務相當於其EBITDA的1.5倍,非常合理,而去年其EBIT僅覆蓋了利息支出的4.0倍。雖然這並不讓我們太擔心,但它確實表明利息支付在某種程度上是一種負擔。重要的是,Vail Resorts在過去12個月中息税前利潤增長了97%,這一增長將使其更容易處理債務。當你分析債務時,資產負債表顯然是你關注的領域。但未來的收益將決定Vail Resorts未來保持健康資產負債表的能力,這是最重要的。因此,如果你想看看專業人士的想法,你可能會發現這份關於分析師利潤預測的免費報告很有趣。
但我們的最後考慮也很重要,因為一家公司不能用賬面利潤來償還債務;它需要冷硬現金。因此,合乎邏輯的一步是看看息税前利潤與實際自由現金流相匹配的比例。在過去的三年裏,Vail Resorts實際上產生了比息税前利潤更多的自由現金流。説到贏得貸款人的好感,沒有什麼比收到的現金更好的了。
我們的觀點
令人高興的是,Vail Resorts令人印象深刻的息税前利潤轉換為自由現金流意味着它在債務上佔據了上風。但是,更悲觀的是,我們有點擔心它的利息覆蓋面。考慮到所有這些數據,在我們看來,Vail Resorts對債務採取了相當明智的做法。雖然這會帶來一些風險,但也可以提高股東的回報。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表顯然是一個起點。但歸根結底,每家公司都可能包含存在於資產負債表之外的風險。我們已經確定了兩個警告信號與Vail Resorts合作,瞭解它們應該是您投資過程的一部分。
如果你對一家增長迅速、資產負債表堅如磐石的公司更感興趣,那麼請立即查看我們的淨現金成長型股票清單。
對這篇文章有什麼反饋嗎?擔心內容嗎? 保持聯繫直接與我們聯繫。或者,也可以給編輯組發電子郵件,地址是implywallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉。
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moomoo是Moomoo Technologies Inc.公司提供的金融資訊和交易應用程式。
在美國,moomoo上的投資產品和服務由Moomoo Financial Inc.提供,一家受美國證券交易委員會(SEC)監管的持牌主體。 Moomoo Financial Inc.是金融業監管局(FINRA)和證券投資者保護公司(SIPC)的成員。
在新加坡,moomoo上的投資產品和服務是通過Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.提供,該公司受新加坡金融管理局(MAS)監管(牌照號碼︰CMS101000) ,持有資本市場服務牌照 (CMS) ,持有財務顧問豁免(Exempt Financial Adviser)資質。本內容未經新加坡金融管理局的審查。
在澳大利亞,moomoo上的金融產品和服務是通過Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd提供,該公司是受澳大利亞證券和投資委員會(ASIC)監管的澳大利亞金融服務許可機構(AFSL No. 224663)。請閱讀並理解我們的《金融服務指南》、《條款與條件》、《隱私政策》和其他披露文件,這些文件可在我們的網站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中獲取。
在加拿大,透過moomoo應用程式提供的僅限訂單執行的券商服務由Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.提供,並受加拿大投資監管機構(CIRO)監管。
在馬來西亞,moomoo上的投資產品和服務是透過Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,該公司受馬來西亞證券監督委員會(SC)監管(牌照號碼︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有資本市場服務牌照 (CMSL) 。本內容未經馬來西亞證券監督委員會的審查。
Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.,Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd., 是關聯公司。
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