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Earnings Are Growing at National Retail Properties (NYSE:NNN) but Shareholders Still Don't Like Its Prospects
Earnings Are Growing at National Retail Properties (NYSE:NNN) but Shareholders Still Don't Like Its Prospects
For many investors, the main point of stock picking is to generate higher returns than the overall market. But the risk of stock picking is that you will likely buy under-performing companies. We regret to report that long term National Retail Properties, Inc. (NYSE:NNN) shareholders have had that experience, with the share price dropping 28% in three years, versus a market return of about 28%. Even worse, it's down 11% in about a month, which isn't fun at all. But this could be related to poor market conditions -- stocks are down 11% in the same time.
With the stock having lost 7.8% in the past week, it's worth taking a look at business performance and seeing if there's any red flags.
Check out our latest analysis for National Retail Properties
To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).
Although the share price is down over three years, National Retail Properties actually managed to grow EPS by 3.6% per year in that time. This is quite a puzzle, and suggests there might be something temporarily buoying the share price. Alternatively, growth expectations may have been unreasonable in the past.
It looks to us like the market was probably too optimistic around growth three years ago. However, taking a look at other business metrics might shed a bit more light on the share price action.
Given the healthiness of the dividend payments, we doubt that they've concerned the market. It's good to see that National Retail Properties has increased its revenue over the last three years. But it's not clear to us why the share price is down. It might be worth diving deeper into the fundamentals, lest an opportunity goes begging.
You can see below how earnings and revenue have changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).
NYSE:NNN Earnings and Revenue Growth September 27th 2022We're pleased to report that the CEO is remunerated more modestly than most CEOs at similarly capitalized companies. It's always worth keeping an eye on CEO pay, but a more important question is whether the company will grow earnings throughout the years. So we recommend checking out this free report showing consensus forecasts
What About Dividends?
It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. As it happens, National Retail Properties' TSR for the last 3 years was -16%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!
A Different Perspective
Although it hurts that National Retail Properties returned a loss of 2.0% in the last twelve months, the broader market was actually worse, returning a loss of 23%. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 4%, each year, over five years. It could be that the business is just facing some short term problems, but shareholders should keep a close eye on the fundamentals. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for National Retail Properties (1 shouldn't be ignored) that you should be aware of.
For those who like to find winning investments this free list of growing companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on US exchanges.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對於許多投資者來説,選股的主要着眼點是產生高於整體市場的回報。但選股的風險是,你可能會買入表現不佳的公司。我們很遺憾地報告這一長期的國家零售地產公司(紐約證券交易所股票代碼:NNN)的股東有過這樣的經歷,股價在三年內下跌了28%,而市場回報率約為28%。更糟糕的是,它在大約一個月的時間裏下跌了11%,這一點也不有趣。但這可能與糟糕的市場狀況有關--股市在同一時期下跌了11%。
鑑於該公司股價在過去一週下跌了7.8%,我們有必要看看公司的業績,看看是否有任何危險信號。
查看我們對National Retail Properties的最新分析
用巴菲特的話説,“船隻將在世界各地航行,但平坦的地球協會將蓬勃發展。市場上的價格和價值之間將繼續存在巨大的差異……”考察市場情緒如何隨時間變化的一種方法是觀察一家公司的股價和每股收益(EPS)之間的相互作用。
儘管股價在三年多的時間裏下跌,但在此期間,National Retail Properties實際上實現了每股收益3.6%的增長。這是一個相當令人費解的問題,表明可能有什麼因素暫時提振了股價。或者,增長預期在過去可能是不合理的。
在我們看來,三年前市場對增長可能過於樂觀了。然而,看看其他商業指標可能會更好地揭示股價走勢。
考慮到股息支付的健康程度,我們懷疑它們是否引起了市場的擔憂。很高興看到National Retail Properties在過去三年裏增加了收入。但我們不清楚為什麼股價會下跌。或許有必要更深入地探究基本面,以免出現乞求的機會。
你可以在下面看到收入和收入是如何隨着時間的推移而變化的(點擊圖片可以發現確切的價值)。
紐約證券交易所:NNN收益和收入增長2022年9月27日我們很高興地報告,這位首席執行官的薪酬比類似資本公司的大多數首席執行官都要低。關注首席執行官的薪酬總是值得的,但更重要的問題是,該公司是否會在未來幾年實現盈利增長。因此,我們建議您查看以下內容免費顯示共識預測的報告
那股息呢?
重要的是要考慮任何給定股票的總股東回報以及股價回報。TSR包括任何剝離或貼現融資的價值,以及任何股息,基於股息再投資的假設。公平地説,TSR為支付股息的股票提供了更完整的圖景。碰巧的是,National Retail Properties最近三年的TSR為-16%,超過了前面提到的股價回報。而且,猜測股息支付在很大程度上解釋了這種差異是沒有好處的!
不同的視角
儘管National Retail Properties在過去12個月裏損失了2.0%,令人痛心,但大盤實際上更糟糕,損失了23%。較長期的投資者不會如此沮喪,因為他們在五年內每年會獲得4%的收益。可能該業務只是面臨一些短期問題,但股東應密切關注基本面。我發現,把股價作為衡量企業業績的長期指標是非常有趣的。但為了真正獲得洞察力,我們還需要考慮其他信息。例如,我們已經確定2全國零售物業警示標誌(1不應該被忽視),這是你應該知道的。
對於那些想要找到贏得投資這免費最近有內幕收購的不斷增長的公司名單可能就是合適的選擇。
請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在美國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。
對這篇文章有什麼反饋嗎?擔心內容嗎? 保持聯繫直接與我們聯繫。或者,也可以給編輯組發電子郵件,地址是implywallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉。
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Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.,Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd., 是關聯公司。
風險及免責聲明
moomoo是Moomoo Technologies Inc.公司提供的金融資訊和交易應用程式。
在美國,moomoo上的投資產品和服務由Moomoo Financial Inc.提供,一家受美國證券交易委員會(SEC)監管的持牌主體。 Moomoo Financial Inc.是金融業監管局(FINRA)和證券投資者保護公司(SIPC)的成員。
在新加坡,moomoo上的投資產品和服務是通過Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.提供,該公司受新加坡金融管理局(MAS)監管(牌照號碼︰CMS101000) ,持有資本市場服務牌照 (CMS) ,持有財務顧問豁免(Exempt Financial Adviser)資質。本內容未經新加坡金融管理局的審查。
在澳大利亞,moomoo上的金融產品和服務是通過Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd提供,該公司是受澳大利亞證券和投資委員會(ASIC)監管的澳大利亞金融服務許可機構(AFSL No. 224663)。請閱讀並理解我們的《金融服務指南》、《條款與條件》、《隱私政策》和其他披露文件,這些文件可在我們的網站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中獲取。
在加拿大,透過moomoo應用程式提供的僅限訂單執行的券商服務由Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.提供,並受加拿大投資監管機構(CIRO)監管。
在馬來西亞,moomoo上的投資產品和服務是透過Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,該公司受馬來西亞證券監督委員會(SC)監管(牌照號碼︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有資本市場服務牌照 (CMSL) 。本內容未經馬來西亞證券監督委員會的審查。
Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.,Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd., 是關聯公司。
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