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2.5% Earnings Growth Over 5 Years Has Not Materialized Into Gains for LyondellBasell Industries (NYSE:LYB) Shareholders Over That Period
2.5% Earnings Growth Over 5 Years Has Not Materialized Into Gains for LyondellBasell Industries (NYSE:LYB) Shareholders Over That Period
In order to justify the effort of selecting individual stocks, it's worth striving to beat the returns from a market index fund. But every investor is virtually certain to have both over-performing and under-performing stocks. At this point some shareholders may be questioning their investment in LyondellBasell Industries N.V. (NYSE:LYB), since the last five years saw the share price fall 28%. Furthermore, it's down 18% in about a quarter. That's not much fun for holders.
Given the past week has been tough on shareholders, let's investigate the fundamentals and see what we can learn.
Check out our latest analysis for LyondellBasell Industries
While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.
During the unfortunate half decade during which the share price slipped, LyondellBasell Industries actually saw its earnings per share (EPS) improve by 13% per year. Given the share price reaction, one might suspect that EPS is not a good guide to the business performance during the period (perhaps due to a one-off loss or gain). Or possibly, the market was previously very optimistic, so the stock has disappointed, despite improving EPS.
Because of the sharp contrast between the EPS growth rate and the share price growth, we're inclined to look to other metrics to understand the changing market sentiment around the stock.
The steady dividend doesn't really explain why the share price is down. While it's not completely obvious why the share price is down, a closer look at the company's history might help explain it.
The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).
NYSE:LYB Earnings and Revenue Growth September 27th 2022We like that insiders have been buying shares in the last twelve months. Having said that, most people consider earnings and revenue growth trends to be a more meaningful guide to the business. So we recommend checking out this free report showing consensus forecasts
What About Dividends?
When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. In the case of LyondellBasell Industries, it has a TSR of -5.2% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!
A Different Perspective
While it's never nice to take a loss, LyondellBasell Industries shareholders can take comfort that , including dividends,their trailing twelve month loss of 17% wasn't as bad as the market loss of around 23%. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it's worse than the annualised loss of 1.0% over the last half decade. Whilst Baron Rothschild does tell the investor "buy when there's blood in the streets, even if the blood is your own", buyers would need to examine the data carefully to be comfortable that the business itself is sound. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with LyondellBasell Industries (at least 1 which is significant) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
LyondellBasell Industries is not the only stock insiders are buying. So take a peek at this free list of growing companies with insider buying.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on US exchanges.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
為了證明挑選個股的努力是合理的,值得努力超越市場指數基金的回報。但幾乎可以肯定的是,每個投資者都會同時擁有表現優異和表現不佳的股票。在這一點上,一些股東可能會質疑他們在LyondellBasell Industries N.V.(紐約證券交易所代碼:LYB),自過去五年以來,股價下跌了28%。此外,它在大約四分之一的時間裏下跌了18%。對於持有者來説,這並不是什麼樂趣。
鑑於過去一週對股東的態度一直很嚴峻,讓我們調查一下基本面,看看我們能學到什麼。
查看我們對LyondellBasell Industries的最新分析
雖然市場是一種強大的定價機制,但股價反映的是投資者情緒,而不僅僅是潛在的企業表現。通過比較每股收益(EPS)和股價隨時間的變化,我們可以感受到投資者對一家公司的態度隨着時間的推移發生了怎樣的變化。
不幸的是,在股價下滑的五年裏,LyondellBasell Industries的每股收益(EPS)實際上以每年13%的速度增長。考慮到股價的反應,人們可能會懷疑,每股收益不是這段時間內業務表現的良好指南(可能是因為一次性的虧損或收益)。也有可能,此前市場非常樂觀,因此儘管每股收益有所改善,但該股仍令人失望。
由於每股收益增長率和股價增長率之間的鮮明對比,我們傾向於通過其他指標來了解圍繞股票不斷變化的市場情緒。
穩定的股息並不能真正解釋股價下跌的原因。雖然股價下跌的原因並不完全明顯,但仔細看看該公司的歷史可能有助於解釋這一點。
該公司的收入和收益(隨着時間的推移)如下圖所示(點擊查看具體數字)。
紐約證券交易所:LYB收益和收入增長2022年9月27日我們喜歡的是,內部人士在過去12個月一直在買入股票。話雖如此,大多數人認為盈利和收入增長趨勢是更有意義的業務指南。因此,我們建議您查看以下內容免費顯示共識預測的報告
那股息呢?
在考察投資回報時,重要的是要考慮到股東總回報(TSR)和股價回報。TSR是一種回報計算,計入了現金股息的價值(假設收到的任何股息都進行了再投資),以及任何貼現融資和剝離的計算價值。因此,對於支付豐厚股息的公司來説,TSR往往比股價回報高得多。以LyondellBasell Industries為例,它在過去5年的TSR為-5.2%。這超過了我們之前提到的它的股價回報。這在很大程度上是其股息支付的結果!
不同的視角
雖然虧損從來都不是好事,但LyondellBasell Industries的股東們可以感到欣慰的是,包括股息在內,他們過去12個月的17%的虧損並沒有市場上23%左右的虧損那麼糟糕。不幸的是,去年的表現可能預示着尚未解決的挑戰,因為它比過去五年1.0%的年化損失還要糟糕。雖然羅斯柴爾德男爵確實會告訴投資者“在街上有血的時候買入,即使血是你自己的”,但買家需要仔細檢查數據,才能確信業務本身是穩健的。雖然值得考慮市場狀況對股價可能產生的不同影響,但還有其他更重要的因素。例如,考慮一下無處不在的投資風險幽靈。我們已經確定了三個警告信號與LyondellBasell Industries(至少1個是重要的)合作,瞭解他們應該是你投資過程的一部分。
LyondellBasell Industries並不是業內人士唯一買入的股票。所以讓我們來看看這個免費內幕收購的成長型公司名單。
請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在美國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。
對這篇文章有什麼反饋嗎?擔心內容嗎? 保持聯繫直接與我們聯繫。或者,也可以給編輯組發電子郵件,地址是implywallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉。
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Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.,Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd., 是關聯公司。
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moomoo是Moomoo Technologies Inc.公司提供的金融資訊和交易應用程式。
在美國,moomoo上的投資產品和服務由Moomoo Financial Inc.提供,一家受美國證券交易委員會(SEC)監管的持牌主體。 Moomoo Financial Inc.是金融業監管局(FINRA)和證券投資者保護公司(SIPC)的成員。
在新加坡,moomoo上的投資產品和服務是通過Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.提供,該公司受新加坡金融管理局(MAS)監管(牌照號碼︰CMS101000) ,持有資本市場服務牌照 (CMS) ,持有財務顧問豁免(Exempt Financial Adviser)資質。本內容未經新加坡金融管理局的審查。
在澳大利亞,moomoo上的金融產品和服務是通過Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd提供,該公司是受澳大利亞證券和投資委員會(ASIC)監管的澳大利亞金融服務許可機構(AFSL No. 224663)。請閱讀並理解我們的《金融服務指南》、《條款與條件》、《隱私政策》和其他披露文件,這些文件可在我們的網站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中獲取。
在加拿大,透過moomoo應用程式提供的僅限訂單執行的券商服務由Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.提供,並受加拿大投資監管機構(CIRO)監管。
在馬來西亞,moomoo上的投資產品和服務是透過Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,該公司受馬來西亞證券監督委員會(SC)監管(牌照號碼︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有資本市場服務牌照 (CMSL) 。本內容未經馬來西亞證券監督委員會的審查。
Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.,Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd., 是關聯公司。
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