share_log

Remote Work Drove Over 60% of House-Price Surge, Fed Study Finds

Remote Work Drove Over 60% of House-Price Surge, Fed Study Finds

美聯儲研究發現,遠程工作推動了超過60%的房價飆升
Yahoo Finance ·  2022/09/26 19:39

(Bloomberg) -- The shift to working from home drove more than half of the increase in house and rent prices during the pandemic and will likely drive up costs and inflation going forward as the shift becomes permanent, according to research from the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.

彭博社--根據舊金山聯邦儲備銀行的研究,在大流行期間,在家工作的轉變推動了一半以上的房價和租金上漲,隨着這種轉變成為永久性的,未來可能會推高成本和通脹。

"The transition to remote work because of the COVID-19 pandemic has been a key driver of the recent surge in housing prices," economists Augustus Kmetz and John Mondragon, of the San Francisco Fed, and Johannes Wieland of the University of California, San Diego, wrote in a note published Monday.

舊金山聯邦儲備銀行的經濟學家奧古斯塔斯·克梅茨和約翰·蒙塔龍,以及加州大學聖地亞哥分校的約翰尼斯·威蘭德在週一發佈的一份報告中寫道:“新冠肺炎疫情引發的向遠程工作的過渡,一直是近期房價飆升的關鍵推動因素。”

House prices rose 24% in the two years ended November 2021, the authors wrote. More than 60% of that increase is attributable to the rise in work from home during the pandemic -- a trend that has persisted, with 30% of work still being done from home as of last month.

兩位作者寫道,在截至2021年11月的兩年裏,房價上漲了24%。其中超過60%的增長歸因於疫情期間在家工作的增加--這一趨勢一直持續,截至上個月,仍有30%的工作在家中完成。

"This suggests that the fundamentals of housing demand have changed, such that the persistence of remote work is likely to affect the future path of real estate prices and inflation," the economists wrote.

經濟學家們寫道:“這表明住房需求的基本面已經改變,因此遠程工作的持續很可能會影響房地產價格和通脹的未來走勢。”

The authors, who adjusted housing data to account for the migration from expensive cities to more affordable areas that occurred during the pandemic, found that each 1 percentage point increase in remote work results in about a 0.9 percentage point increase in house prices. The impact on rent prices has been identical.

兩位作者調整了住房數據,以計入疫情期間從昂貴城市向更負擔得起的地區的遷移。他們發現,遠程工作每增加1個百分點,房價就會上漲約0.9個百分點。對房租價格的影響也是一樣的。

©2022 Bloomberg L.P.

©2022年彭博L.P.

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
    搶先評論