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Howmet Aerospace (NYSE:HWM) Pulls Back 7.6% This Week, but Still Delivers Shareholders Favorable 12% CAGR Over 5 Years
Howmet Aerospace (NYSE:HWM) Pulls Back 7.6% This Week, but Still Delivers Shareholders Favorable 12% CAGR Over 5 Years
If you buy and hold a stock for many years, you'd hope to be making a profit. But more than that, you probably want to see it rise more than the market average. But Howmet Aerospace Inc. (NYSE:HWM) has fallen short of that second goal, with a share price rise of 31% over five years, which is below the market return. But if you include dividends then the return is market-beating. Looking at the last year alone, the stock is up 11%.
While this past week has detracted from the company's five-year return, let's look at the recent trends of the underlying business and see if the gains have been in alignment.
Check out our latest analysis for Howmet Aerospace
While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).
During the last half decade, Howmet Aerospace became profitable. That would generally be considered a positive, so we'd expect the share price to be up. Given that the company made a profit three years ago, but not five years ago, it is worth looking at the share price returns over the last three years, too. We can see that the Howmet Aerospace share price is up 28% in the last three years. In the same period, EPS is up 9.6% per year. This EPS growth is reasonably close to the 9% average annual increase in the share price (over three years, again). That suggests that the market sentiment around the company hasn't changed much over that time. There's a strong correlation between the share price and EPS.
You can see how EPS has changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).
NYSE:HWM Earnings Per Share Growth September 20th 2022We know that Howmet Aerospace has improved its bottom line lately, but is it going to grow revenue? If you're interested, you could check this free report showing consensus revenue forecasts.
What About Dividends?
When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. We note that for Howmet Aerospace the TSR over the last 5 years was 75%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!
A Different Perspective
We're pleased to report that Howmet Aerospace shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 11% over one year. That's including the dividend. Having said that, the five-year TSR of 12% a year, is even better. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. To that end, you should learn about the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Howmet Aerospace (including 1 which shouldn't be ignored) .
We will like Howmet Aerospace better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of growing companies with considerable, recent, insider buying.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on US exchanges.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
如果你購買並持有一隻股票多年,你就有希望盈利。但更重要的是,你可能希望看到它比市場平均水平更高。但豪邁航空航天公司。(紐約證券交易所股票代碼:HWM)沒有達到第二個目標,股價在五年內上漲了31%,低於市場回報率。但如果計入股息,回報就會超過市場。僅去年一年,該股就上漲了11%。
雖然過去一週該公司的五年回報率有所下降,但讓我們來看看基本業務的近期趨勢,看看收益是否一致。
查看我們對Howmet航空航天公司的最新分析
雖然有效市場假説繼續被一些人傳授,但事實證明,市場是過度反應的動態系統,投資者並不總是理性的。考察市場情緒如何隨時間變化的一種方法是觀察一家公司的股價和每股收益(EPS)之間的相互作用。
在過去的五年裏,豪邁航空航天公司實現了盈利。這通常會被認為是積極的,所以我們預計股價會上漲。考慮到該公司三年前實現了盈利,但不是五年前,過去三年的股價回報也值得一看。我們可以看到,豪邁航空航天的股價在過去三年裏上漲了28%。同期,每股收益每年增長9.6%。這一每股收益的增長相當接近股價年均9%的漲幅(同樣是在三年內)。這表明,在這段時間裏,圍繞該公司的市場情緒沒有太大變化。股價和每股收益之間存在着很強的相關性。
您可以在下圖中看到EPS是如何隨着時間的推移而變化的(單擊圖表可查看精確值)。
紐約證券交易所:HWM每股收益增長2022年9月20日我們知道Howmet AerSpace最近提高了利潤,但它會增加收入嗎?如果你感興趣,你可以看看這個免費顯示一致收入預測的報告。
那股息呢?
在考察投資回報時,重要的是要考慮到股東總回報(TSR)和股價回報。TSR是一種回報計算,計入了現金股息的價值(假設收到的任何股息都進行了再投資),以及任何貼現融資和剝離的計算價值。公平地説,TSR為支付股息的股票提供了更完整的圖景。我們注意到,豪美航空過去5年的TSR為75%,好於上述股價回報率。這在很大程度上是其股息支付的結果!
不同的視角
我們很高興地報告,豪邁航空航天公司的股東在一年內獲得了11%的總股東回報。這還包括股息。話雖如此,每年12%的五年期TSR更是好得多。雖然值得考慮市場狀況對股價可能產生的不同影響,但還有其他更重要的因素。為此,您應該瞭解2個警告標誌我們已經發現了Howmet AerSpace(包括一家不應被忽視的公司)。
如果我們看到一些大的內部收購,我們會更喜歡Howmet AerSpace。在我們等待的時候,看看這個免費最近有大量內幕收購的成長型公司名單。
請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在美國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。
對這篇文章有什麼反饋嗎?擔心內容嗎? 保持聯繫直接與我們聯繫。或者,也可以給編輯組發電子郵件,地址是implywallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉。
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Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.,Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd., 是關聯公司。
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moomoo是Moomoo Technologies Inc.公司提供的金融資訊和交易應用程式。
在美國,moomoo上的投資產品和服務由Moomoo Financial Inc.提供,一家受美國證券交易委員會(SEC)監管的持牌主體。 Moomoo Financial Inc.是金融業監管局(FINRA)和證券投資者保護公司(SIPC)的成員。
在新加坡,moomoo上的投資產品和服務是通過Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.提供,該公司受新加坡金融管理局(MAS)監管(牌照號碼︰CMS101000) ,持有資本市場服務牌照 (CMS) ,持有財務顧問豁免(Exempt Financial Adviser)資質。本內容未經新加坡金融管理局的審查。
在澳大利亞,moomoo上的金融產品和服務是通過Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd提供,該公司是受澳大利亞證券和投資委員會(ASIC)監管的澳大利亞金融服務許可機構(AFSL No. 224663)。請閱讀並理解我們的《金融服務指南》、《條款與條件》、《隱私政策》和其他披露文件,這些文件可在我們的網站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中獲取。
在加拿大,透過moomoo應用程式提供的僅限訂單執行的券商服務由Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.提供,並受加拿大投資監管機構(CIRO)監管。
在馬來西亞,moomoo上的投資產品和服務是透過Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,該公司受馬來西亞證券監督委員會(SC)監管(牌照號碼︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有資本市場服務牌照 (CMSL) 。本內容未經馬來西亞證券監督委員會的審查。
Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.,Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd., 是關聯公司。
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