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Earnings Are Growing at Qingdao Rural Commercial Bank (SZSE:002958) but Shareholders Still Don't Like Its Prospects
Earnings Are Growing at Qingdao Rural Commercial Bank (SZSE:002958) but Shareholders Still Don't Like Its Prospects
As an investor its worth striving to ensure your overall portfolio beats the market average. But if you try your hand at stock picking, your risk returning less than the market. We regret to report that long term Qingdao Rural Commercial Bank Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002958) shareholders have had that experience, with the share price dropping 54% in three years, versus a market return of about 21%. And the ride hasn't got any smoother in recent times over the last year, with the price 24% lower in that time. Furthermore, it's down 13% in about a quarter. That's not much fun for holders. Of course, this share price action may well have been influenced by the 5.7% decline in the broader market, throughout the period.
If the past week is anything to go by, investor sentiment for Qingdao Rural Commercial Bank isn't positive, so let's see if there's a mismatch between fundamentals and the share price.
View our latest analysis for Qingdao Rural Commercial Bank
There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.
During the unfortunate three years of share price decline, Qingdao Rural Commercial Bank actually saw its earnings per share (EPS) improve by 1.4% per year. This is quite a puzzle, and suggests there might be something temporarily buoying the share price. Alternatively, growth expectations may have been unreasonable in the past.
After considering the numbers, we'd posit that the the market had higher expectations of EPS growth, three years back. But it's possible a look at other metrics will be enlightening.
We think that the revenue decline over three years, at a rate of 4.0% per year, probably had some shareholders looking to sell. After all, if revenue keeps shrinking, it may be difficult to find earnings growth in the future.
The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).
SZSE:002958 Earnings and Revenue Growth September 18th 2022This free interactive report on Qingdao Rural Commercial Bank's balance sheet strength is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.
What About Dividends?
It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. We note that for Qingdao Rural Commercial Bank the TSR over the last 3 years was -49%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.
A Different Perspective
Qingdao Rural Commercial Bank shareholders are down 22% for the year (even including dividends), falling short of the market return. Meanwhile, the broader market slid about 16%, likely weighing on the stock. Shareholders have lost 14% per year over the last three years, so the share price drop has become steeper, over the last year; a potential symptom of as yet unsolved challenges. We would be wary of buying into a company with unsolved problems, although some investors will buy into struggling stocks if they believe the price is sufficiently attractive. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Qingdao Rural Commercial Bank .
We will like Qingdao Rural Commercial Bank better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of growing companies with considerable, recent, insider buying.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on CN exchanges.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
作為一名投資者,努力確保你的整體投資組合超過市場平均水平是值得的。但如果你試着選股,你的風險回報就會低於市場。我們很遺憾地報告這一長期的青島農村商業銀行股份有限公司。(SZSE:002958)股東有過這樣的經歷,股價在三年內下跌了54%,而市場回報率約為21%。近幾年來,這一過程並沒有比去年更順利,價格在這段時間裏下降了24%。此外,它在大約四分之一的時間裏下跌了13%。對於持有者來説,這並不是什麼樂趣。當然,在此期間,這一股價走勢很可能受到了大盤5.7%跌幅的影響。
如果以過去一週為標準,投資者對青島農村商業銀行的情緒並不樂觀,所以讓我們看看基本面和股價之間是否存在錯配。
查看我們對青島農村商業銀行的最新分析
不可否認,市場有時是有效的,但價格並不總是反映潛在的商業表現。通過比較每股收益(EPS)和股價隨時間的變化,我們可以感受到投資者對一家公司的態度隨着時間的推移發生了怎樣的變化。
不幸的是,在股價下跌的三年裏,青島農村商業銀行的每股收益(EPS)實際上以每年1.4%的速度增長。這是一個相當令人費解的問題,表明可能有什麼因素暫時提振了股價。或者,增長預期在過去可能是不合理的。
在考慮了這些數字後,我們假設市場對三年前的每股收益增長有更高的預期。但看看其他指標可能會有所啟發。
我們認為,收入在三年內以每年4.0%的速度下降,可能有一些股東希望出售。畢竟,如果收入持續萎縮,未來可能很難找到盈利增長的跡象。
下圖顯示了收益和收入隨時間的變化情況(如果您點擊該圖,您可以看到更多詳細信息)。
深交所:2022年9月18日收益和收入增長002958這免費如果你想進一步調查青島農村商業銀行的股票,那麼關於該銀行資產負債表實力的互動報告是一個很好的起點。
那股息呢?
重要的是要考慮任何給定股票的總股東回報以及股價回報。TSR包括任何剝離或貼現融資的價值,以及任何股息,基於股息再投資的假設。因此,對於支付豐厚股息的公司來説,TSR往往比股價回報高得多。我們注意到,青島農村商業銀行過去3年的TSR為-49%,好於上述股價回報率。該公司支付的股息因此提振了總計股東回報。
不同的視角
青島農村商業銀行股東全年下跌22%(即使包括股息),低於市場回報。與此同時,大盤下跌約16%,可能令該股承壓。股東在過去三年裏每年損失14%,因此股價在過去一年裏跌幅變得更大;這是尚未解決的挑戰的潛在症狀。我們會對買入一家問題尚未解決的公司持謹慎態度,儘管一些投資者如果認為價格足夠有吸引力,就會買入陷入困境的股票。雖然值得考慮市場狀況對股價可能產生的不同影響,但還有其他更重要的因素。為此,您應該意識到1個警告標誌我們已經與青島農村商業銀行打交道。
如果我們看到一些大的內部收購,我們會更喜歡青島農村商業銀行。在我們等待的時候,看看這個免費最近有大量內幕收購的成長型公司名單。
請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在CN交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。
對這篇文章有什麼反饋嗎?擔心內容嗎? 保持聯繫直接與我們聯繫。或者,也可以給編輯組發電子郵件,地址是implywallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉。
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風險及免責聲明
moomoo是Moomoo Technologies Inc.公司提供的金融資訊和交易應用程式。
在美國,moomoo上的投資產品和服務由Moomoo Financial Inc.提供,一家受美國證券交易委員會(SEC)監管的持牌主體。 Moomoo Financial Inc.是金融業監管局(FINRA)和證券投資者保護公司(SIPC)的成員。
在新加坡,moomoo上的投資產品和服務是通過Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.提供,該公司受新加坡金融管理局(MAS)監管(牌照號碼︰CMS101000) ,持有資本市場服務牌照 (CMS) ,持有財務顧問豁免(Exempt Financial Adviser)資質。本內容未經新加坡金融管理局的審查。
在澳大利亞,moomoo上的金融產品和服務是通過Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd提供,該公司是受澳大利亞證券和投資委員會(ASIC)監管的澳大利亞金融服務許可機構(AFSL No. 224663)。請閱讀並理解我們的《金融服務指南》、《條款與條件》、《隱私政策》和其他披露文件,這些文件可在我們的網站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中獲取。
在加拿大,透過moomoo應用程式提供的僅限訂單執行的券商服務由Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.提供,並受加拿大投資監管機構(CIRO)監管。
在馬來西亞,moomoo上的投資產品和服務是透過Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,該公司受馬來西亞證券監督委員會(SC)監管(牌照號碼︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有資本市場服務牌照 (CMSL) 。本內容未經馬來西亞證券監督委員會的審查。
Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.,Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd., 是關聯公司。
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