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Analyst Forecasts Just Became More Bearish On Yankuang Energy Group Company Limited (HKG:1171)
Analyst Forecasts Just Became More Bearish On Yankuang Energy Group Company Limited (HKG:1171)
The analysts covering Yankuang Energy Group Company Limited (HKG:1171) delivered a dose of negativity to shareholders today, by making a substantial revision to their statutory forecasts for this year. Revenue estimates were cut sharply as the analysts signalled a weaker outlook - perhaps a sign that investors should temper their expectations as well.
After the downgrade, the consensus from Yankuang Energy Group's eleven analysts is for revenues of CN¥134b in 2022, which would reflect a concerning 28% decline in sales compared to the last year of performance. Statutory earnings per share are presumed to rise 7.3% to CN¥6.13. Before this latest update, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of CN¥149b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥6.22 in 2022. So there's been a clear change in analyst sentiment in the recent update, with the analysts making a measurable cut to revenues and reconfirming their earnings per share estimates.
See our latest analysis for Yankuang Energy Group
SEHK:1171 Earnings and Revenue Growth September 16th 2022the analysts have also increased their price target 6.3% to CN¥23.14, clearly signalling that lower revenue forecasts this year are not expected to have a material impact on Yankuang Energy Group's valuation. That's not the only conclusion we can draw from this data however, as some investors also like to consider the spread in estimates when evaluating analyst price targets. Currently, the most bullish analyst values Yankuang Energy Group at CN¥49.02 per share, while the most bearish prices it at CN¥13.96. With such a wide range in price targets, the analysts are almost certainly betting on widely diverse outcomes for the underlying business. With this in mind, we wouldn't rely too heavily on the consensus price target, as it is just an average and analysts clearly have some deeply divergent views on the business.
One way to get more context on these forecasts is to look at how they compare to both past performance, and how other companies in the same industry are performing. We would highlight that sales are expected to reverse, with a forecast 49% annualised revenue decline to the end of 2022. That is a notable change from historical growth of 3.5% over the last five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in the industry are forecast to see their revenue decline 3.4% annually for the foreseeable future. The forecasts do look bearish for Yankuang Energy Group, since they're expecting it to shrink faster than the industry.
The Bottom Line
The most obvious conclusion from this consensus update is that there's been no major change in the business' prospects in recent times, with analysts holding earnings per share steady, in line with previous estimates. Unfortunately they also downgraded their revenue estimates, and our aggregation of analyst estimates suggests that Yankuang Energy Group revenue is expected to perform worse than the wider market. There was also a nice increase in the price target, with analysts apparently feeling that the intrinsic value of the business is improving. Overall, given the drastic downgrade to this year's forecasts, we'd be feeling a little more wary of Yankuang Energy Group going forwards.
Even so, the longer term trajectory of the business is much more important for the value creation of shareholders. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for Yankuang Energy Group going out to 2024, and you can see them free on our platform here.
Another way to search for interesting companies that could be reaching an inflection point is to track whether management are buying or selling, with our free list of growing companies that insiders are buying.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
覆蓋的分析師兗礦能源集團有限公司香港上市公司(HKG:1171)今天對股東今年的法定預測進行了大幅修訂,給股東們帶來了一些負面影響。由於分析師暗示前景較弱,營收預期大幅下調--或許這是一個跡象,表明投資者也應該降低預期。
在評級下調後,兗礦能源集團的11位分析師一致認為,2022年的收入將達到人民幣134億元,這將反映出與去年業績相比,銷售額下降了約28%。法定每股收益預計增長7.3%,至6.13加元。在這一最新更新之前,分析師一直預測2022年收入為人民幣1490億元,每股收益為人民幣6.22元。因此,在最近的更新中,分析師的情緒發生了明顯的變化,分析師大幅削減了收入,並再次確認了他們的每股收益預期。
查看我們對兗礦能源集團的最新分析
聯交所:1171盈利及收入增長2022年9月16日分析師們還將目標價上調了6.3%,至23.14元,這清楚地表明,較低的今年營收預期預計不會對兗礦能源集團的估值產生實質性影響。然而,這並不是我們可以從這些數據中得出的唯一結論,因為一些投資者在評估分析師的價格目標時,也喜歡考慮預期中的價差。目前,最看好的分析師對兗礦能源集團的估值為每股49.02元人民幣,而最悲觀的分析師估值為13.96元人民幣。由於目標價格的範圍如此之大,分析師幾乎可以肯定地押注於標的業務的結果大相徑庭。考慮到這一點,我們不會過於依賴共識目標價,因為這只是一個平均值,分析師顯然對該業務有一些嚴重的分歧。
瞭解這些預測的更多背景信息的一種方法是,看看它們與過去的表現如何比較,以及同行業的其他公司的表現如何。我們要強調的是,銷售預計將逆轉,預計到2022年底,年化收入將下降49%。與過去五年3.5%的歷史增長率相比,這是一個顯著的變化。相比之下,我們的數據表明,在可預見的未來,該行業的其他公司(有分析師覆蓋)預計其收入將每年下降3.4%。這些預測看起來確實對兗礦能源集團不利,因為他們預計該集團的萎縮速度將快於整個行業。
底線
從這一共識更新中最明顯的結論是,近期該業務的前景沒有重大變化,分析師們保持每股收益穩定,與之前的估計一致。不幸的是,他們也下調了營收預期,我們綜合分析師的預估表明,預計兗礦能源集團的營收表現將遜於大盤。目標價格也有了不錯的提高,分析師顯然感覺到該業務的內在價值正在改善。總體而言,考慮到今年的預測被大幅下調,我們會對兗礦能源集團的未來更加警惕。
即便如此,企業的長期發展軌跡對股東的價值創造要重要得多。在Simply Wall St.上,我們有全方位的分析師對兗礦能源集團到2024年的預測,你可以在我們的平臺上免費看到。
搜索有趣的公司的另一種方式可能是到達拐點是跟蹤管理層是在買入還是在賣出,我們的免費內部人士正在收購的成長型公司名單。
對這篇文章有什麼反饋嗎?擔心內容嗎? 保持聯繫直接與我們聯繫。或者,也可以給編輯組發電子郵件,地址是implywallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉。
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moomoo是Moomoo Technologies Inc.公司提供的金融資訊和交易應用程式。
在美國,moomoo上的投資產品和服務由Moomoo Financial Inc.提供,一家受美國證券交易委員會(SEC)監管的持牌主體。 Moomoo Financial Inc.是金融業監管局(FINRA)和證券投資者保護公司(SIPC)的成員。
在新加坡,moomoo上的投資產品和服務是通過Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.提供,該公司受新加坡金融管理局(MAS)監管(牌照號碼︰CMS101000) ,持有資本市場服務牌照 (CMS) ,持有財務顧問豁免(Exempt Financial Adviser)資質。本內容未經新加坡金融管理局的審查。
在澳大利亞,moomoo上的金融產品和服務是通過Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd提供,該公司是受澳大利亞證券和投資委員會(ASIC)監管的澳大利亞金融服務許可機構(AFSL No. 224663)。請閱讀並理解我們的《金融服務指南》、《條款與條件》、《隱私政策》和其他披露文件,這些文件可在我們的網站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中獲取。
在加拿大,透過moomoo應用程式提供的僅限訂單執行的券商服務由Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.提供,並受加拿大投資監管機構(CIRO)監管。
在馬來西亞,moomoo上的投資產品和服務是透過Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,該公司受馬來西亞證券監督委員會(SC)監管(牌照號碼︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有資本市場服務牌照 (CMSL) 。本內容未經馬來西亞證券監督委員會的審查。
Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.,Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd., 是關聯公司。
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