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Is Tianneng Power International (HKG:819) A Risky Investment?
Is Tianneng Power International (HKG:819) A Risky Investment?
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Tianneng Power International Limited (HKG:819) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for Tianneng Power International
What Is Tianneng Power International's Net Debt?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of June 2022 Tianneng Power International had CN¥7.62b of debt, an increase on CN¥6.05b, over one year. However, it does have CN¥11.9b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of CN¥4.30b.
SEHK:819 Debt to Equity History September 16th 2022A Look At Tianneng Power International's Liabilities
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Tianneng Power International had liabilities of CN¥21.6b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥2.20b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥11.9b in cash and CN¥4.36b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CN¥7.47b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of CN¥7.53b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Tianneng Power International's use of debt. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Tianneng Power International also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.
In fact Tianneng Power International's saving grace is its low debt levels, because its EBIT has tanked 43% in the last twelve months. When it comes to paying off debt, falling earnings are no more useful than sugary sodas are for your health. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Tianneng Power International can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. While Tianneng Power International has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the last three years, Tianneng Power International recorded negative free cash flow, in total. Debt is far more risky for companies with unreliable free cash flow, so shareholders should be hoping that the past expenditure will produce free cash flow in the future.
Summing Up
While Tianneng Power International does have more liabilities than liquid assets, it also has net cash of CN¥4.30b. Despite its cash we think that Tianneng Power International seems to struggle to grow its EBIT, so we are wary of the stock. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 2 warning signs with Tianneng Power International , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
伯克希爾·哈撒韋公司的查理·芒格支持的外部基金經理李露對此毫不掩飾,他說:“最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受永久的資本損失。”在研究公司的資產負債表有多風險時,考慮公司的資產負債表是很自然的,因爲企業倒閉時通常涉及債務。重要的是, 天能電力國際有限公司 (HKG: 819)確實有債務。但真正的問題是這筆債務是否使公司面臨風險。
債務何時危險?
當企業無法輕易履行這些義務時,無論是通過自由現金流還是以誘人的價格籌集資金,債務和其他負債就會面臨風險。在最壞的情況下,如果公司無法向債權人付款,它可能會破產。但是,更常見(但仍然令人痛苦)的情況是,它必須以低廉的價格籌集新的股權資本,從而永久稀釋股東。當然,債務可能是企業的重要工具,尤其是資本密集型企業。當我們考慮公司對債務的使用時,我們首先要同時考慮現金和債務。
查看我們對天能電力國際的最新分析
天能電力國際的淨負債是多少?
你可以點擊下圖查看歷史數字,但它顯示,截至2022年6月,天能電力國際在一年內有762億元人民幣的債務,比60.5億元人民幣有所增加。但是,它確實有119億元人民幣的現金抵消了這一點,從而淨現金爲43.0億元人民幣。
香港交易所:819 債務轉股權歷史記錄 2022 年 9 月 16 日看看天能電力國際的負債
從最新的資產負債表中我們可以看出,天能電力國際在一年內到期的負債爲216億元人民幣,在此之後的到期負債爲220億元人民幣。抵消這一點的是,它有119億元的現金和43.6億元人民幣的應收賬款,這些應收賬款將在12個月內到期。因此,其負債總額比現金和短期應收賬款的總和多出74.7億元人民幣。
相對於其753億元人民幣的市值,這一赤字相當可觀,因此這確實表明股東應該密切關注天能電力國際對債務的使用。如果其貸款機構要求其支撐資產負債表,股東可能會面臨嚴重的稀釋。儘管天能電力國際確實有負債值得注意,但它的現金也多於債務,因此我們非常有信心它能夠安全地管理債務。
事實上,天能電力國際的儲蓄優勢在於其低債務水平,因爲其息稅前利潤在過去十二個月中下降了43%。在償還債務方面,收入下降並不比含糖蘇打水對你的健康更有用。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的知識最多。但歸根結底,該業務未來的盈利能力將決定天能電力國際能否隨着時間的推移加強其資產負債表。因此,如果你想看看專業人士的想法,你可能會發現這份關於分析師利潤預測的免費報告很有趣。
但我們最後的考慮因素也很重要,因爲公司無法用紙質利潤償還債務;它需要冷硬現金。儘管天能電力國際的資產負債表上有淨現金,但仍值得一看其將利息和稅前收益(EBIT)轉換爲自由現金流的能力,以幫助我們瞭解它建立(或侵蝕)現金餘額的速度有多快。在過去的三年中,天能電力國際的自由現金流總額爲負。對於自由現金流不可靠的公司來說,債務風險要大得多,因此股東應該希望過去的支出能在未來產生自由現金流。
總結
儘管天能電力國際的負債確實多於流動資產,但其淨現金也爲43.0億元人民幣。儘管有現金,但我們認爲天能電力國際似乎難以增加其息稅前利潤,因此我們對該股持謹慎態度。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的知識最多。但是,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表內——遠非如此。 我們已經確定了 2 個警告信號 加入天能電力國際,瞭解它們應該是你投資過程的一部分。
當一切都說完之後,有時候更容易將注意力集中在甚至不需要債務的公司身上。讀者可以訪問淨負債爲零的成長型股票清單 100% 免費,現在。
對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂? 取得聯繫 直接和我們聯繫。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St 的這篇文章本質上是一般性的。 我們僅使用公正的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章無意提供財務建議。 它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未將最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。簡而言之,華爾街對上述任何股票都沒有頭寸。
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moomoo是Moomoo Technologies Inc.公司提供的金融資訊和交易應用程式。
在美國,moomoo上的投資產品和服務由Moomoo Financial Inc.提供,一家受美國證券交易委員會(SEC)監管的持牌主體。 Moomoo Financial Inc.是金融業監管局(FINRA)和證券投資者保護公司(SIPC)的成員。
在新加坡,moomoo上的投資產品和服務是通過Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.提供,該公司受新加坡金融管理局(MAS)監管(牌照號碼︰CMS101000) ,持有資本市場服務牌照 (CMS) ,持有財務顧問豁免(Exempt Financial Adviser)資質。本內容未經新加坡金融管理局的審查。
在澳大利亞,moomoo上的金融產品和服務是通過Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd提供,該公司是受澳大利亞證券和投資委員會(ASIC)監管的澳大利亞金融服務許可機構(AFSL No. 224663)。請閱讀並理解我們的《金融服務指南》、《條款與條件》、《隱私政策》和其他披露文件,這些文件可在我們的網站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中獲取。
在加拿大,透過moomoo應用程式提供的僅限訂單執行的券商服務由Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.提供,並受加拿大投資監管機構(CIRO)監管。
在馬來西亞,moomoo上的投資產品和服務是透過Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,該公司受馬來西亞證券監督委員會(SC)監管(牌照號碼︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有資本市場服務牌照 (CMSL) 。本內容未經馬來西亞證券監督委員會的審查。
Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.,Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd., 是關聯公司。
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