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Semk Holdings International's (HKG:2250) Shareholders Have More To Worry About Than Only Soft Earnings
Semk Holdings International's (HKG:2250) Shareholders Have More To Worry About Than Only Soft Earnings
Semk Holdings International Limited's (HKG:2250) recent weak earnings report didn't cause a big stock movement. We think that investors are worried about some weaknesses underlying the earnings.
View our latest analysis for Semk Holdings International
SEHK:2250 Earnings and Revenue History September 12th 2022Zooming In On Semk Holdings International's Earnings
Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.
Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.
Over the twelve months to June 2022, Semk Holdings International recorded an accrual ratio of 0.54. Statistically speaking, that's a real negative for future earnings. To wit, the company did not generate one whit of free cashflow in that time. Even though it reported a profit of HK$27.0m, a look at free cash flow indicates it actually burnt through HK$27m in the last year. We saw that FCF was HK$55m a year ago though, so Semk Holdings International has at least been able to generate positive FCF in the past. However, that's not all there is to consider. The accrual ratio is reflecting the impact of unusual items on statutory profit, at least in part.
That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.
The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit
Semk Holdings International's profit suffered from unusual items, which reduced profit by HK$19m in the last twelve months. In the case where this was a non-cash charge it would have made it easier to have high cash conversion, so it's surprising that the accrual ratio tells a different story. While deductions due to unusual items are disappointing in the first instance, there is a silver lining. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. And that's hardly a surprise given these line items are considered unusual. Assuming those unusual expenses don't come up again, we'd therefore expect Semk Holdings International to produce a higher profit next year, all else being equal.
Our Take On Semk Holdings International's Profit Performance
In conclusion, Semk Holdings International's accrual ratio suggests that its statutory earnings are not backed by cash flow, even though unusual items weighed on profit. Based on these factors, we think it's very unlikely that Semk Holdings International's statutory profits make it seem much weaker than it is. So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. To help with this, we've discovered 2 warning signs (1 doesn't sit too well with us!) that you ought to be aware of before buying any shares in Semk Holdings International.
In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, as a guide to a business. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
世邦控股國際有限公司的(HKG:2250)近期疲弱的盈利報告並未導致股市大幅波動。我們認為,投資者擔心的是盈利背後的一些弱點。
查看我們對Semk Holdings International的最新分析
聯交所:2250盈利及收入歷史2022年9月12日放大Semk Holdings International的收益
許多投資者都沒有聽説過現金流應計比率但它實際上是衡量一家公司在給定時期內自由現金流(FCF)支持公司利潤的程度的有用指標。簡單地説,這個比率是從淨利潤中減去FCF,然後用這個數字除以該公司在此期間的平均運營資產。這一比率向我們展示了一家公司的利潤超過其固定現金流的程度。
因此,當一家公司的應計比率為負時,它實際上被認為是一件好事,但如果它的應計比率為正,那就是一件壞事。雖然應計比率為正並不是問題,這表明非現金利潤達到了一定的水平,但高的應計比率可以説是一件壞事,因為它表明賬面利潤與現金流不匹配。值得注意的是,有一些學術證據表明,一般來説,高應計比率對短期利潤來説不是一個好兆頭。
在截至2022年6月的12個月內,Semk Holdings International的應計比率為0.54。從統計上講,這對未來的收益是一個真正的負面影響。換句話説,該公司在那段時間沒有產生一分錢的自由現金流。儘管該公司報告盈利2700萬港元,但看看自由現金流就會發現,該公司去年實際上燒掉了2700萬港元。然而,我們看到一年前的FCF是5500萬港元,所以Semk Holdings International至少在過去能夠產生正的FCF。然而,這並不是需要考慮的全部問題。應計比率反映了不尋常項目對法定利潤的影響,至少在一定程度上是這樣。
這可能會讓你想知道,分析師對未來盈利能力的預測是什麼。幸運的是,您可以單擊此處查看基於他們估計的未來盈利能力的互動圖表。
異常項目對利潤的影響
世邦控股國際的利潤受到不尋常項目的影響,在過去12個月中利潤減少了1900萬港元。在這種情況下,這是一個非現金費用,它會更容易有較高的現金轉換率,所以令人驚訝的是,應計比率講述了一個不同的故事。雖然最初由於不尋常的項目而扣除的金額令人失望,但也有一線希望。當我們分析全球絕大多數上市公司時,我們發現重大的不尋常項目往往不會重複。考慮到這些項目被認為是不尋常的,這並不令人驚訝。假設這些不尋常的支出不會再次出現,我們因此預計,在其他條件不變的情況下,Semk Holdings International明年將產生更高的利潤。
我們對賽姆克控股國際公司利潤表現的看法
總而言之,Semk Holdings International的應計比率表明,其法定收益沒有現金流支持,儘管不尋常的項目拖累了利潤。基於這些因素,我們認為Semk Holdings International的法定利潤不太可能讓它看起來比實際情況弱得多。因此,如果你想更深入地研究這隻股票,考慮它面臨的任何風險是至關重要的。為了幫助解決這個問題,我們發現2個警告標誌(%1與我們的關係不太好!)在購買Semk Holdings International的任何股票之前,您應該意識到這一點。
在這篇文章中,我們研究了一些因素,這些因素可能會削弱利潤數字作為企業指南的效用。但如果你有能力將注意力集中在細枝末節上,總會有更多的東西需要發現。例如,許多人認為高股本回報率是有利的商業經濟指標,而另一些人則喜歡“跟着錢走”,尋找內部人士正在買入的股票。所以你可能想看看這個免費擁有高股本回報率的公司的集合,或內部人士正在購買的這份股票清單。
對這篇文章有什麼反饋嗎?擔心內容嗎? 保持聯繫直接與我們聯繫。或者,也可以給編輯組發電子郵件,地址是implywallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉。
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moomoo是Moomoo Technologies Inc.公司提供的金融資訊和交易應用程式。
在美國,moomoo上的投資產品和服務由Moomoo Financial Inc.提供,一家受美國證券交易委員會(SEC)監管的持牌主體。 Moomoo Financial Inc.是金融業監管局(FINRA)和證券投資者保護公司(SIPC)的成員。
在新加坡,moomoo上的投資產品和服務是通過Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.提供,該公司受新加坡金融管理局(MAS)監管(牌照號碼︰CMS101000) ,持有資本市場服務牌照 (CMS) ,持有財務顧問豁免(Exempt Financial Adviser)資質。本內容未經新加坡金融管理局的審查。
在澳大利亞,moomoo上的金融產品和服務是通過Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd提供,該公司是受澳大利亞證券和投資委員會(ASIC)監管的澳大利亞金融服務許可機構(AFSL No. 224663)。請閱讀並理解我們的《金融服務指南》、《條款與條件》、《隱私政策》和其他披露文件,這些文件可在我們的網站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中獲取。
在加拿大,透過moomoo應用程式提供的僅限訂單執行的券商服務由Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.提供,並受加拿大投資監管機構(CIRO)監管。
在馬來西亞,moomoo上的投資產品和服務是透過Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,該公司受馬來西亞證券監督委員會(SC)監管(牌照號碼︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有資本市場服務牌照 (CMSL) 。本內容未經馬來西亞證券監督委員會的審查。
Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.,Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd., 是關聯公司。
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