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Results: Civmec Limited Exceeded Expectations And The Consensus Has Updated Its Estimates
Results: Civmec Limited Exceeded Expectations And The Consensus Has Updated Its Estimates
Civmec Limited (SGX:P9D) investors will be delighted, with the company turning in some strong numbers with its latest results. It was overall a positive result, with revenues beating expectations by 4.2% to hit AU$809m. Civmec reported statutory earnings per share (EPS) AU$0.10, which was a notable 12% above what the analysts had forecast. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. Readers will be glad to know we've aggregated the latest statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their mind on Civmec after the latest results.
View our latest analysis for Civmec
SGX:P9D Earnings and Revenue Growth September 2nd 2022Taking into account the latest results, the consensus forecast from Civmec's three analysts is for revenues of AU$831.2m in 2023, which would reflect a credible 2.7% improvement in sales compared to the last 12 months. Statutory per-share earnings are expected to be AU$0.10, roughly flat on the last 12 months. Before this earnings report, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of AU$848.3m and earnings per share (EPS) of AU$0.087 in 2023. While revenue forecasts have been revised downwards, the analysts look to have become more optimistic on the company's cost base, given the decent improvement in to the earnings per share numbers.
The consensus has made no major changes to the price target of S$0.96, suggesting the forecast improvement in earnings is expected to offset the decline in revenues next year. That's not the only conclusion we can draw from this data however, as some investors also like to consider the spread in estimates when evaluating analyst price targets. The most optimistic Civmec analyst has a price target of S$1.03 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at S$0.86. Still, with such a tight range of estimates, it suggeststhe analysts have a pretty good idea of what they think the company is worth.
One way to get more context on these forecasts is to look at how they compare to both past performance, and how other companies in the same industry are performing. It's pretty clear that there is an expectation that Civmec's revenue growth will slow down substantially, with revenues to the end of 2023 expected to display 2.7% growth on an annualised basis. This is compared to a historical growth rate of 8.7% over the past five years. By way of comparison, the other companies in this industry with analyst coverage are forecast to grow their revenue at 11% per year. Factoring in the forecast slowdown in growth, it seems obvious that Civmec is also expected to grow slower than other industry participants.
The Bottom Line
The most important thing here is that the analysts upgraded their earnings per share estimates, suggesting that there has been a clear increase in optimism towards Civmec following these results. On the negative side, they also downgraded their revenue estimates, and forecasts imply revenues will perform worse than the wider industry. With that said, earnings are more important to the long-term value of the business. The consensus price target held steady at S$0.96, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.
With that in mind, we wouldn't be too quick to come to a conclusion on Civmec. Long-term earnings power is much more important than next year's profits. We have estimates - from multiple Civmec analysts - going out to 2025, and you can see them free on our platform here.
Even so, be aware that Civmec is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
Civmec有限公司(新加坡證券交易所股票代碼:P9D)投資者將感到高興,該公司在最新業績中公佈了一些強勁的數據。總體來説,這是一個積極的結果,收入超過預期4.2%,達到8.09億澳元。Civmec公佈的法定每股收益(EPS)為0.10澳元,比分析師的預測高出12%。盈利對投資者來説是一個重要的時刻,因為他們可以跟蹤一家公司的表現,看看分析師對明年的預測,以及對該公司的情緒是否發生了變化。讀者會很高興地知道,我們彙總了最新的法定預測,看看分析師在最新業績公佈後是否改變了對Civmec的看法。
查看我們對Civmec的最新分析
新交所:P9D收益和收入增長2022年9月2日考慮到最新的業績,Civmec的三位分析師的共識預測是,2023年收入將達到8.312億澳元,這將反映出與過去12個月相比,銷售額將可信地增長2.7%。法定每股收益預計為0.10澳元,與過去12個月基本持平。在這份盈利報告發布之前,分析師們一直預測2023年澳元的收入為8.483億澳元,每股收益為0.087澳元。儘管營收預期已被下調,但考慮到每股收益數據的可觀改善,分析師們對該公司的成本基礎似乎變得更加樂觀。
共識沒有對0.96新元的目標價做出重大調整,這表明盈利預期的改善預計將抵消明年收入的下降。然而,這並不是我們可以從這些數據中得出的唯一結論,因為一些投資者在評估分析師的價格目標時,也喜歡考慮預期中的價差。最樂觀的Civmec分析師將目標價定為每股1.03新元,而最悲觀的分析師將其估值定為0.86新元。不過,在如此狹窄的估計範圍內,這表明分析師們對他們認為公司的價值有相當好的瞭解。
瞭解這些預測的更多背景信息的一種方法是,看看它們與過去的表現如何比較,以及同行業的其他公司的表現如何。很明顯,人們預計Civmec的收入增長將大幅放緩,截至2023年底的收入預計將按年率計算增長2.7%。相比之下,過去五年的歷史增長率為8.7%。相比之下,分析師覆蓋的該行業其他公司的收入預計將以每年11%的速度增長。考慮到增長放緩的預期,似乎很明顯,Civmec的增長速度預計也將慢於其他行業參與者。
底線
這裏最重要的是,分析師上調了每股收益預期,表明在這些業績公佈後,人們對Civmec的樂觀情緒明顯增加。不利的一面是,他們還下調了營收預期,預測意味着營收表現將遜於整個行業。話雖如此,盈利對企業的長期價值更為重要。共識價格目標持穩於0.96新元,最新估計不足以對他們的價格目標產生影響。
考慮到這一點,我們不會太快得出關於Civmec的結論。長期盈利能力比明年的利潤重要得多。我們有多位Civmec分析師對2025年的預測,你可以在我們的平臺上免費看到。
即便如此,請注意Civmec正在展示在我們的投資分析中出現1個警告信號,你應該知道關於……
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本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉。
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moomoo是Moomoo Technologies Inc.公司提供的金融資訊和交易應用程式。
在美國,moomoo上的投資產品和服務由Moomoo Financial Inc.提供,一家受美國證券交易委員會(SEC)監管的持牌主體。 Moomoo Financial Inc.是金融業監管局(FINRA)和證券投資者保護公司(SIPC)的成員。
在新加坡,moomoo上的投資產品和服務是通過Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.提供,該公司受新加坡金融管理局(MAS)監管(牌照號碼︰CMS101000) ,持有資本市場服務牌照 (CMS) ,持有財務顧問豁免(Exempt Financial Adviser)資質。本內容未經新加坡金融管理局的審查。
在澳大利亞,moomoo上的金融產品和服務是通過Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd提供,該公司是受澳大利亞證券和投資委員會(ASIC)監管的澳大利亞金融服務許可機構(AFSL No. 224663)。請閱讀並理解我們的《金融服務指南》、《條款與條件》、《隱私政策》和其他披露文件,這些文件可在我們的網站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中獲取。
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在馬來西亞,moomoo上的投資產品和服務是透過Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,該公司受馬來西亞證券監督委員會(SC)監管(牌照號碼︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有資本市場服務牌照 (CMSL) 。本內容未經馬來西亞證券監督委員會的審查。
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