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Weifu High-Technology Group's (SZSE:200581) Sluggish Earnings Might Be Just The Beginning Of Its Problems
Weifu High-Technology Group's (SZSE:200581) Sluggish Earnings Might Be Just The Beginning Of Its Problems
A lackluster earnings announcement from Weifu High-Technology Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:200581) last week didn't sink the stock price. We think that investors are worried about some weaknesses underlying the earnings.
See our latest analysis for Weifu High-Technology Group
SZSE:200581 Earnings and Revenue History August 29th 2022A Closer Look At Weifu High-Technology Group's Earnings
As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.
That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".
Weifu High-Technology Group has an accrual ratio of 0.34 for the year to June 2022. Therefore, we know that it's free cashflow was significantly lower than its statutory profit, raising questions about how useful that profit figure really is. Over the last year it actually had negative free cash flow of CN¥3.0b, in contrast to the aforementioned profit of CN¥2.16b. Coming off the back of negative free cash flow last year, we imagine some shareholders might wonder if its cash burn of CN¥3.0b, this year, indicates high risk. Having said that, there is more to the story. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio.
That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.
How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?
Given the accrual ratio, it's not overly surprising that Weifu High-Technology Group's profit was boosted by unusual items worth CN¥42m in the last twelve months. While it's always nice to have higher profit, a large contribution from unusual items sometimes dampens our enthusiasm. We ran the numbers on most publicly listed companies worldwide, and it's very common for unusual items to be once-off in nature. And that's as you'd expect, given these boosts are described as 'unusual'. If Weifu High-Technology Group doesn't see that contribution repeat, then all else being equal we'd expect its profit to drop over the current year.
Our Take On Weifu High-Technology Group's Profit Performance
Summing up, Weifu High-Technology Group received a nice boost to profit from unusual items, but could not match its paper profit with free cash flow. Considering all this we'd argue Weifu High-Technology Group's profits probably give an overly generous impression of its sustainable level of profitability. So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing Weifu High-Technology Group at this point in time. Every company has risks, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Weifu High-Technology Group (of which 1 is concerning!) you should know about.
Our examination of Weifu High-Technology Group has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. And, on that basis, we are somewhat skeptical. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
一份平淡無奇的財報濰坊高新集團有限公司。(SZSE:200581)上週股價並未下跌。我們認為,投資者擔心的是盈利背後的一些弱點。
請看我們對偉富高科技集團的最新分析
SZSE:200581收益和收益歷史2022年8月29日細看威富高科技集團的盈利情況
正如金融書呆子們已經知道的那樣,現金流應計比率是評估一家公司的自由現金流(FCF)與利潤匹配程度的關鍵指標。應計制比率從給定期間的利潤中減去FCF,然後將結果除以該時間段內公司的平均運營資產。你可以把來自現金流的應計比率看作是‘非FCF利潤率’。
這意味着負的應計比率是一件好事,因為它表明該公司帶來的自由現金流比其利潤所暗示的要多。這並不意味着我們應該擔心應計比率為正,但值得注意的是,在應計比率相當高的地方。引用勒維倫和雷蘇泰克2014年的一篇論文,“應計利潤較高的公司未來的利潤往往較低”。
威富高科技集團截至2022年6月的年度應計比率為0.34。因此,我們知道它的自由現金流明顯低於其法定利潤,這引發了人們對這個利潤數字到底有多大用處的疑問。在過去的一年裏,它實際上負面自由現金流為3.0億元,而前述利潤為21.6億元。在去年自由現金流為負的情況下,我們可以想象,一些股東可能會懷疑,該公司今年30億元的現金消耗是否意味着高風險。話雖如此,故事中還有更多的東西。我們可以看到,不尋常的項目影響了其法定利潤,從而影響了應計比率。
這可能會讓你想知道,分析師對未來盈利能力的預測是什麼。幸運的是,您可以單擊此處查看基於他們估計的未來盈利能力的互動圖表。
不尋常的項目如何影響利潤?
考慮到應計比率,威富高科技集團的利潤在過去12個月裏被價值4200萬元人民幣的不尋常項目提振也就不足為奇了。雖然有更高的利潤總是好事,但不尋常的東西帶來的巨大貢獻有時會挫傷我們的熱情。我們對全球大多數上市公司進行了統計,不尋常的項目在性質上是一次性的,這是非常常見的。考慮到這些提振被描述為“不尋常的”,這正如你所預期的那樣。如果偉富高科技集團沒有看到這種貢獻再次出現,那麼在其他條件相同的情況下,我們預計該集團今年的利潤將會下降。
我們對濰坊高科技集團盈利業績的看法
綜上所述,威富高科技集團從異常項目中獲得了不錯的利潤提振,但賬面利潤與自由現金流無法匹配。考慮到這一切,我們認為威富高科技集團的利潤可能給人一種過於慷慨的印象,表明其可持續的盈利水平。因此,在盈利質量很重要的同時,考慮威富高科技集團目前面臨的風險也同樣重要。每家公司都有風險,我們已經發現威富高科技集團的2個警示標誌(其中1個是有關的!)你應該知道。
我們對威富高科技集團的審查集中在某些因素上,這些因素可能會讓它的收益看起來比實際情況更好。在此基礎上,我們對此持懷疑態度。但如果你有能力將注意力集中在細枝末節上,總會有更多的東西需要發現。一些人認為,高股本回報率是高質量企業的良好標誌。所以你可能想看看這個免費擁有高股本回報率的公司的集合,或內部人士正在購買的這份股票清單。
對這篇文章有什麼反饋嗎?擔心內容嗎? 保持聯繫直接與我們聯繫。或者,也可以給編輯組發電子郵件,地址是implywallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉。
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在加拿大,透過moomoo應用程式提供的僅限訂單執行的券商服務由Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.提供,並受加拿大投資監管機構(CIRO)監管。
在馬來西亞,moomoo上的投資產品和服務是透過Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,該公司受馬來西亞證券監督委員會(SC)監管(牌照號碼︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有資本市場服務牌照 (CMSL) 。本內容未經馬來西亞證券監督委員會的審查。
Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.,Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd., 是關聯公司。
風險及免責聲明
moomoo是Moomoo Technologies Inc.公司提供的金融資訊和交易應用程式。
在美國,moomoo上的投資產品和服務由Moomoo Financial Inc.提供,一家受美國證券交易委員會(SEC)監管的持牌主體。 Moomoo Financial Inc.是金融業監管局(FINRA)和證券投資者保護公司(SIPC)的成員。
在新加坡,moomoo上的投資產品和服務是通過Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.提供,該公司受新加坡金融管理局(MAS)監管(牌照號碼︰CMS101000) ,持有資本市場服務牌照 (CMS) ,持有財務顧問豁免(Exempt Financial Adviser)資質。本內容未經新加坡金融管理局的審查。
在澳大利亞,moomoo上的金融產品和服務是通過Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd提供,該公司是受澳大利亞證券和投資委員會(ASIC)監管的澳大利亞金融服務許可機構(AFSL No. 224663)。請閱讀並理解我們的《金融服務指南》、《條款與條件》、《隱私政策》和其他披露文件,這些文件可在我們的網站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中獲取。
在加拿大,透過moomoo應用程式提供的僅限訂單執行的券商服務由Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.提供,並受加拿大投資監管機構(CIRO)監管。
在馬來西亞,moomoo上的投資產品和服務是透過Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,該公司受馬來西亞證券監督委員會(SC)監管(牌照號碼︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有資本市場服務牌照 (CMSL) 。本內容未經馬來西亞證券監督委員會的審查。
Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.,Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd., 是關聯公司。
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