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Is Shenzhen Expressway (HKG:548) Using Too Much Debt?
Is Shenzhen Expressway (HKG:548) Using Too Much Debt?
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Shenzhen Expressway Corporation Limited (HKG:548) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for Shenzhen Expressway
How Much Debt Does Shenzhen Expressway Carry?
As you can see below, at the end of June 2022, Shenzhen Expressway had CN¥33.4b of debt, up from CN¥22.6b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it also had CN¥5.92b in cash, and so its net debt is CN¥27.4b.
SEHK:548 Debt to Equity History August 28th 2022How Strong Is Shenzhen Expressway's Balance Sheet?
The latest balance sheet data shows that Shenzhen Expressway had liabilities of CN¥20.2b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥23.8b falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥5.92b as well as receivables valued at CN¥2.28b due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥35.8b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
The deficiency here weighs heavily on the CN¥10.7b company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. After all, Shenzhen Expressway would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
With a net debt to EBITDA ratio of 5.6, it's fair to say Shenzhen Expressway does have a significant amount of debt. However, its interest coverage of 6.4 is reasonably strong, which is a good sign. Shareholders should be aware that Shenzhen Expressway's EBIT was down 25% last year. If that decline continues then paying off debt will be harder than selling foie gras at a vegan convention. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Shenzhen Expressway's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the last three years, Shenzhen Expressway recorded negative free cash flow, in total. Debt is usually more expensive, and almost always more risky in the hands of a company with negative free cash flow. Shareholders ought to hope for an improvement.
Our View
To be frank both Shenzhen Expressway's EBIT growth rate and its track record of staying on top of its total liabilities make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But at least it's pretty decent at covering its interest expense with its EBIT; that's encouraging. We should also note that Infrastructure industry companies like Shenzhen Expressway commonly do use debt without problems. Taking into account all the aforementioned factors, it looks like Shenzhen Expressway has too much debt. While some investors love that sort of risky play, it's certainly not our cup of tea. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 4 warning signs for Shenzhen Expressway you should be aware of, and 1 of them shouldn't be ignored.
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
大衞·伊本説得很好,波動性不是我們關心的風險,我們關心的是避免資本的永久性損失。因此,當你評估一家公司的風險有多大時,聰明的投資者似乎知道債務--通常涉及破產--是一個非常重要的因素。我們注意到深圳市高速公路有限責任公司(HKG:548)的資產負債表上確實有債務。但更重要的問題是:這筆債務造成了多大的風險?
債務在什麼時候是危險的?
當一家企業無法輕鬆履行這些義務時,債務和其他債務就會變得有風險,無論是通過自由現金流還是通過以有吸引力的價格籌集資本。在最糟糕的情況下,如果一家公司無法償還債權人的債務,它可能會破產。儘管這並不常見,但我們確實經常看到負債累累的公司永久性地稀釋股東的權益,因為貸款人迫使他們以令人沮喪的價格籌集資金。話雖如此,最常見的情況是一家公司對債務管理得相當好--並對自己有利。當考慮一家企業使用了多少債務時,首先要做的是把現金和債務放在一起看。
查看我們對深圳高速公路的最新分析
深高速揹負着多少債務?
如下所示,截至2022年6月底,深圳高速公路的債務為334億元人民幣,高於一年前的226億元人民幣。單擊圖像瞭解更多詳細信息。然而,它也有59.2億元現金,因此其淨債務為274億元。
聯交所:548債轉股歷史2022年8月28日深高速的資產負債表到底有多強?
最新的資產負債表數據顯示,深高速有202億元的負債在一年內到期,238億元的負債在一年內到期。作為對這些債務的抵銷,該公司有59.2億加元的現金以及價值22.8億加元的應收賬款在12個月內到期。因此,該公司的負債總額為人民幣358億元,超過了現金和近期應收賬款的總和。
這一不足給這家107億元的CN公司本身帶來了沉重的負擔,就像一個孩子在一個裝滿書籍、運動裝備和小號的巨大揹包的重壓下掙扎一樣。因此,我們肯定認為股東需要密切關注這一事件。畢竟,如果深圳高速今天不得不償還債權人的債務,它很可能需要進行一次重大的資本重組。
為了評估一家公司的債務相對於它的收益,我們計算它的淨債務除以它的利息、税項、折舊和攤銷前收益(EBITDA)和它的利息和税前收益(EBIT)除以它的利息支出(它的利息覆蓋)。這種方法的優點是,我們既考慮了債務的絕對數量(淨債務與EBITDA之比),也考慮了與債務相關的實際利息支出(及其利息覆蓋率)。
深圳高速公路的淨債務與EBITDA之比為5.6,可以公平地説,深圳高速公路確實有大量債務。然而,其6.4的利息覆蓋率相當強勁,這是一個好跡象。股東們應該知道,深圳高速去年的息税前利潤下降了25%。如果這種下降趨勢繼續下去,那麼償還債務將比在素食大會上出售鵝肝醬更難。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中瞭解到的債務最多。但最重要的是,未來的收益將決定深高速未來能否保持健康的資產負債表。所以,如果你關注未來,你可以看看這個免費顯示分析師利潤預測的報告。
但我們的最後考慮也很重要,因為一家公司不能用賬面利潤來償還債務;它需要冷硬現金。因此,我們總是檢查EBIT中有多少轉化為自由現金流。在過去的三年裏,深圳高速公路的自由現金流總計為負。在自由現金流為負的公司手中,債務通常更昂貴,風險也幾乎總是更高。股東們應該希望情況有所改善。
我們的觀點
坦率地説,深高速的息税前利潤增長率,以及其保持在總負債之上的過往記錄,都讓我們對其債務水平感到相當不安。但至少它在用息税前利潤支付利息支出方面相當不錯;這是令人鼓舞的。我們還應該注意到,像深圳高速這樣的基礎設施行業公司通常會使用債務,而不會出現問題。綜合上述因素,深高速似乎負債累累。雖然一些投資者喜歡這種冒險的投資方式,但這肯定不是我們喜歡的類型。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表顯然是一個起點。然而,並非所有投資風險都存在於資產負債表中--遠非如此。一個恰當的例子:我們發現了深圳高速公路的4個警示標誌你應該意識到,其中有一個是不應該被忽視的。
當然,如果你是那種喜歡在沒有債務負擔的情況下購買股票的投資者,那麼不要猶豫,今天就來看看我們的淨現金成長型股票獨家名單。
對這篇文章有什麼反饋嗎?擔心內容嗎? 保持聯繫直接與我們聯繫。或者,也可以給編輯組發電子郵件,地址是implywallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉。
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在加拿大,透過moomoo應用程式提供的僅限訂單執行的券商服務由Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.提供,並受加拿大投資監管機構(CIRO)監管。
在馬來西亞,moomoo上的投資產品和服務是透過Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,該公司受馬來西亞證券監督委員會(SC)監管(牌照號碼︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有資本市場服務牌照 (CMSL) 。本內容未經馬來西亞證券監督委員會的審查。
Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.,Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd., 是關聯公司。
風險及免責聲明
moomoo是Moomoo Technologies Inc.公司提供的金融資訊和交易應用程式。
在美國,moomoo上的投資產品和服務由Moomoo Financial Inc.提供,一家受美國證券交易委員會(SEC)監管的持牌主體。 Moomoo Financial Inc.是金融業監管局(FINRA)和證券投資者保護公司(SIPC)的成員。
在新加坡,moomoo上的投資產品和服務是通過Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.提供,該公司受新加坡金融管理局(MAS)監管(牌照號碼︰CMS101000) ,持有資本市場服務牌照 (CMS) ,持有財務顧問豁免(Exempt Financial Adviser)資質。本內容未經新加坡金融管理局的審查。
在澳大利亞,moomoo上的金融產品和服務是通過Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd提供,該公司是受澳大利亞證券和投資委員會(ASIC)監管的澳大利亞金融服務許可機構(AFSL No. 224663)。請閱讀並理解我們的《金融服務指南》、《條款與條件》、《隱私政策》和其他披露文件,這些文件可在我們的網站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中獲取。
在加拿大,透過moomoo應用程式提供的僅限訂單執行的券商服務由Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.提供,並受加拿大投資監管機構(CIRO)監管。
在馬來西亞,moomoo上的投資產品和服務是透過Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,該公司受馬來西亞證券監督委員會(SC)監管(牌照號碼︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有資本市場服務牌照 (CMSL) 。本內容未經馬來西亞證券監督委員會的審查。
Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.,Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd., 是關聯公司。
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