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SG Micro Corp Just Missed Earnings - But Analysts Have Updated Their Models
SG Micro Corp Just Missed Earnings - But Analysts Have Updated Their Models
Last week, you might have seen that SG Micro Corp (SZSE:300661) released its quarterly result to the market. The early response was not positive, with shares down 5.6% to CN¥161 in the past week. Sales of CN¥876m surpassed estimates by 7.7%, although statutory earnings per share missed badly, coming in 38% below expectations at CN¥0.41 per share. The analysts typically update their forecasts at each earnings report, and we can judge from their estimates whether their view of the company has changed or if there are any new concerns to be aware of. So we collected the latest post-earnings statutory consensus estimates to see what could be in store for next year.
Check out our latest analysis for SG Micro
SZSE:300661 Earnings and Revenue Growth August 26th 2022Taking into account the latest results, the current consensus from SG Micro's 15 analysts is for revenues of CN¥3.49b in 2022, which would reflect a decent 17% increase on its sales over the past 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to increase 8.6% to CN¥2.98. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of CN¥3.41b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥3.01 in 2022. There doesn't appear to have been a major change in sentiment following the results, other than the slight bump in revenue estimates.
It may not be a surprise to see thatthe analysts have reconfirmed their price target of CN¥240, implying that the uplift in sales is not expected to greatly contribute to SG Micro's valuation in the near term. Fixating on a single price target can be unwise though, since the consensus target is effectively the average of analyst price targets. As a result, some investors like to look at the range of estimates to see if there are any diverging opinions on the company's valuation. The most optimistic SG Micro analyst has a price target of CN¥365 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at CN¥147. This is a fairly broad spread of estimates, suggesting that analysts are forecasting a wide range of possible outcomes for the business.
Of course, another way to look at these forecasts is to place them into context against the industry itself. The period to the end of 2022 brings more of the same, according to the analysts, with revenue forecast to display 38% growth on an annualised basis. That is in line with its 39% annual growth over the past five years. Compare this with the broader industry, which analyst estimates (in aggregate) suggest will see revenues grow 25% annually. So it's pretty clear that SG Micro is forecast to grow substantially faster than its industry.
The Bottom Line
The most important thing to take away is that there's been no major change in sentiment, with the analysts reconfirming that the business is performing in line with their previous earnings per share estimates. Pleasantly, they also upgraded their revenue estimates, and their forecasts suggest the business is expected to grow faster than the wider industry. The consensus price target held steady at CN¥240, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.
With that in mind, we wouldn't be too quick to come to a conclusion on SG Micro. Long-term earnings power is much more important than next year's profits. We have estimates - from multiple SG Micro analysts - going out to 2024, and you can see them free on our platform here.
And what about risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for SG Micro you should know about.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
上週,你可能已經看到了新科微電子公司(上證所:300661)向市場發佈季度業績。早前的反應並不積極,過去一週股價下跌5.6%,至161元人民幣。8.76億加元的銷售額比預期高出7.7%,儘管法定每股收益嚴重低於預期,每股0.41加元,比預期低38%。分析師通常會在每一份收益報告中更新他們的預測,我們可以從他們的估計中判斷他們對公司的看法是否發生了變化,或者是否有任何新的擔憂需要注意。因此,我們收集了最新的盈利後法定共識估計,看看明年可能會發生什麼。
查看我們對SG Micro的最新分析
深交所:2022年8月26日收益和收入增長300661考慮到最新的業績,新科微電子15位分析師目前的共識是,2022年的收入將達到人民幣34.9億元,這將反映出該公司過去12個月的銷售額增長了17%。每股收益預計增長8.6%,至2.98加元。然而,在最新財報公佈之前,分析師曾預計2022年收入為人民幣34.1億元,每股收益(EPS)為人民幣3.01元。業績公佈後,除了營收預期略有上升外,市場情緒似乎沒有發生重大變化。
分析師們再次確認了240元的目標價,這可能並不令人意外,這意味着銷售額的上升預計不會在短期內對新科微電子的估值做出太大貢獻。然而,盯着一個單一的價格目標可能是不明智的,因為共識目標實際上是分析師價格目標的平均值。因此,一些投資者喜歡看看預估區間,看看對該公司的估值是否存在分歧意見。最樂觀的SG Micro分析師的目標價為每股365加元,而最悲觀的分析師估計為147加元。這是一個相當廣泛的估計價差,表明分析師們預測了該業務可能出現的各種結果。
當然,看待這些預測的另一種方式是將它們放在與行業本身相反的背景下。分析師們表示,截至2022年底的一段時間內,收入將出現更多相同的情況,預計收入將按年率計算增長38%。這與其過去五年39%的年增長率一致。相比之下,分析師估計整個行業的收入將以每年25%的速度增長。因此,很明顯,SG Micro的增長速度預計將遠遠快於其所在行業。
底線
最重要的是,市場情緒沒有發生重大變化,分析師們再次確認,該公司的表現與他們之前的每股收益預期一致。令人高興的是,他們還上調了收入預期,他們的預測表明,該業務的增長速度預計將快於整個行業。共識目標價穩定在240加元,最新估計不足以對他們的目標價產生影響。
考慮到這一點,我們不會太快得出關於SG Micro的結論。長期盈利能力比明年的利潤重要得多。我們有多位SG Micro分析師對2024年的預測,你可以在我們的平臺上免費看到。
那麼風險呢?每家公司都有它們,我們已經發現SG Micro的1個警告標誌你應該知道。
對這篇文章有什麼反饋嗎?擔心內容嗎? 保持聯繫直接與我們聯繫。或者,也可以給編輯組發電子郵件,地址是implywallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉。
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moomoo是Moomoo Technologies Inc.公司提供的金融資訊和交易應用程式。
在美國,moomoo上的投資產品和服務由Moomoo Financial Inc.提供,一家受美國證券交易委員會(SEC)監管的持牌主體。 Moomoo Financial Inc.是金融業監管局(FINRA)和證券投資者保護公司(SIPC)的成員。
在新加坡,moomoo上的投資產品和服務是通過Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.提供,該公司受新加坡金融管理局(MAS)監管(牌照號碼︰CMS101000) ,持有資本市場服務牌照 (CMS) ,持有財務顧問豁免(Exempt Financial Adviser)資質。本內容未經新加坡金融管理局的審查。
在澳大利亞,moomoo上的金融產品和服務是通過Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd提供,該公司是受澳大利亞證券和投資委員會(ASIC)監管的澳大利亞金融服務許可機構(AFSL No. 224663)。請閱讀並理解我們的《金融服務指南》、《條款與條件》、《隱私政策》和其他披露文件,這些文件可在我們的網站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中獲取。
在加拿大,透過moomoo應用程式提供的僅限訂單執行的券商服務由Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.提供,並受加拿大投資監管機構(CIRO)監管。
在馬來西亞,moomoo上的投資產品和服務是透過Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,該公司受馬來西亞證券監督委員會(SC)監管(牌照號碼︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有資本市場服務牌照 (CMSL) 。本內容未經馬來西亞證券監督委員會的審查。
Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.,Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd., 是關聯公司。
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