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Pulling back 5.9% this week, Jiangxi Xinyu Guoke Technology's SZSE:300722) three-year decline in earnings may be coming into investors focus
Pulling back 5.9% this week, Jiangxi Xinyu Guoke Technology's SZSE:300722) three-year decline in earnings may be coming into investors focus
It might seem bad, but the worst that can happen when you buy a stock (without leverage) is that its share price goes to zero. But in contrast you can make much more than 100% if the company does well. For instance the Jiangxi Xinyu Guoke Technology Co., Ltd (SZSE:300722) share price is 151% higher than it was three years ago. Most would be happy with that. It's also good to see the share price up 20% over the last quarter. But this move may well have been assisted by the reasonably buoyant market (up 13% in 90 days).
In light of the stock dropping 5.9% in the past week, we want to investigate the longer term story, and see if fundamentals have been the driver of the company's positive three-year return.
Check out our latest analysis for Jiangxi Xinyu Guoke Technology
In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.
Over the last three years, Jiangxi Xinyu Guoke Technology failed to grow earnings per share, which fell 3.7% (annualized).
Given the share price resilience, we don't think the (declining) EPS numbers are a good measure of how the business is moving forward, right now. So other metrics may hold the key to understanding what is influencing investors.
Languishing at just 0.5%, we doubt the dividend is doing much to prop up the share price. It could be that the revenue growth of 14% per year is viewed as evidence that Jiangxi Xinyu Guoke Technology is growing. If the company is being managed for the long term good, today's shareholders might be right to hold on.
You can see how earnings and revenue have changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).
SZSE:300722 Earnings and Revenue Growth August 9th 2022If you are thinking of buying or selling Jiangxi Xinyu Guoke Technology stock, you should check out this FREE detailed report on its balance sheet.
What About Dividends?
When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. We note that for Jiangxi Xinyu Guoke Technology the TSR over the last 3 years was 157%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!
A Different Perspective
Jiangxi Xinyu Guoke Technology shareholders are down 34% for the year (even including dividends), falling short of the market return. Meanwhile, the broader market slid about 9.0%, likely weighing on the stock. Fortunately the longer term story is brighter, with total returns averaging about 37% per year over three years. Sometimes when a good quality long term winner has a weak period, it's turns out to be an opportunity, but you really need to be sure that the quality is there. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for Jiangxi Xinyu Guoke Technology you should be aware of.
We will like Jiangxi Xinyu Guoke Technology better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of growing companies with considerable, recent, insider buying.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on CN exchanges.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
這看起來可能很糟糕,但當你(在沒有槓桿的情況下)購買一隻股票時,最糟糕的情況可能是它的股價跌至零。但相比之下,你可以賺很多錢更多如果公司做得好的話,就會比100%更好。例如,江西新餘國科科技有限公司(SZSE:300722)股價較三年前高出151%。大多數人會對此感到高興。上個季度股價上漲了20%,這也是好事。但這一舉措很可能得到了相當活躍的市場的幫助(90天內上漲了13%)。
鑑於該公司股價在過去一週下跌了5.9%,我們希望調查更長期的情況,看看基本面因素是否是該公司三年來正回報的驅動因素。
查看我們對江西新宇國科科技的最新分析
在他的文章中格雷厄姆和多德斯維爾的超級投資者沃倫·巴菲特描述了股價並不總是理性地反映一家企業的價值。評估圍繞一家公司的情緒變化的一個有缺陷但合理的方法是將每股收益(EPS)與股價進行比較。
在過去三年中,江西新餘國科科技未能實現每股收益增長,按年率計算下降了3.7%。
考慮到股價的彈性,我們認為(不斷下降的)每股收益數字並不能很好地衡量目前業務的進展情況。因此,其他指標可能掌握着理解是什麼在影響投資者的關鍵。
股息僅為0.5%,我們懷疑股息對支撐股價起到了多大作用。可能每年14%的收入增長被視為江西新宇國科科技正在成長的證據。如果公司的管理是為了長期利益,那麼今天的股東持有該公司或許是正確的。
您可以在下圖中看到收益和收入隨時間的變化(單擊圖表查看確切的值)。
深圳證交所:300722收益和收入增長2022年8月9日如果你正在考慮買賣江西新餘國科科技的股票,你應該看看這個免費關於其資產負債表的詳細報告。
那股息呢?
在考察投資回報時,重要的是要考慮到股東總回報(TSR)和股價回報。TSR是一種回報計算,計入了現金股息的價值(假設收到的任何股息都進行了再投資),以及任何貼現融資和剝離的計算價值。公平地説,TSR為支付股息的股票提供了更完整的圖景。我們注意到,江西鑫宇國科科技過去3年的總回報率為157%,好於上述股價回報率。而且,猜測股息支付在很大程度上解釋了這種差異是沒有好處的!
不同的視角
江西鑫宇國科科技股東全年累計下跌34%(即使包括分紅),不及市場回報。與此同時,大盤下跌約9.0%,可能令該股承壓。幸運的是,較長期的前景更為光明,三年內的總回報率平均每年約為37%。有時候,當一個高質量的長期贏家有一個疲軟的時期,它被證明是一個機會,但你真的需要確保質量在那裏。雖然值得考慮市場狀況對股價可能產生的不同影響,但還有其他更重要的因素。一個恰當的例子:我們發現了江西新餘國科科技1個警示標誌你應該意識到。
如果我們看到一些大的內部收購,我們會更喜歡江西鑫宇國科科技。在我們等待的時候,看看這個免費最近有大量內幕收購的成長型公司名單。
請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在CN交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。
對這篇文章有什麼反饋嗎?擔心內容嗎? 保持聯繫直接與我們聯繫。或者,也可以給編輯組發電子郵件,地址是implywallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉。
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在加拿大,透過moomoo應用程式提供的僅限訂單執行的券商服務由Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.提供,並受加拿大投資監管機構(CIRO)監管。
在馬來西亞,moomoo上的投資產品和服務是透過Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,該公司受馬來西亞證券監督委員會(SC)監管(牌照號碼︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有資本市場服務牌照 (CMSL) 。本內容未經馬來西亞證券監督委員會的審查。
Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.,Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd., 是關聯公司。
風險及免責聲明
moomoo是Moomoo Technologies Inc.公司提供的金融資訊和交易應用程式。
在美國,moomoo上的投資產品和服務由Moomoo Financial Inc.提供,一家受美國證券交易委員會(SEC)監管的持牌主體。 Moomoo Financial Inc.是金融業監管局(FINRA)和證券投資者保護公司(SIPC)的成員。
在新加坡,moomoo上的投資產品和服務是通過Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.提供,該公司受新加坡金融管理局(MAS)監管(牌照號碼︰CMS101000) ,持有資本市場服務牌照 (CMS) ,持有財務顧問豁免(Exempt Financial Adviser)資質。本內容未經新加坡金融管理局的審查。
在澳大利亞,moomoo上的金融產品和服務是通過Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd提供,該公司是受澳大利亞證券和投資委員會(ASIC)監管的澳大利亞金融服務許可機構(AFSL No. 224663)。請閱讀並理解我們的《金融服務指南》、《條款與條件》、《隱私政策》和其他披露文件,這些文件可在我們的網站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中獲取。
在加拿大,透過moomoo應用程式提供的僅限訂單執行的券商服務由Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.提供,並受加拿大投資監管機構(CIRO)監管。
在馬來西亞,moomoo上的投資產品和服務是透過Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,該公司受馬來西亞證券監督委員會(SC)監管(牌照號碼︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有資本市場服務牌照 (CMSL) 。本內容未經馬來西亞證券監督委員會的審查。
Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.,Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd., 是關聯公司。
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