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There's Reason For Concern Over P.B. Group Limited's (HKG:8331) Massive 94% Price Jump
There's Reason For Concern Over P.B. Group Limited's (HKG:8331) Massive 94% Price Jump
P.B. Group Limited (HKG:8331) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 94% share price jump in the last month. Still, the 30-day jump doesn't change the fact that longer term shareholders have seen their stock decimated by the 59% share price drop in the last twelve months.
Although its price has surged higher, it's still not a stretch to say that P.B. Group's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 8.9x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the market in Hong Kong, where the median P/E ratio is around 9x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/E.
As an illustration, earnings have deteriorated at P.B. Group over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the company to put the disappointing earnings performance behind them over the coming period, which has kept the P/E from falling. If you like the company, you'd at least be hoping this is the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.
View our latest analysis for P.B. Group
SEHK:8331 Price Based on Past Earnings July 21st 2022 We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on P.B. Group's earnings, revenue and cash flow.What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/E?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, P.B. Group would need to produce growth that's similar to the market.
Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 1.3%. At least EPS has managed not to go completely backwards from three years ago in aggregate, thanks to the earlier period of growth. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing earnings over that time.
Weighing that recent medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 15% shows it's noticeably less attractive on an annualised basis.
In light of this, it's curious that P.B. Group's P/E sits in line with the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.
What We Can Learn From P.B. Group's P/E?
Its shares have lifted substantially and now P.B. Group's P/E is also back up to the market median. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
Our examination of P.B. Group revealed its three-year earnings trends aren't impacting its P/E as much as we would have predicted, given they look worse than current market expectations. Right now we are uncomfortable with the P/E as this earnings performance isn't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.
It is also worth noting that we have found 2 warning signs for P.B. Group (1 can't be ignored!) that you need to take into consideration.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a P/E ratio below 20x).
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
P.B. 集團有限公司 (HKG: 8331) 股東們的耐心得到了回報,上個月股價上漲了94%。儘管如此,30天的上漲並沒有改變這樣一個事實,即長期股東的股票因過去十二個月中股價下跌59%而大跌。
儘管其價格飆升,但可以毫不誇張地說,與香港市場相比,P.B. Group目前的8.9倍市盈率(或 “市盈率”)似乎是 “中間路線”,那裏的市盈率中位數約爲9倍。但是,如果市盈率沒有合理的基礎,投資者可能會忽視明顯的機會或潛在的挫折。
舉例來說,去年P.B. Group的收益有所惡化,這根本不理想。可能是許多人預計該公司將在未來一段時間內將令人失望的收益表現拋在腦後,這使市盈率沒有下降。如果你喜歡這家公司,你至少希望是這樣,這樣你就有可能在不太受歡迎的時候買入一些股票。
查看我們對P.B. Group的最新分析
SEHK: 8331 基於過去財報的價格 2022 年 7 月 21 日我們沒有分析師的預測,但您可以通過查看我們的 SEHK: 8331 來了解最近的趨勢如何爲公司的未來奠定基礎 免費的 P.B. 集團的收益、收入和現金流報告。關於市盈率,增長指標告訴我們甚麼?
爲了證明其市盈率的合理性,P.B. Group需要實現與市場相似的增長。
首先回顧一下,該公司去年的每股收益增長並不令人興奮,因爲該公司公佈了令人失望的1.3%的下降。至少每股收益總體上沒有比三年前完全倒退,這要歸功於早期的增長。因此,在我們看來,在此期間,該公司的收益增長喜憂參半。
權衡最近的中期收益軌跡與整個市場對15%增長的一年預測之間的權衡表明,按年計算,其吸引力明顯降低。
有鑑於此,奇怪的是,P.B. Group的市盈率與大多數其他公司持平。看來大多數投資者無視最近相當有限的增長率,願意爲該股的敞口付出代價。維持這些價格將很難實現,因爲最近的收益趨勢的延續最終可能會壓低股價。
我們可以從P.B. Group的市盈率中學到甚麼?
其股價已大幅上漲,現在P.B. Group的市盈率也回到了市場中位數。通常,在做出投資決策時,我們會告誡不要過多地考慮市盈率,儘管這可以充分揭示其他市場參與者對公司的看法。
我們對P.B. Group的審查顯示,其三年收益趨勢對其市盈率的影響沒有我們預期的那麼大,因爲它們看起來比當前的市場預期要差。目前,我們對市盈率感到不舒服,因爲這種收益表現不太可能長期支持更積極的情緒。如果最近的中期收益趨勢持續下去,將使股東的投資面臨風險,潛在投資者有支付不必要溢價的危險。
還值得注意的是,我們已經發現 P.B. Group 有 2 個警告信號 (1 不容忽視!)這是你需要考慮的。
重要的是 一定要尋找一家優秀的公司,而不僅僅是你遇到的第一個想法。 所以來看看這個 免費的 近期收益增長強勁(市盈率低於20倍)的有趣公司名單。
對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂? 取得聯繫 直接和我們聯繫。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St 的這篇文章本質上是一般性的。 我們僅使用公正的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章無意提供財務建議。 它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未將最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。簡而言之,華爾街對上述任何股票都沒有頭寸。
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moomoo是Moomoo Technologies Inc.公司提供的金融資訊和交易應用程式。
在美國,moomoo上的投資產品和服務由Moomoo Financial Inc.提供,一家受美國證券交易委員會(SEC)監管的持牌主體。 Moomoo Financial Inc.是金融業監管局(FINRA)和證券投資者保護公司(SIPC)的成員。
在新加坡,moomoo上的投資產品和服務是通過Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.提供,該公司受新加坡金融管理局(MAS)監管(牌照號碼︰CMS101000) ,持有資本市場服務牌照 (CMS) ,持有財務顧問豁免(Exempt Financial Adviser)資質。本內容未經新加坡金融管理局的審查。
在澳大利亞,moomoo上的金融產品和服務是通過Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd提供,該公司是受澳大利亞證券和投資委員會(ASIC)監管的澳大利亞金融服務許可機構(AFSL No. 224663)。請閱讀並理解我們的《金融服務指南》、《條款與條件》、《隱私政策》和其他披露文件,這些文件可在我們的網站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中獲取。
在加拿大,透過moomoo應用程式提供的僅限訂單執行的券商服務由Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.提供,並受加拿大投資監管機構(CIRO)監管。
在馬來西亞,moomoo上的投資產品和服務是透過Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,該公司受馬來西亞證券監督委員會(SC)監管(牌照號碼︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有資本市場服務牌照 (CMSL) 。本內容未經馬來西亞證券監督委員會的審查。
Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.,Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd., 是關聯公司。
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