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Need To Know: Analysts Just Made A Substantial Cut To Their IMAX China Holding, Inc. (HKG:1970) Estimates
Need To Know: Analysts Just Made A Substantial Cut To Their IMAX China Holding, Inc. (HKG:1970) Estimates
One thing we could say about the analysts on IMAX China Holding, Inc. (HKG:1970) - they aren't optimistic, having just made a major negative revision to their near-term (statutory) forecasts for the organization. Both revenue and earnings per share (EPS) forecasts went under the knife, suggesting analysts have soured majorly on the business.
Following the latest downgrade, the two analysts covering IMAX China Holding provided consensus estimates of US$91m revenue in 2022, which would reflect a considerable 19% decline on its sales over the past 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are anticipated to plummet 38% to US$0.07 in the same period. Prior to this update, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of US$107m and earnings per share (EPS) of US$0.09 in 2022. Indeed, we can see that the analysts are a lot more bearish about IMAX China Holding's prospects, administering a substantial drop in revenue estimates and slashing their EPS estimates to boot.
Check out our latest analysis for IMAX China Holding
SEHK:1970 Earnings and Revenue Growth July 15th 2022The consensus price target fell 10% to US$1.38, with the weaker earnings outlook clearly leading analyst valuation estimates. Fixating on a single price target can be unwise though, since the consensus target is effectively the average of analyst price targets. As a result, some investors like to look at the range of estimates to see if there are any diverging opinions on the company's valuation. The most optimistic IMAX China Holding analyst has a price target of US$11.60 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at US$10.00. As you can see the range of estimates is wide, with the lowest valuation coming in at less than half the most bullish estimate, suggesting there are some strongly diverging views on how think this business will perform. As a result it might not be possible to derive much meaning from the consensus price target, which is after all just an average of this wide range of estimates.
Of course, another way to look at these forecasts is to place them into context against the industry itself. Over the past five years, revenues have declined around 7.9% annually. Worse, forecasts are essentially predicting the decline to accelerate, with the estimate for an annualised 19% decline in revenue until the end of 2022. Compare this against analyst estimates for companies in the broader industry, which suggest that revenues (in aggregate) are expected to grow 16% annually. So while a broad number of companies are forecast to grow, unfortunately IMAX China Holding is expected to see its sales affected worse than other companies in the industry.
The Bottom Line
The biggest issue in the new estimates is that analysts have reduced their earnings per share estimates, suggesting business headwinds lay ahead for IMAX China Holding. Unfortunately analysts also downgraded their revenue estimates, and industry data suggests that IMAX China Holding's revenues are expected to grow slower than the wider market. After such a stark change in sentiment from analysts, we'd understand if readers now felt a bit wary of IMAX China Holding.
With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. At least one analyst has provided forecasts out to 2024, which can be seen for free on our platform here.
Of course, seeing company management invest large sums of money in a stock can be just as useful as knowing whether analysts are downgrading their estimates. So you may also wish to search this free list of stocks that insiders are buying.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
關於分析師們,我們可以説一件事IMAX中國控股有限公司(HKG:1970)-他們並不樂觀,剛剛對該組織的近期(法定)預測做出了重大負面修訂。營收和每股收益(EPS)預期都遭到了下調,這表明分析師對這項業務的態度已經惡化到了極點。
在最近一次下調評級後,負責IMAX China Holding的兩位分析師提供了2022年營收9100萬美元的共識估計,這將反映出該公司在過去12個月的銷售額大幅下降19%。預計同期法定每股收益將暴跌38%,至0.07美元。在此次更新之前,分析師一直預測2022年營收為1.07億美元,每股收益(EPS)為0.09美元。事實上,我們可以看到,分析師們對IMAX China Holding的前景更加悲觀,大幅下調了收入預期,並大幅下調了每股收益預期。
查看我們對IMAX中國控股的最新分析
聯交所:1970年盈利及收入增長2022年7月15日共識目標價下跌10%,至1.38美元,較弱的盈利前景顯然領先於分析師的估值預期。然而,盯着一個單一的價格目標可能是不明智的,因為共識目標實際上是分析師價格目標的平均值。因此,一些投資者喜歡看看預估區間,看看對該公司的估值是否存在分歧意見。最樂觀的IMAX China Holding分析師的目標價為每股11.60美元,而最悲觀的分析師則認為目標價為10.00美元。正如你可以看到的,估計的範圍很大,最低的估值不到最樂觀估計的一半,這表明對於這項業務將如何表現,存在一些強烈的分歧。因此,可能不可能從共識價格目標中獲得太大意義,畢竟這只是這一廣泛估計範圍的平均值。
當然,看待這些預測的另一種方式是將它們放在與行業本身相反的背景下。在過去的五年裏,收入每年下降約7.9%。更糟糕的是,預測基本上是在預測下降速度將加快,預計到2022年底,收入按年率計算將下降19%。相比之下,分析師對更廣泛行業的公司的預測顯示,(總體)收入預計將以每年16%的速度增長。因此,儘管預計將有大量公司增長,但不幸的是,IMAX China Holding的銷售受到的影響預計將比業內其他公司更嚴重。
底線
新的預估中最大的問題是,分析師下調了對IMAX China Holding的每股收益預估,這表明IMAX China Holding將面臨業務逆風。不幸的是,分析師也下調了他們的營收預期,行業數據顯示,IMAX China Holding的營收增速預計將低於大盤。在分析師的情緒發生如此明顯的變化後,如果讀者現在對IMAX China Holding感到有點警惕,我們會理解的。
話雖如此,該公司盈利的長期軌跡比明年重要得多。至少有一位分析師提供了對2024年的預測,這可以在我們的平臺上免費看到。
當然,看到公司管理層投資大筆資金投資一隻股票,就像知道分析師是否在下調他們的預期一樣有用。所以你可能也想搜索一下這個免費內部人士正在買入的股票清單。
對這篇文章有什麼反饋嗎?擔心內容嗎? 保持聯繫直接與我們聯繫。或者,也可以給編輯組發電子郵件,地址是implywallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉。
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moomoo是Moomoo Technologies Inc.公司提供的金融資訊和交易應用程式。
在美國,moomoo上的投資產品和服務由Moomoo Financial Inc.提供,一家受美國證券交易委員會(SEC)監管的持牌主體。 Moomoo Financial Inc.是金融業監管局(FINRA)和證券投資者保護公司(SIPC)的成員。
在新加坡,moomoo上的投資產品和服務是通過Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.提供,該公司受新加坡金融管理局(MAS)監管(牌照號碼︰CMS101000) ,持有資本市場服務牌照 (CMS) ,持有財務顧問豁免(Exempt Financial Adviser)資質。本內容未經新加坡金融管理局的審查。
在澳大利亞,moomoo上的金融產品和服務是通過Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd提供,該公司是受澳大利亞證券和投資委員會(ASIC)監管的澳大利亞金融服務許可機構(AFSL No. 224663)。請閱讀並理解我們的《金融服務指南》、《條款與條件》、《隱私政策》和其他披露文件,這些文件可在我們的網站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中獲取。
在加拿大,透過moomoo應用程式提供的僅限訂單執行的券商服務由Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.提供,並受加拿大投資監管機構(CIRO)監管。
在馬來西亞,moomoo上的投資產品和服務是透過Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,該公司受馬來西亞證券監督委員會(SC)監管(牌照號碼︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有資本市場服務牌照 (CMSL) 。本內容未經馬來西亞證券監督委員會的審查。
Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.,Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd., 是關聯公司。
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