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Bitcoin, Ethereum, Dogecoin unfazed by upcoming rate hike: Why this analyst is waiting for a 'big short squeeze'
Bitcoin, Ethereum, Dogecoin unfazed by upcoming rate hike: Why this analyst is waiting for a 'big short squeeze'
Major coins, including $Bitcoin(BTC.CC)$, traded in the green at press time on Thursday, as the global cryptocurrency market cap rose 2.8% to $925.2 billion.
| Coin | 24-hour | 7-day | Price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) | 1.9% | -4.95% | $20,569.48 |
| Ethereum (CRYPTO: ETH) | 7.2% | -3.8% | $1,191.81 |
| Dogecoin (CRYPTO: DOGE) | 0.7% | -11.6% | $0.06 |
| Cryptocurrency | 24-Hour % Change (+/-) | Price |
|---|---|---|
| CEEK VR (CEEK) | +16.7% | $0.38 |
| Aave (AAVE) | +15.1% | $91.43 |
| Uniswap (UNI) | +14.58% | $7 |
Why It Matters: Risk assets, including cryptocurrencies were buoyant on Thursday evening as expectations for a 100 basis point interest rate hike tapered down.
U.S. Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller said a 75 basis point hike is almost certain to take place on Thursday. Waller said the market was getting ahead of itself when projecting a 100 basis point increase in interest rates.
Despite the recent macroeconomic headwinds, Bitcoin has held on to the $20,000 mark, said OANDA senior market analyst Craig Erlam.
Whether [Bitcoin] can continue to swim against the tide, I'm not so sure. What we're seeing is impressive but I struggle to see the case for bitcoin having bottomed. Time will tell."
- said Erlam, in a note seen by Benzinga.
The dollar continues to gain amid anticipated rate hikes. The dollar index, a measure of the U.S. unit's strength against six other currencies, rose 0.2% to 108.50 on Thursday. It touched a high of 109.29, the highest level since Sep. 2002 intraday, reported Reuters.
Cryptocurrency trader Justin Bennett told his Twitter followers to keep an eye on the dollar index on Friday and said it would need to "weaken to help fuel a further relief rally for" cryptocurrencies.
Cryptocurrencies grow when there is little correlation with equities, said Santiment on Thursday. "After yesterday's [inflation] report, [BTC] & [alts] have been recovering while the [SP500 & Gold] drop. If they stay uncorrelated, it's a good sign of a potential breakout," said the market intelligence platform in a tweet.
$S&P 500 index(.SPX.US)$ and $NASDAQ 100 Index(.NDX.US)$ futures traded 0.2% higher each at press time, while Bitcoin was above the key psychological level of $20,000.
CryptoQuant CEO Ki Young Ju said he's waiting for a "big short squeeze." Ki pointed out that in 2020 many people punted on short positions on Bitcoin and got liquidated in the $10,000 - $20,000 range before the "parabolic bull-run started."
Back then, 10% of hourly buy market orders were from short liquidations. Now, it's around 1%."
- said the CEO of the community-based analytics platform.
Major coins, including $Bitcoin(BTC.CC)$, traded in the green at press time on Thursday, as the global cryptocurrency market cap rose 2.8% to $925.2 billion.
主要硬幣，包括$位元幣(BTC.CC)$週四，隨著全球加密貨幣市值上漲2.8%，至9252億美元，綠色交易。
| Coin | 24-hour | 7-day | Price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) | 1.9% | -4.95% | $20,569.48 |
| Ethereum (CRYPTO: ETH) | 7.2% | -3.8% | $1,191.81 |
| Dogecoin (CRYPTO: DOGE) | 0.7% | -11.6% | $0.06 |
| 錢幣 | 24小時 | 7天 | 價格 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 位元幣(密碼：BTC) | 1.9% | -4.95% | 20,569.48美元 |
| 以太(加密：ETH) | 7.2% | -3.8% | 1,191.81美元 |
| 道格考因(Dogecoin)(密碼：Doge) | 0.7% | -11.6% | 0.06美元 |
| Cryptocurrency | 24-Hour % Change (+/-) | Price |
|---|---|---|
| CEEK VR (CEEK) | +16.7% | $0.38 |
| Aave (AAVE) | +15.1% | $91.43 |
| Uniswap (UNI) | +14.58% | $7 |
| 加密貨幣 | 24小時百分比更改(+/-) | 價格 |
|---|---|---|
| CEEK VR(CEEK) | +16.7% | 0.38美元 |
| AAVE(AAVE) | +15.1% | 91.43美元 |
| Uniswap(UNI) | +14.58% | 7美元 |
Why It Matters: Risk assets, including cryptocurrencies were buoyant on Thursday evening as expectations for a 100 basis point interest rate hike tapered down.
為什麼這很重要：週四晚間，包括加密貨幣在內的風險資產表現活躍，因為對加息100個基點的預期逐漸減弱。
U.S. Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller said a 75 basis point hike is almost certain to take place on Thursday. Waller said the market was getting ahead of itself when projecting a 100 basis point increase in interest rates.
美國美聯儲總督克裡斯托弗·沃勒表示，週四幾乎肯定會加息75個基點。沃勒表示，當市場預測加息100個基點時，市場超前了。
Despite the recent macroeconomic headwinds, Bitcoin has held on to the $20,000 mark, said OANDA senior market analyst Craig Erlam.
OANDA高級市場分析師表示，儘管最近出現了宏觀經濟逆風，但位元幣仍堅守在2萬美元大關克雷格·埃拉姆。
Whether [Bitcoin] can continue to swim against the tide, I'm not so sure. What we're seeing is impressive but I struggle to see the case for bitcoin having bottomed. Time will tell."
- said Erlam, in a note seen by Benzinga.
我不太確定(位元幣)能否繼續逆水行舟。我們看到的情況令人印象深刻，但我很難看出位元幣已經觸底。時間會證明一切的。
-Erlam在Benzinga看到的一份便條中說。
The dollar continues to gain amid anticipated rate hikes. The dollar index, a measure of the U.S. unit's strength against six other currencies, rose 0.2% to 108.50 on Thursday. It touched a high of 109.29, the highest level since Sep. 2002 intraday, reported Reuters.
在預期加息的背景下，美元繼續走高。美元指數周四上漲0.2%，至108.50。美元指數是衡量美元對其他六種貨幣強弱的指標。據路透社報道，該指數盤中觸及109.29點的高點，為2002年9月以來的最高水準。
Cryptocurrency trader Justin Bennett told his Twitter followers to keep an eye on the dollar index on Friday and said it would need to "weaken to help fuel a further relief rally for" cryptocurrencies.
加密貨幣交易員賈斯汀·班尼特他告訴推特上的追隨者週五要密切關注美元指數，並表示美元指數需要繼續走弱，以幫助推動加密貨幣的進一步釋然性漲勢。
Cryptocurrencies grow when there is little correlation with equities, said Santiment on Thursday. "After yesterday's [inflation] report, [BTC] & [alts] have been recovering while the [SP500 & Gold] drop. If they stay uncorrelated, it's a good sign of a potential breakout," said the market intelligence platform in a tweet.
桑蒂蒙特週四表示，當加密貨幣與股票幾乎沒有相關性時，加密貨幣就會增長。市場情報平臺在一條推文中表示：“在昨天的(通脹)報告發布後，[BTC]和[ALT]一直在回升，而[SP500&Gold]下跌。如果它們保持不相關，這是一個潛在突破的好跡象。”
$S&P 500 index(.SPX.US)$ and $NASDAQ 100 Index(.NDX.US)$ futures traded 0.2% higher each at press time, while Bitcoin was above the key psychological level of $20,000.
$標準普爾500指數(.SPX.US)$和$納斯達克100指數(.NDX.US)$截至發稿時，位元幣期貨價格分別上漲0.2%，而位元幣價格高於2萬美元的關鍵心理關口。
CryptoQuant CEO Ki Young Ju said he's waiting for a "big short squeeze." Ki pointed out that in 2020 many people punted on short positions on Bitcoin and got liquidated in the $10,000 - $20,000 range before the "parabolic bull-run started."
加密定量首席執行官紀永珠他說他正在等待一次“大的空頭擠壓”。Ki指出，在2020年，許多人押注於位元幣的空頭頭寸，並在“拋物線牛市行情”開始之前，在10,000-20,000美元的範圍內被清算。
Back then, 10% of hourly buy market orders were from short liquidations. Now, it's around 1%."
- said the CEO of the community-based analytics platform.
當時，每小時買入的市場訂單中，有10%來自空頭清算。現在，它在1%左右。
-基於社區的分析平臺的首席執行官說。
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moomoo是Moomoo Technologies Inc.公司提供的金融資訊和交易應用程式。
在美國，moomoo上的投資產品和服務由Moomoo Financial Inc.提供，一家受美國證券交易委員會（SEC）監管的持牌主體。 Moomoo Financial Inc.是金融業監管局（FINRA）和證券投資者保護公司（SIPC）的成員。
在新加坡，moomoo上的投資產品和服務是通過Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.提供，該公司受新加坡金融管理局（MAS）監管(牌照號碼︰CMS101000) ，持有資本市場服務牌照 (CMS) ，持有財務顧問豁免（Exempt Financial Adviser）資質。本內容未經新加坡金融管理局的審查。
在澳大利亞，moomoo上的金融產品和服務是通過Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd提供，該公司是受澳大利亞證券和投資委員會(ASIC)監管的澳大利亞金融服務許可機構（AFSL No. 224663）。請閱讀並理解我們的《金融服務指南》、《條款與條件》、《隱私政策》和其他披露文件，這些文件可在我們的網站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中獲取。
在加拿大，透過moomoo應用程式提供的僅限訂單執行的券商服務由Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.提供，並受加拿大投資監管機構（CIRO）監管。
在馬來西亞，moomoo上的投資產品和服務是透過Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供，該公司受馬來西亞證券監督委員會（SC）監管(牌照號碼︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ，持有資本市場服務牌照 (CMSL) 。本內容未經馬來西亞證券監督委員會的審查。
Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.，Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd., 是關聯公司。
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