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YCS 2倍做空日元ETF-ProShares

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  • 90.060
  • +2.434+2.78%
收盘价 04/26 16:00 (美东)
90.060最高价88.815最低价
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    专栏Exploring Causes Behind the Yen's Historic Low and Capitalizing on Investment Strategies Amidst Currency Volatility

    On April 24th, local time, the Japanese yen hit a 34-year record low, with the USD/JPY exchange rate breaching the 155 mark. The sustained weakening of the yen has both surprised and surpassed market forecasts in terms of duration and magnitude. What are the core reasons driving this phenomenon? What is the state of Japan's economy in light of these events, and which investment pros...
    Exploring Causes Behind the Yen's Historic Low and Capitalizing on Investment Strategies Amidst Currency Volatility
    Exploring Causes Behind the Yen's Historic Low and Capitalizing on Investment Strategies Amidst Currency Volatility
    Exploring Causes Behind the Yen's Historic Low and Capitalizing on Investment Strategies Amidst Currency Volatility
    +3

    Yen Futures are At a Major Inflection Point

    $日元主连(2406)(6Jmain.US)$
    Short-Term Rally in the Yen
    The yen has been on a big rally for over a month now. This is mostly due to the expectation that the Fed will stop cutting interest rates. Ueda also hinted towards the idea of increasing interest rates in his previous comments. This would add strength to the yen. But I won't believe it until I actually see it.
    Forex Machanics
    There are a few variables that could affect the path of yen ...
    Yen Futures are At a Major Inflection Point
    Yen Futures are At a Major Inflection Point
    Yen Futures are At a Major Inflection Point
    +1
    1

    Big Japanese Yen News

    $日元主连(2406)(6Jmain.US)$
    Macro Update
    Over the weekend, the Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda said that the central bank could end its negative interest rate policy when the 2% inflation target is sustainability achieved. He added that the BOJ could have enough data by the end of the year to determine whether it can proceed with policy changes.
    Yen futures are reacting strongly to start off the week in japanese bond and forex markets. The yen has taken a beati...
    Big Japanese Yen News
    Big Japanese Yen News
    Big Japanese Yen News
    +2
    8

    股市和债市,谁在说谎?

    难得一见,鲍老鸽居然披上了鹰皮,说明通胀实在太严重了。
    的确。服务业通胀降不下去,除非发生一波大的衰退。然而油价开始涨了,商品类通胀又要抬头。同比的通胀数据可能不会太难看,毕竟去年的基数很大。但如果和2019年相比,2023年的通胀必然高的吓人。
    我认为目前服务业通胀的问题,是川建国与拜振华两位卧底共同努力、破坏美帝的丰功伟绩。两位同志干的确实不错,把克林顿、小布什、奥巴马等反动派多年的努力全破坏了。目前美国的问题,美联储根本无能为力。美联储只能二选一:要么纵容通胀,要么制造衰退。如果又害怕通胀,又害怕衰退,那么很可能的结果就是墨菲定律,所有怕的东西全都来,经济滞胀。目前美国距离滞胀只差一只黑天鹅。所以鲍老鸽啊,你赶紧二选一吧,别磨叽了,想控通胀就加息50,想保经济就暂停加息。加息25这种和稀泥的做法,恐怕会弄巧成拙吧
    今天由于鲍老鹰的讲话,2年与10年的国债收益率倒挂加深,刚才看了一下 竟然倒挂了100个基点!这也太夸张了,说明市场对经济衰退的押注越来越强。短期债券高利率,押注加息。长期债券低利率,押注降息。如果不衰退,为何要降息?衰退越狠,降息越大。10...
    4

    tlt的下行风险

    $20+年以上美国国债ETF-iShares(TLT.US)$
    由于周五的pce过于劲爆,债券市场再次上调了利率预期。目前tlt下看到90-95。我的仓位从30%减到了20%,等跌到95左右就加10%回来。如果进一步跌到90左右我就再加仓10%到40%仓位。
    我还持有15%仓位的 $2倍做空日元ETF-ProShares(YCS.US)$ ,算是一种保护吧。
    如果跌破90,那就要看看是怎么回事。是不是保罗 沃尔克复活了,并附体到鲍老鸽身上了?如果是的话,那就只好止损了,万一联邦利率冲到10%以上,那债券市场必然血流成河 如果不是,就继续加仓,越低越买
    5
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