暂无数据
暂无内容
暂无数据
暂无数据
暂无数据
埃克森美孚首席执行官表示,对圭亚那的仲裁可能会持续到明年
Seeking Alpha25分钟前
埃克森美孚首席执行官告诉CNBC,埃克森美孚和雪佛龙的仲裁预计将持续到2025年
CNBC周一援引埃克森首席执行官埃克森采访的话报道,埃克森美孚(XOM)认为与雪佛龙(CVX)就其收购赫斯(HES)在圭亚那油田的30%股份存在争议,该股权将持续到2025年
MT Newswires43分钟前
加拿大皇家银行资本维持响尾蛇能源的表现跑赢大盘
加拿大皇家银行资本维持响尾蛇能源的表现跑赢大盘
道琼斯12:55 (美东)
快讯 | 加拿大皇家银行资本维持响尾蛇能源的跑赢大盘,将目标股价上调至220美元
Benzinga12:45 (美东)
响尾蛇能源分析师评级
日期上行/下行分析师公司目标股价变动评级变动之前/当前评级 2024 年 6 月 5 日 6.97% 加拿大皇家银行资本195美元 → 220 美元维持跑赢大盘 2024 年 2 月 5 日 8.91% 富国银行 227 美元 → 224 美元 Mai 227 美元
Benzinga12:43 (美东)
雪佛龙CEO:雪佛龙对关闭与赫斯的交易感觉“很好”。
媒体滚动05/06 11:14 (美东)
BelleWeather :
I think proper portfolio positioning vis a vis inflation is important. The concern I have is stagflation, so I’m trying to be defensive to that. This is difficult. And timing the market is impossible and crazy-making, so I personally am taking each day as it comes.
I don’t think anyone is going to sell off over these concerns, and Powell is not about to fan those flames either!
SpyderCall楼主 BelleWeather: They might not sell over these concerns. But when these variables are present, then any negative catalyst will likely catalyze a selloff. For example, if we get bad rhetoric from Powell next week, then we might see extra volatility. That being said, in the current environment, any selloff will be a good buying opportunity until something breaks in the economy.
SpyderCall楼主 BelleWeather: So far, wages and employment numbers have held up, so stagflation is not a concern until inflation picks back up. With the way oil and gasoline prices have been climbing, we could possibly see a stagflationary environment soon, but not yet. Things are almost perfect in the economic data currently. We are in a goldilocks zone for the Fed right now. And if things get worse, then the Fed has already mentioned cutting rates. That would be even more accomodative for equities as the "Fed Put" will be in play at that point. So, if we do see stagflation, it shouldn't last long as the Fed will accommodate markets when the inflation, wages, or employment situation changes negatively.
BelleWeather : Agreed on the Goldilocks zone vis a vis the Fed mandate save one issue - the reserve bank balance is almost out - won’t they have to move to correct that?
SpyderCall楼主 BelleWeather:
They have been greatly decreasing the balance sheet since march 2022. This is done through selling treasury bonds or mortgage securities. Short-term treasuries, like bills, have been the biggest culprits for the runoff of the balance sheet. This has been unwinding the massive amount of asset purchases since the 2008 financial crisis.
They purchased all of these assets back then as a form of quantative easing to boost the economy. Right now, they are selling treasury notes at sky-high yields to provide liquidity to banks essentially. This is putting more liabilities onto the balance sheet, which brings the balance down.
I don't think the balance sheet runoff is such a big deal at the moment.
Once the economy is showing signs of trouble, then I think we will need to worry about the Fed balance sheet. If they start buying assets, essentially quantative easing, then they might think that there is weakness in the economy.
You might think that with the Fed balance falling like it is, then long-term treasuries should be falling along with the balance. But that has not been the case since last November as these treasuries have been climbing.
This tells me that the balance sheet is now falling because the Fed is adding liquidity through short-term bond sales, which inject liquidity into the economy, which is good for an economy and equities.
Taurus27 : Thank you for taking the efforts to share with us your thoughts. Do rest well .
101633546 : thanks for the UEC update!
TinkerB3ll : Rest well and enjoy the rest of the Sunday evening.
SL99 : 学到了很多,虽然对于图还是不太懂但是会努力慢慢学会看懂,非常感谢你的分享和所付出的时间
tpearly : Much love kind sir! Thank you for your thorough insights, poetry, images, and chart patients. I took a lot of screenshots to study on the desktop as I'm reading this on mobile. Like many others, we look forward to your insights. Christ bless you.