Markets will be tested this week for a trifecta of reasons this week. Firstly, the US economy continues to steam train ahead (just look at the stellar US jobs report), so bets of a Fed rate cut in June continue to be eroded, while bets of those cuts in September in July continue to reduce. This dynamic could continue this week if we see US CPI (released 10 April) blow hotter than expected as well as producer pric...
All three major U.S. indexes notched new record highs on March 21st, propelled by optimism spurred by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell stating that the central bank stayed on track for three interest rate cuts this year and affirmed that solid economic growth will continue. The$道琼斯指数(.DJI.US)$ended Thursday shy of 40000 points.$标普500指数(.SPX.US)$gained 9.89%, and the tech-heavy$纳斯达克综合指数(.IXIC.US)$gained 9....
Analysts are bullish on VLO, with a consensus 'Strong Buy' rating. The stock has outpaced its mean price target of $151.20, but the Street-high price target of $177 indicates potential upside of about 5% from current levels.
On the eve of the Federal Reserve's interest rate meeting, the S&P 500 index notched yet another record closing high—its 18th for the year—surging over 8% year-to-date and outperforming both the Nasdaq Index and the Dow Jones Industrial Average. Wall Street strategists are increasingly bullish on the$标普500指数(.SPX.US)$, with many revising their year-end targets upward as the index repeatedly scales new peaks. ...
Energy stocks are showing signs of an impending reversal in April, with historical data indicating a potential 3.5% decline in the S&P 500 Energy Index following overbought signals. Despite being undervalued previously, the energy sector has now become the most overbought sector, with a 15% increase in stocks since January 18 driven by rising oil prices and increased demand due to sanctions on Russia. Valero and Marathon have seen significant gains...
News Highlights $特斯拉(TSLA.US)$shares rose by 6.25%, closing at $173.80. Its options trading volume was 1.96 million. Call contracts account for 57.4% of the total trading volume. The most traded calls are contracts of $175 strike price that expire on Mar 22nd. The total volume reaches 110,353 with an open interest of 43,953. The most traded puts are contracts of a $165 s...
All Eyes on the Upcoming Fed Meeting With interest rates and inflation being the main concern for investors these days, all eyes will be on the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision coming this Wednesday. Many analysts are calling for a resurgence in inflation. While the Federal Reserve has been standing by their word, saying that inflation is under control and we are on the path towards rate cuts this year. If the Fed believes that inflation is no longer...
BelleWeather :
I think proper portfolio positioning vis a vis inflation is important. The concern I have is stagflation, so I’m trying to be defensive to that. This is difficult. And timing the market is impossible and crazy-making, so I personally am taking each day as it comes. I don’t think anyone is going to sell off over these concerns, and Powell is not about to fan those flames either!
SpyderCall楼主BelleWeather:
They might not sell over these concerns. But when these variables are present, then any negative catalyst will likely catalyze a selloff. For example, if we get bad rhetoric from Powell next week, then we might see extra volatility. That being said, in the current environment, any selloff will be a good buying opportunity until something breaks in the economy.
SpyderCall楼主BelleWeather:
So far, wages and employment numbers have held up, so stagflation is not a concern until inflation picks back up. With the way oil and gasoline prices have been climbing, we could possibly see a stagflationary environment soon, but not yet. Things are almost perfect in the economic data currently. We are in a goldilocks zone for the Fed right now. And if things get worse, then the Fed has already mentioned cutting rates. That would be even more accomodative for equities as the "Fed Put" will be in play at that point. So, if we do see stagflation, it shouldn't last long as the Fed will accommodate markets when the inflation, wages, or employment situation changes negatively.
BelleWeather :
Agreed on the Goldilocks zone vis a vis the Fed mandate save one issue - the reserve bank balance is almost out - won’t they have to move to correct that?
SpyderCall楼主BelleWeather:
They have been greatly decreasing the balance sheet since march 2022. This is done through selling treasury bonds or mortgage securities. Short-term treasuries, like bills, have been the biggest culprits for the runoff of the balance sheet. This has been unwinding the massive amount of asset purchases since the 2008 financial crisis. They purchased all of these assets back then as a form of quantative easing to boost the economy. Right now, they are selling treasury notes at sky-high yields to provide liquidity to banks essentially. This is putting more liabilities onto the balance sheet, which brings the balance down. I don't think the balance sheet runoff is such a big deal at the moment. Once the economy is showing signs of trouble, then I think we will need to worry about the Fed balance sheet. If they start buying assets, essentially quantative easing, then they might think that there is weakness in the economy. You might think that with the Fed balance falling like it is, then long-term treasuries should be falling along with the balance. But that has not been the case since last November as these treasuries have been climbing. This tells me that the balance sheet is now falling because the Fed is adding liquidity through short-term bond sales, which inject liquidity into the economy, which is good for an economy and equities.
Valero Energy's transition from loss to profit is seen as a positive sign, likely contributing to its share price rise. Its future profitability is deemed crucial for shareholders. Despite recent returns being lower than market average, they surpass its five-year average, suggesting new investor interest.
Analysts downgrade Valero Energy's earnings per share estimates after recent results, indicating a sentiment decline. Despite this, the consensus price target remains unchanged, suggesting no major intrinsic value changes in the business.
瓦莱罗能源股票讨论区
Firstly, the US economy continues to steam train ahead (just look at the stellar US jobs report), so bets of a Fed rate cut in June continue to be eroded, while bets of those cuts in September in July continue to reduce. This dynamic could continue this week if we see US CPI (released 10 April) blow hotter than expected as well as producer pric...
The $道琼斯指数(.DJI.US)$ ended Thursday shy of 40000 points. $标普500指数(.SPX.US)$ gained 9.89%, and the tech-heavy $纳斯达克综合指数(.IXIC.US)$ gained 9....
Wall Street strategists are increasingly bullish on the $标普500指数(.SPX.US)$, with many revising their year-end targets upward as the index repeatedly scales new peaks. ...
Despite being undervalued previously, the energy sector has now become the most overbought sector, with a 15% increase in stocks since January 18 driven by rising oil prices and increased demand due to sanctions on Russia.
Valero and Marathon have seen significant gains...
$特斯拉(TSLA.US)$ shares rose by 6.25%, closing at $173.80. Its options trading volume was 1.96 million. Call contracts account for 57.4% of the total trading volume. The most traded calls are contracts of $175 strike price that expire on Mar 22nd. The total volume reaches 110,353 with an open interest of 43,953. The most traded puts are contracts of a $165 s...
With interest rates and inflation being the main concern for investors these days, all eyes will be on the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision coming this Wednesday.
Many analysts are calling for a resurgence in inflation. While the Federal Reserve has been standing by their word, saying that inflation is under control and we are on the path towards rate cuts this year.
If the Fed believes that inflation is no longer...
$标普油气开采指数ETF-SPDR(XOP.US)$ $雪佛龙(CVX.US)$ $埃克森美孚(XOM.US)$ $瓦莱罗能源(VLO.US)$ $西方石油(OXY.US)$
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