This is incredible: Retail investors have bought over $5 billion of leveraged equity ETFs in the last 12 months, the most since 2022. This marks a $3 billion increase on a 1-month rolling sum basis in just a few months. Since the October 2023 low, retail investors have been piling into leveraged ETFs. However, a similar pattern was seen in 2021 and early 2022 after which retail experienced significant losses. The average retail investor portfolio drawdown from the 2022 peak was 35% and took 1.5 ...
Cow Moo-ney楼主DT moo:
Hahaha. We need negative sentiment and drawbacks like this, so that we can pick up shares of good companies at discounted price. The dark clouds will eventually passed
Market is currently repricing Fed expectation of rate cuts this year, especially after Powell’s hawkish remarks yesterday. We have gone from an expectation of 6 rate cuts, to 3, to now where some are questioning whether would there even be a rate cut this year. There are even people saying that we could have a rate hike instead. Mind F at its best 😂 Anyway, there’s always 2 sides to a coin. If the interest rate remains high, investors can continue to milk some returns from money market ...
Salmon Kleindwarrior:
I agree that the market is way to bearish...never it has been this bullish over the last 6 months (my personal experience of course). nonetheless why cutting rates cut is bad don't get it, it means no crisis at the end of the year...why to drop the value of the entire market...what am I missing?
A revision to December’s inflation data saw the market cheering and rallying. The CPI revision will give the Fed some breathing space as the current concern is the progress of bringing inflation towards their 2% target is a little stagnated. So this revision will definitely be a price of encouraging news for the Fed. We have a new round of CPI coming in on Tuesday. A cooler inflation may spark a further rally. It will probably determine if SPX can stay above 5,000 this week. $PayPal(PYPL.US)$...
This week will be a quiet trading week as compared to many other weeks. With little near term headwinds and new economic reports, the current momentum is tilting towards the bullish side. It makes little sense for institutions to have a huge dump for big cap stocks during this period, unless of course it’s to wipe out options on Friday. With this said, at the most, it only has to go sideways, and that could kill both short-dated call and put options. The broad index S&P500 does stand a...
We have a slightly more eventful ahead with the last FOMC meeting of the year taking place on 12 and 13 Dec Powell will speaking on 13 Dec to announce the Fed’s decision on their rate hike campaign. The consensus is a pause from the central bank. It’s almost undisputed. The market is probably more concern about the first rate cut Before that, we have the release of CPI data on Tuesday. On Wed, PPI data will be out. And on Thurs, we have the initial jobless claims Stay cautious if y...
OceansWave :
The challenge now is these analyst are setting a new measurement of when rate cuts will start.. we know Powell is very hawkish in his response and typically he will still say that they will not hesitate to raise again, which goes against these predictions.. be very careful as such things will cause a pull back or worse still a big sell off..
Markio1315 :
even if JP stay cautious, as long he is not overly hawkish, market will ignore him and run on its own. Anyway we are approaching all time highs set 2 years ago
BFSkinner : Only place to go is