National Fuel Gas股票讨论区

$National Fuel Gas(NFG.US)$1955年上市的美国公司，单一国市场，当前价格50.44。
5年来营收除2019和2023外增长了3年，营业利润则仅在2021和2022年迅速增长，其余3年小幅下跌，净利润则受资本性资产减值影响在2020年亏损，5年平均净利3.2亿。2023年利息费用占营业利润的17.5%，利息负担较重。净资产收益率18.9%，5年最高达到29.3%。
由于NFG有4成收入来自公用事业，所以周期性表现的低于其它股票。
目前市盈率9.8，市盈率TTM9.8， 5年平均净利对应市盈率为14.5，市净率1.56，股息率3.84%，估值对于周期股来说吸引力不大。

The Dow Jones Industrial Average plunged Monday as the Ukraine-Russia war sent oil prices higher again. $苹果(AAPL.US)$ , $亚马逊(AMZN.US)$ and $奈飞(NFLX.US)$ fell despite bullish analyst calls. $Visa(V.US)$ and $万事达(MA.US)$ dipped after suspending operations in Russia.
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As fuel prices continue to rocket, travel stocks are selling off.  Meanwhile, travel booking and hotel stocks were also among Monday's worst performers. U.S. Global Jets $航空ETF-U.S. Global(JETS.US)$ an ETF that tracks airline stocks, fell nearly 9%.
Gold miners and oil stocks led the upside among the industry groups. These industry groups continue to provide a fair amount of breakouts for investors looking to stay active in the market. But the stock market remai...

$Archaea Energy(LFG.US)$
De-spac Play (M&A closed: 9/15/21) currently undervalued
LFG is the Leading Renewable Natural Gas (RNG) Company through the simultaneous merger of Aria Energy and Archaea Energy
Sector Opportunity:Natural Gas has seen a major price increase based on Hurricane Ida, up 80% YTD and 31% last month; LFG is tracking that performance up 79% YTD and 32% last month; Goldman thinks the price of Natural Gas could double and recently invested $40M
Revenue:$204M, growing at 38% CAGR; 2x better than the competitors
Profitability:Day 1 profitable $40M in ‘20; In ’21, $65M, 38% margin; 10x EBITDA growth in 5 years; 3x better than the competitors
Valuation:Trading at ~16x 2022 EV/EBITDA, Comps trading at 31x; Implies the stock is currently undervalued and could double
Analyst coverage:PT $32 based on Ortex data, implies a 66% upside
Institutions:Very high Ownership Accumulation Score on fintel, (Ranked 93 out of 21,606 companies); 72 Institutional Investors; Goldman recently invested $40M
Stock:Up 30% in the last month; 100% upside based on comps: PT $40 Thinly traded stock with no shares to borrow, major volume spike could really drive price higher
Catalysts:Natural gas price increases, Initiation reports from more established banks, continued institution buying,
$National Fuel Gas(NFG.US)$$Ultrapar Participacoes(UGP.US)$$Atmos Energy(ATO.US)$