US stock market has been pretty choppy over the last 2 weeks. AI darling Nvidia lost steam last Friday as it posted its biggest single-day drop in 9 months. The selloff erased close to $130 billion of its company’s market value. Is this a wake-up call for this Nvidia-led rally? Is the AI bubble in trouble? Also, I have 6 option trades to update in my latest video. So if you’re interested, do watch on to find out more! Stocks covered in the video (technical analysis) – SPY, Apple,...
$多邻国(DUOL.US)$ Is It Time For a Rebound in Duolingo? Duolingo has had poor performance the past few months compared to other big tech names. More recently, after a roughly 30% correction, the technical picture is starting to look more bullish. Is it time for DUOL to catch some upside? Long-Term Support Notice how the price action is consolidating near a long-term support line that has pushed up the share price for over a year. Also, notice how the price is just ...
We have witnessed a historical moment as SPX clinched the 5,000 mark! The last time we hit such significant threshold was in March 2021, when SPX hit 4,000. On the macro front, easing inflation data, solid earnings season and a resilient economy are setting up for a soft landing scenario for the Federal Reserve and investors. What could go wrong from here? PS: the market is getting greedy… $标普500ETF-Vanguard(VOO.US)$$iShares罗素2000指数ETF(IWM.US)$$罗素3000ETF-iShares(IWV.US)$$iShares安硕罗素中盘ETF(IWR.US)$...
SpyderCall :
Maybe investors think we are in a goldilocks trype of environment. I'm not in this camp, but I heard some analyst saying that he thinks interest rates are perfect right now based on inflation and jobs data. As long as nothing starts to get too hot or too cold, then things might be in the goldilocks zone. Most of the time in history, the Fed didn't start cutting rates until they knew something was about to break. There have been times when interest rate cuts were not followed by a recession. But in past recessions, once the Fed started cutting rates and yield curves began to steepen, then a recession soon followed. Let's just hope we don't see anything break. Like the banking system or some other area of the economy.
Cow Moo-ney楼主SpyderCall:
Calm before the storm? As you have mentioned, history is not quite on the Fed’s side when it comes to cutting of rates (usually something would have broken or there would be an imminent recession). But let’s hope that’s not the case this time
SpyderCallCow Moo-ney楼主:
I hope nothing breaks for the well-being of individuals in the economy. But as an investor, any recession might present an amazing investment opportunity. Just saying
ISTJSpyderCall:
I still strongly believe we are having a soft landing instead of recession.There was one and only one time soft landing happened in 1994-1995, and there are many similarities between now and then, low unemployment rate despite high interest rate, strong GDP growth above 3% etc. If Fed can start rate cut in May of June, they will pull it off this time.
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Bubble Trouble?
AI darling Nvidia lost steam last Friday as it posted its biggest single-day drop in 9 months. The selloff erased close to $130 billion of its company’s market value.
Is this a wake-up call for this Nvidia-led rally? Is the AI bubble in trouble?
Also, I have 6 option trades to update in my latest video. So if you’re interested, do watch on to find out more!
Stocks covered in the video (technical analysis) – SPY, Apple,...
Great Setup For a Swing Trade
Is It Time For a Rebound in Duolingo?
Duolingo has had poor performance the past few months compared to other big tech names. More recently, after a roughly 30% correction, the technical picture is starting to look more bullish. Is it time for DUOL to catch some upside?
Long-Term Support
Notice how the price action is consolidating near a long-term support line that has pushed up the share price for over a year. Also, notice how the price is just ...
Possible Dollar Weakness?
The Dollar is Still Technically Bullish
Today was the first day in a while that showed possible dollar weakness. Technically, the dollar is still within its bullish vector that has held up the currency for a couple of months. So there is no urgent need to exit any bull...
Roller coaster
All 3 major indexes eventually closed lower, breaking their 5-week winning streaks.
The sell off was likely due to the hotter than expected inflation data. So, is inflation coming back to haunt the stock market?
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History in the making
On the macro front, easing inflation data, solid earnings season and a resilient economy are setting up for a soft landing scenario for the Federal Reserve and investors.
What could go wrong from here?
PS: the market is getting greedy…
$标普500ETF-Vanguard(VOO.US)$$iShares罗素2000指数ETF(IWM.US)$ $罗素3000ETF-iShares(IWV.US)$$iShares安硕罗素中盘ETF(IWR.US)$ ...
Treasury yield vs stock market
In the past, market will react negatively to such jump. But right now, the market does not seem to care 🚀
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Retail sales data
A continuous strong consumer spending could potentially fuel inflation again.
I don’t think the Fed will be so eager to cut rates soon
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Market Outlook 2024
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Santa Rally is here?
Longest video of 2023!
In this video, I did a brief review of my portfolio in 2023, discussed on a potential Santa Claus rally, and shared my thoughts on 2024’s market outlook.
Check it out if you have time during this long weekend
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