1. In today's market, do you favor US Treasuries or bond funds? With rising inflation and potential increases in bond yields, I think bond funds, rather than US Treasuries, can provide greater flexibility and diversity to mitigate market uncertainties. While US Treasuries are secure government bonds, their fixed interest rates leave them exposed to inflation, so US Treasuries may provide lower yields. On the other hand, bond funds pool investors' funds to create a diverse bond portfolio. B...
This year, the trajectory of the US stock market has been significantly influenced by market expectations surrounding Federal Reserve interest rate cuts. Following the March 21 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, the Fed officially announced that it would maintain interest rates at their current level while signaling to the markets a potential for three rate cuts within the year. When central banks embark on an easing cyc...
Sector Rotation Tech has been killing it in the market this year, thanks to the artificial intelligence boom. The tech sector has lifted the entire market while other sectors have greatly underperformed. Occasionally, an overheated sector will begin to cool off as investors rotate their capital into underperforming sectors in expectation of a broadening rally or a change in the economy. Even the NASDAQ announced a special rebalancing later this month, ...
SpyderCall楼主Silverbat:
A soft landing is what I see playing out on the economic data. I think the market is already pricing in the soft landing possibly. But I'm not certain on that. One thing that could be a worry is if inflation falls too fast and for too long. this would be very bad for any economy.
SpyderCall楼主Silverbat:
Who knows. Europe, UK, and Australia paused and then hiked again. They haven't signaled a pause yet. However, the Fed has signaled a decrease in interest rates going further, so it will take a big increase in inflation to change that narrative. But anything can happen in these crazy markets
SpyderCall楼主102640653:
I have highlighted the new short-term trend by the purple lines. The grey and yellow lines are the resistance/support price points to watch for a breakout or a reversal. If the price can climb above the yellow resistance level and stay above it, then the price action will no longer be in a technical downtrend. This ticker can easily move 10%-20% in a month in either direction. it's hard to say which direction it will go in a few months' time. the long-term trend is down, and the short-term trend is looking sideways or rangebound so far. I need to see more upside, and BABA needs to climb out of this technical downtrend before I go all in. But for the record, I am holding a bullish swing trade in PDD, so I am bullish in the short-term for chinese equities
102640653SpyderCall楼主:
If volume n price starts to pick up from this level it will be the best stock to own at current level. First price action need to improve on upside . Thanks .
We discussed last week that USD and EUR are likely to strengthen on higher interest rate expectations in the U.S. and Europe. However currencies are not the only ones affected. Bonds are sensitive to interest rate changes too, especially the longer dated ones. In fact, bonds suffered the biggest losses in decades. Let's see the damages year-to-date using bond ETFs (duration close to 10y) as a proxy, - iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF (IEF, in ...
Investors used a rocky week in the stock market to add to their ETF holdings. On net, $34.7 billion flowed into U.S.-listed ETFs during June, and $27.3 billion of that went into U.S. equity ETFs, even as the S&P 500 dropped 8.3%. International equity ETFs and U.S. fixed income ETFs also saw demand, gathering $4.9 billion and $3.6 billion ofnew money, respectively. Individual ETF Flows In terms of individual ETFs, the top asset gatherers for June were b...
There have been many instances in the past where the stock market has crashed. You can blame it on a war, a financial crisis, a pandemic, or just simple monetary policy. Currently our bear market is mainly due to the Fed tightening monetary policy by increasing interest rates. Either way when the market crashes we can lose money. What do we do when our investments are crumbling? It can be nerve wrecking watching your long term investments going do...
SpyderCall楼主solo invest:
Yup. I’ve been swing trading these back and forth throughout this bear market. The bear market rallies are big gainers in the options
Thank you MooMoo community to vote for my moment, and yield curve is getting No.1! As promised, I am going to prepare videos for yield curve and Interest rate. For the unemployment rate, i will also prepare it as it also >10 votes, but it will be later as it is more important to anticipate the bottom in a recession. Hello everyone! Last video we talked about how to combine 2 bottoming signals to anticipate a bottom. Is there ...
Milk The Cow :
I already just learn it on my own. I think I knows what I'm doing already (usually ppls who claims they know what they are doing = Not ) I will still see video to see if there are more new pointers .
Bonds are often touted as being a safer asset to stocks, for a variety of reasons: it is principal guaranteed and bond holders are ranked higher than shareholders should a liquidation happens. The principal guarantee is an oversold proposition because this only applies if the borrower is able to stay afloat throughout the bond tenure and repay at maturity. Bondholders have experienced rude shocks during crises whereby the borrowers go be...
With rising inflation and potential increases in bond yields, I think bond funds, rather than US Treasuries, can provide greater flexibility and diversity to mitigate market uncertainties. While US Treasuries are secure government bonds, their fixed interest rates leave them exposed to inflation, so US Treasuries may provide lower yields. On the other hand, bond funds pool investors' funds to create a diverse bond portfolio. B...
When central banks embark on an easing cyc...
Tech has been killing it in the market this year, thanks to the artificial intelligence boom. The tech sector has lifted the entire market while other sectors have greatly underperformed.
Occasionally, an overheated sector will begin to cool off as investors rotate their capital into underperforming sectors in expectation of a broadening rally or a change in the economy.
Even the NASDAQ announced a special rebalancing later this month, ...
If you want guaranteed returns on a low risk investment, then look towards fixed income investing. US treasuries are some of the least risky investments in the fixed income space.
$总债券市场ETF-Vanguard(BND.US)$ $新兴市场美元债ETF-iShares(EMB.US)$ $美国短期国债ETF-iShares(SHV.US)$ $美国国债1-3月ETF-SPDR(BIL.US)$ $美国国债1-3年ETF-iShares(SHY.US)$ $美国国债3-7年ETF-iShares(IEI.US)$ $美国国债7-10年ETF-iShares(IEF.US)$ $iShares安硕10-20年国债ETF(TLH.US)$ $20+年以上美国国债ETF-iShares(TLT.US)$
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However currencies are not the only ones affected. Bonds are sensitive to interest rate changes too, especially the longer dated ones.
In fact, bonds suffered the biggest losses in decades.
Let's see the damages year-to-date using bond ETFs (duration close to 10y) as a proxy,
- iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF (IEF, in ...
International equity ETFs and U.S. fixed income ETFs also saw demand, gathering $4.9 billion and $3.6 billion ofnew money, respectively.
Individual ETF Flows
In terms of individual ETFs, the top asset gatherers for June were b...
It can be nerve wrecking watching your long term investments going do...
As promised, I am going to prepare videos for yield curve and Interest rate. For the unemployment rate, i will also prepare it as it also >10 votes, but it will be later as it is more important to anticipate the bottom in a recession.
Hello everyone! Last video we talked about how to combine 2 bottoming signals to anticipate a bottom. Is there ...
The principal guarantee is an oversold proposition because this only applies if the borrower is able to stay afloat throughout the bond tenure and repay at maturity. Bondholders have experienced rude shocks during crises whereby the borrowers go be...
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