• Gilley : Americas market is looking more fake then any other markets seem svsmmy as all hell righ t now its something that looks purely set up and controlled

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• SpyderCall楼主 Gilley: Yup. it always looks like that it seems. The market is very irrational. That is why I just swing trade trade the trends.

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• BirzeArt1 :

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• SpyderCall楼主 Gilley: Whoever bought those options contracts made big money this week.

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• AkLi : Hard to tell right now. Germany in a recession (before most others if they do go into recession), conflict close by both political and environmental, the energy crisis mentioned yesterday per bloomberg. Might need to see how the rest of the world goes Q1 and Q2 next year maybe

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• LuckyPiggie : wow ... thats hell alot . What will be the impact to the US ? Those in Euro got to tighten belt really hard

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• SpyderCall楼主 : we are suffering here in US a tiny bit. less affluent  people are hurting a lot though.  But when demand gets affected by inflation then the US will spend lots of money to combat inflation. And the Fed meeting next month will not kill the market if its way down.
  But if we are too far in the green then i would worry about the meeting

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• LuckyPiggie SpyderCall楼主: Good Evening ( or early morning over midnite)
  Fed with the QT probably end up less money to spend. Up the INT even w 50bp , not sure how much it will help in inflation.  May even drive up cost (-> inflation) . Then unemployment will go up .... the cycle repeats.

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• LuckyPiggie : the 2 yr bond yield is high . up INT will get the new 2yr bond go even higher yield. actuallythe high inflation are reducing the real yield of the 2 yr bond indirectly good for the current bond.
  ...  fed need to find a way to up the 10yr bond yield .

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• SpyderCall楼主 LuckyPiggie: its midnight. i just made it home....
  you are absolutely right. But im not thinking that it will happen right away. US doesnt want to lose their grip over world markets. if we increase rates during an inverted curve it would be devastating. It might effect world markets. They want confidence with foreign investments going to US.  So they might instill more false confidence for a little bit longer. that is what has happened in the past. But i dont know what will happen. it just makes more sense. anything can happen though. especially when the whole market is thinking the oposite

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