Looking at the fundamentals, I can't understand why the European indices are so high. The CAC is currently at an ATH, and the DAX and FTSE seem to both be gunning for their ATH's. Is this just money shifting away from the US in favour of more defensive stocks for the upcoming global recession? Or is something else going on?$富士胶片控股(ADR)(FUJIY.US)$$卡姆登国家银行(CAC.US)$$Recon资本DAX德国ETF(DAX.US)$
The main event for the week will be Jerome Powell's rate hike on wednesday this week. The Fed increasing interest rates is the main reason for the market correction these past months. A 50 basis point hike is expected. Anything different will surely move markets. we might even possibly get a big move in the markets off of the expected 50 point move as well. Yields started the week on the rise so we can expect the 50 points at least.$20+年以上美国国债ETF-iShares(TLT.US)$$Cboe 20年以上国债ETF波动率指数(.VXTLT.US)$ ...
+10
10
5
举报
solo invest :
What do you think crude is going to do?
SpyderCall楼主solo invest:
Some people are calling for the end of the commodities rally, including oil. If the commodities bull @iamiam is feeling bearish on oil then im on board also. Because he charts show weakness in the oil uptrend
SpyderCall楼主 :
we are suffering here in US a tiny bit. less affluent people are hurting a lot though. But when demand gets affected by inflation then the US will spend lots of money to combat inflation. And the Fed meeting next month will not kill the market if its way down. But if we are too far in the green then i would worry about the meeting
LuckyPiggieSpyderCall楼主:
Good Evening ( or early morning over midnite) Fed with the QT probably end up less money to spend. Up the INT even w 50bp , not sure how much it will help in inflation. May even drive up cost (-> inflation) . Then unemployment will go up .... the cycle repeats.
LuckyPiggie :
the 2 yr bond yield is high . up INT will get the new 2yr bond go even higher yield. actuallythe high inflation are reducing the real yield of the 2 yr bond indirectly good for the current bond. ... fed need to find a way to up the 10yr bond yield .
SpyderCall楼主LuckyPiggie:
its midnight. i just made it home.... you are absolutely right. But im not thinking that it will happen right away. US doesnt want to lose their grip over world markets. if we increase rates during an inverted curve it would be devastating. It might effect world markets. They want confidence with foreign investments going to US. So they might instill more false confidence for a little bit longer. that is what has happened in the past. But i dont know what will happen. it just makes more sense. anything can happen though. especially when the whole market is thinking the oposite