$不动产信托指数ETF-Vanguard(VNQ.US)$ Potential Rebound It looks like we are seeing a breakout on the very short timeframes. The price of VNQ has climbed above the resistance of a price channel that has held down the price action for several weeks. Are we about to see a rebound? Or will we see more consolidation before a rebound? If the price falls back down into the price channel and makes new lows, then the rebound prospects will look a lot slimme...
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Mcsnacks H Tupack :
Potential buyers are still priced out of the market. Also anyone who locked in ultra-low mortgage rates in 2020 and 2021 are unlikely to move anytime soon. Id say give it at least until 2025 or a few months before that.
Mcsnacks H TupackSpyderCall楼主:
What I would look into is where JPM and Blackrock are about to move funds since they got out of the climate change investments. This new direction is where their Triple witching portfolio is going in March.
SpyderCall楼主Mcsnacks H Tupack:
So you don't like solar or real estate stocks, I take it? Where do you think those big banks are going to move their money tomorrow?
Mcsnacks H TupackSpyderCall楼主:
I think they are watching ER's to where to move it. Something like $WW International (WW.US)$ if it announces an ER that's in the positive then part will go into it and drive it back up into the 50.00 or higher range over 6-9months and then they would move into real estate.
Will Rate Cuts Give a Boost to the Real Estate Sector? On the last day of the year Jefferies announced its final batch of analysts ratings for 2023. The majority of the ratings changes were upgrades to real estate companies. When I say "majority," I mean just about any company you can think of in the real estate sector. They gave big price upgrades to just about everything in the sector from single family, multifam...
Sector Rotation Tech has been killing it in the market this year, thanks to the artificial intelligence boom. The tech sector has lifted the entire market while other sectors have greatly underperformed. Occasionally, an overheated sector will begin to cool off as investors rotate their capital into underperforming sectors in expectation of a broadening rally or a change in the economy. Even the NASDAQ announced a special rebalancing later this month, ...
SpyderCall楼主Silverbat:
A soft landing is what I see playing out on the economic data. I think the market is already pricing in the soft landing possibly. But I'm not certain on that. One thing that could be a worry is if inflation falls too fast and for too long. this would be very bad for any economy.
SpyderCall楼主Silverbat:
Who knows. Europe, UK, and Australia paused and then hiked again. They haven't signaled a pause yet. However, the Fed has signaled a decrease in interest rates going further, so it will take a big increase in inflation to change that narrative. But anything can happen in these crazy markets
$标普500波动率指数(.VIX.US)$$SPDR 标普500指数ETF(SPY.US)$$ProShares Ultra VIX短期期货ETF(UVXY.US)$ VIX had a major gap up overnight with a big spike in volume. SPY opened up today with a big gap down in price as investors shorted the market. Is it a good time to short the market after this huge rally? Or will the shorts that pushed the VIX up overnight get squeezed again like they did last April. Don't fomo or pan...
Narrative vs. Sentiment The narrative in world markets changes regularly. These narratives control market sentiment and essentially direction of price action within the markets. Market narratives range from a global pandemic, war, skyrocketing inflation or interest rates, slowing economic data, recession fears, or even improving economic data. Instances like these occur on a regular basis, and they can change the direction in markets. Ge...
SpyderCall楼主iamiam:
right. that is why home builders numbers are up. they are trying to catch up the the demand. this should effect housing prices. Actually this past economic data showed that housing prices fell more last month than they have fallen in over 30 years. Powell said there should be a housing correction but since the pandemic housing prices have only gone up. This is the first drop in a while and it is a big one. Maybe this is just the tip of the iceburg. I cant call this one but i will be ready for the ride which ever direction it goes.
iamiamSpyderCall楼主:
I think that's misleading because my area is building houses like crazy and my home value keeps going up. there is no drop on prices here only increases. what that number is reflecting is an exodus from large population centers like California, new York, illinois to lower one's. the problem we have is no one wants to sell here.
There are several instances when a positive catalyst for one security can be a negative catalyst for another type of security. This can happen for many reasons, such as macroeconomic factors, competition, or intra market mechanics. Here are a few examples of inverse trade pairings. Competition Go Long: $$美国超微公司(AMD.US)$ Go Short: $$英特尔(INTC.US)$ These two are in the semiconductor space. This sector is in full rally mode, so going short on either of t...
When Is a Good Time To Buy IMPP? IMPP had its IPO during the time when energy and commodity markets were in a massive rally due to the Russian war and supply chain challanges. This ticker symbol had one of the best spikes in price compared to the entire energy sector. It was trading like a meme stock on certain days. The hype and euphoria seem to be lingering with this stock even though the share price has been falling for quite a while, and the energy bull run seems...
102640653 :
Can u check for me tencent technicals chart n Shanghai technical charts. Look like China markets may not totally follow us markets. May be a different game plan. Since January China markets have underperformed while us markets outperformed . There r many issues unknown yet. As I worked out looks to be a wonderful third n forth quarter for China n hongkong . All depends how the data come in place. I still see china government manipulating their data in order to dictate market direction. Need your help for technical reading bin Tencent n China markets shanghai
102640653102640653:
Thanks . If Alibaba really gets settled with spin-off then it might kick start a rally here . It almost looks undervalued. Tencent too
SpyderCall楼主102640653:
whatever it is, if the spinoff is a segment that is less profitable on average than the whole, then it should be moderately beneficial for BABA. Or they could just be trying to raise money. we will see what happens soon
$英伟达(NVDA.US)$ NVDA is currently one of the strongest equities in the stock market. Last week, after printing all-time highs, the ticker closed in the red. Will there be more selling this week for the semiconductor company? Or will NVDA climb to new all-time highs next week? It appears that NVDA is forming a consolidating ranging pattern. The pattern is not quite confirmed yet, but if this week starts off with strong selling, then the resistance of this ...
The start of the first half of this year started out rough. The reason is not because my investment account tanked. I was forced to liquidate a large majority of my investment account to pay for certain unexpected life expenses. This led my account to dip below margin requirement, so I couldn't trade every day like I normally would. My investment account was flat, and I had a lot less disposable income. I didn't know what to do with myself. In the first quarter of the year, the m...
Asphen :
I'm thankful that though price action and TA, I was able to see and chart the wave with the rally from mid Mar, though many crash callers were touting mother of all crashes.
SpyderCall楼主Asphen:
Right. usually, the most bearish news is near bottoms in the market. With news, it is smart to only follow data and not opinions. Sometimes the news is only there to provide volatility. Some headlines are released simply to instigate buyers when insiders need to sell or vise versa. It can be difficult for insiders to buy or sell millions of shares without causing a reaction in the markets. So, they often use the media to bring in liquidity
MoneyComesMoneyStays :
While everyone was saying a recession is coming, even though most are saying it for political reasons for the last 3+ years, I kept buying and I'm now in the green. I'll continue to buy and buy extra if a dip comes.
AsphenSpyderCall楼主:
Well said, sir. Market is manipulated and often any news we hear are already baked in. we need to see what's coming up 6 to 9months down the road as that will determine the market.
It looks like it may be time to find the outperformed in this ETF to possibly find some profitable trades.
$SPDR 标普500指数ETF(SPY.US)$ $安博(PLD.US)$ $Redfin(RDFN.US)$ $西蒙地产(SPG.US)$ $沃那多房信(VNO.US)$ $The Real Estate Select Sector SPDR Fund(XLRE.US)$ $房地产板块精选指数(.SIXRE.US)$ $Real Estate Select Sector Index Settlement Value(.SISRE.US)$ $房地产(LIST20762.US)$
Potential Rebound
It looks like we are seeing a breakout on the very short timeframes. The price of VNQ has climbed above the resistance of a price channel that has held down the price action for several weeks.
Are we about to see a rebound? Or will we see more consolidation before a rebound? If the price falls back down into the price channel and makes new lows, then the rebound prospects will look a lot slimme...
On the last day of the year Jefferies announced its final batch of analysts ratings for 2023. The majority of the ratings changes were upgrades to real estate companies. When I say "majority," I mean just about any company you can think of in the real estate sector.
They gave big price upgrades to just about everything in the sector from single family, multifam...
Tech has been killing it in the market this year, thanks to the artificial intelligence boom. The tech sector has lifted the entire market while other sectors have greatly underperformed.
Occasionally, an overheated sector will begin to cool off as investors rotate their capital into underperforming sectors in expectation of a broadening rally or a change in the economy.
Even the NASDAQ announced a special rebalancing later this month, ...
VIX had a major gap up overnight with a big spike in volume. SPY opened up today with a big gap down in price as investors shorted the market.
Is it a good time to short the market after this huge rally? Or will the shorts that pushed the VIX up overnight get squeezed again like they did last April.
Don't fomo or pan...
The narrative in world markets changes regularly. These narratives control market sentiment and essentially direction of price action within the markets.
Market narratives range from a global pandemic, war, skyrocketing inflation or interest rates, slowing economic data, recession fears, or even improving economic data. Instances like these occur on a regular basis, and they can change the direction in markets. Ge...
Competition
Go Long: $ $美国超微公司(AMD.US)$
Go Short: $ $英特尔(INTC.US)$
These two are in the semiconductor space. This sector is in full rally mode, so going short on either of t...
IMPP had its IPO during the time when energy and commodity markets were in a massive rally due to the Russian war and supply chain challanges. This ticker symbol had one of the best spikes in price compared to the entire energy sector. It was trading like a meme stock on certain days. The hype and euphoria seem to be lingering with this stock even though the share price has been falling for quite a while, and the energy bull run seems...
NVDA is currently one of the strongest equities in the stock market. Last week, after printing all-time highs, the ticker closed in the red. Will there be more selling this week for the semiconductor company? Or will NVDA climb to new all-time highs next week?
It appears that NVDA is forming a consolidating ranging pattern. The pattern is not quite confirmed yet, but if this week starts off with strong selling, then the resistance of this ...
In the first quarter of the year, the m...
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