$天然气主连(2406)(NGmain.US)$ Natural Gas is Starting to Look More Bullish Nat gas has had a rough go since November this year. It has lost over 20% of its value since. The unseasonably warmer than usual weather in the norther hemisphere and the slow global economic growth has held down the commodity. More recently nat gas was consolidating near its lows with a bear flag type of wedge pattern. It seemed as if the commodity was forming a...
SpyderCall楼主 :
@ThirtyOne Check it out. I know you were asking about $United States Gasoline Fund LP (UGA.US)$ the other day. We might see a swing up soon. I'm still trying to decide wether to go long or not. I can't find any news or any type of catalyst for this pop so I am still skeptical.
SpyderCall楼主TinkerB3ll:
That is exactly why I am skeptical. I feel like the manipulation could be at its highest ever since the Russian war/Nat gas supply issues.
Another quick update. there is nothing new to say. I wouldn't want to own anything here. There is something bad brewing. you can't (shouldn't) keep a bad system afloat forever. The FED continues to supply money to the banks. Something is broken, or the fed wouldn't be simultaneously selling bonds while also purchasing them. They are also buying banks bad commercial loans (this is another bailout you're not being told about). There is so much bad underwater collateral in the system ...
101633546 :
The BB "pinching" meaning is it the upper band and lower band closing inwards ? and does this action always means big move either to up or down side? tq
iamiam楼主101633546:
yes, that is what I mean by pinching. and it usually means a big move. the size of the move usually depends on the length of the bollingers prior to the pinch. in other words the longer the time frame that it pinches on, the longer the move.
A quick post. That was a big fun rally. Now, let's get serious. Why would you want to buy anything here? 😕 if your answer is "rates are coming down," - you had better hope not. That would be admitting they screwed up, and there is something broken. Truth is something(s) are broken. But Powell still CAN NOT cut rates. Inflation would soar. I've already explained why and I won't go into it again. Now, when these markets fall and disinflation sets in, he can (but shouldn't) and will lo...
A day that will live in infamy 🤣 haha, just kidding, maybe. yesterday was bad, but today does not look good either. I expect a big sell-off. for a few more days. low low low. that's where we are going. A possible ground invasion, bond vigilantes leading to higher rates, oil rising, inflation increasing, and stocks (the big 7) are overvalued. Time to come to earth. it is an OPEX day, so stocks can do whatever, but this is what i think they have been building for, a massive 3 day ...
$标普500指数主连(2406)(ESmain.US)$ Last Friday saw some major bullishness in the major indices. This came after some very worrying premarket price action. A huge gap down in premarket trading immediately followed the release of US employment and wage data. The S&P 500 initially fell over 1%. Things were looking very bearish. Where Did the Bullishness Come From? During intraday trading, the S&P finished over 1% in the green, completely reversing the ver...
$WTI原油主连(2407)(CLmain.US)$ In a previous post about crude prices, I mentioned the areas where we might see some selling. Currently, the price of crude is just below the first area of resistance that I discussed. Check out the post in the link directly below. Dovish Macro Picture Oil prices have been on a very sharp rally for the past few months. Policy from Opec has been the main driver of this price spike. The macroeconomic situation is still very dovish fo...
Dk kang :
Al Jazeera reported that missiles were exchanged between southern Lebanon and northern Israel this morning, and that the war zone is expanding to the border between Israel and Syria.
Sector Rotation Tech has been killing it in the market this year, thanks to the artificial intelligence boom. The tech sector has lifted the entire market while other sectors have greatly underperformed. Occasionally, an overheated sector will begin to cool off as investors rotate their capital into underperforming sectors in expectation of a broadening rally or a change in the economy. Even the NASDAQ announced a special rebalancing later this month, ...
SpyderCall楼主Silverbat:
A soft landing is what I see playing out on the economic data. I think the market is already pricing in the soft landing possibly. But I'm not certain on that. One thing that could be a worry is if inflation falls too fast and for too long. this would be very bad for any economy.
SpyderCall楼主Silverbat:
Who knows. Europe, UK, and Australia paused and then hiked again. They haven't signaled a pause yet. However, the Fed has signaled a decrease in interest rates going further, so it will take a big increase in inflation to change that narrative. But anything can happen in these crazy markets
$标普500波动率指数(.VIX.US)$$SPDR 标普500指数ETF(SPY.US)$$ProShares Ultra VIX短期期货ETF(UVXY.US)$ VIX had a major gap up overnight with a big spike in volume. SPY opened up today with a big gap down in price as investors shorted the market. Is it a good time to short the market after this huge rally? Or will the shorts that pushed the VIX up overnight get squeezed again like they did last April. Don't fomo or pan...
Narrative vs. Sentiment The narrative in world markets changes regularly. These narratives control market sentiment and essentially direction of price action within the markets. Market narratives range from a global pandemic, war, skyrocketing inflation or interest rates, slowing economic data, recession fears, or even improving economic data. Instances like these occur on a regular basis, and they can change the direction in markets. Ge...
SpyderCall楼主iamiam:
right. that is why home builders numbers are up. they are trying to catch up the the demand. this should effect housing prices. Actually this past economic data showed that housing prices fell more last month than they have fallen in over 30 years. Powell said there should be a housing correction but since the pandemic housing prices have only gone up. This is the first drop in a while and it is a big one. Maybe this is just the tip of the iceburg. I cant call this one but i will be ready for the ride which ever direction it goes.
iamiamSpyderCall楼主:
I think that's misleading because my area is building houses like crazy and my home value keeps going up. there is no drop on prices here only increases. what that number is reflecting is an exodus from large population centers like California, new York, illinois to lower one's. the problem we have is no one wants to sell here.
SpyderCall楼主 : @ThirtyOne
Check it out. I know you were asking about $United States Gasoline Fund LP (UGA.US)$ the other day. We might see a swing up soon. I'm still trying to decide wether to go long or not. I can't find any news or any type of catalyst for this pop so I am still skeptical.
ThirtyOne SpyderCall楼主: I appreciate it! Yea I have been watching this with UNG
TinkerB3ll SpyderCall楼主: Agree personally now look to go long but again NG is so highly manipulated
SpyderCall楼主 TinkerB3ll: That is exactly why I am skeptical. I feel like the manipulation could be at its highest ever since the Russian war/Nat gas supply issues.
Ultratech TinkerB3ll: ng is heavily shorted that's why kold when ung is high
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