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Warren Buffett Plans To Sell His Real Estate Brokerage, But It's 'Not... A Bet Against US Home Prices,' Says Analyst As Fed Expects To Keep Rates Unchanged

Warren Buffett Plans To Sell His Real Estate Brokerage, But It's 'Not... A Bet Against US Home Prices,' Says Analyst As Fed Expects To Keep Rates Unchanged

沃伦·巴菲特计划出售他的房地产业,但分析师表示这并不是对美国房价的 "押注",因为美联储预计将保持利率不变。
Benzinga ·  03/17 15:19

Berkshire Hathaway Inc. (NYSE:BRK) (NYSE:BRK) led by the Oracle of Omaha, Warren Buffett, is in talks to sell its real estate brokerage business to New York-based Compass Real Estate. While some experts view this as his levered bet against the U.S. home prices, others see it as a consolidation in the realty sector.

伯克希尔·哈撒韦(纽交所:BRK)(纽交所:BRK)在奥马哈的先知沃伦·巴菲特的领导下,正在与总部位于纽约的Compass房地产进行谈判,计划出售其房地产业务。虽然一些专家认为这是他对美国房价的杠杆押注,但其他人则认为这是房地产业板块的整合。

What Happened: Compass has offered to buy Berkshire's realty business, HomeServices of America, including Real Living, for an undisclosed price, according to a WSJ report. The Berkshire business has about 820 offices and 270 franchises, whereas Compass is the second-largest U.S. brokerage.

发生了什么:根据《华尔街日报》的报道,Compass已提出以未披露的价格收购伯克希尔的房地产业务HomeServices of America,包括Real Living。伯克希尔的业务大约有820家办公室和270家特许经营,而Compass是美国第二大券商。

After these reports emerged, billionaire investor Chamath Palihapitiya took to X and said that "The world's best investor is selling his bet levered to US home prices."

在这些报道出现后,亿万富翁投资者Chamath Palihapitiya在X平台上表示:“世界上最好的投资者正在出售与美国房价杠杆相关的押注。”

However, there wasn't a consensus on the fact that a bet against a traditional brokerage is the same as betting against the U.S. home prices. According to Amy Nixon, a DFW housing and economic analyst, the possible sale of Berkshire's realty business to Compass was "not necessarily a bet against US home prices," because Buffett could be betting on the real estate technology to reshape the industry further.

然而,对于与传统券商的押注是否与对美国房价的押注相同,并没有达成共识。根据DFW住房和经济分析师Amy Nixon的说法,伯克希尔的房地产业务向Compass的可能出售“并不一定是对美国房价的押注”,因为巴菲特可能是在押注房地产科技进一步重塑行业。

He dumped all his home builder stocks a year ago and that proved wise
That said, a bet against a traditional brokerage is not necessarily a bet against US home prices
He may be betting on REtech reshaping the industry even further

— Amy Nixon (@texasrunnerDFW) March 16, 2025

他在一年前抛售了所有的房屋建筑商股票,这证明是明智的
也就是说,对传统券商的押注并不一定是对美国房价的押注
他可能正在押注REtech进一步重塑行业

— Amy Nixon (@texasrunnerDFW) 2025年3月16日

Why It Matters: Despite a sale of its business having any correlation with a bet on U.S. home prices, as mentioned by Nixon. The impact of higher interest rates does affect the housing market. Higher interest rates strain both homebuyers, facing increased monthly payments, and sellers, experiencing reduced demand and lower offers.

为什么这很重要:尽管出售其业务与对美国房价的押注没有任何关联,正如尼克松所提到的。更高的利率确实会影响房屋市场。更高的利率给购房者带来了压力,因为他们面临着增加的月供,同时也给卖家带来了压力,他们经历了需求减少和报价降低。

The Federal Reserve's primary monetary policy-making body, the Federal Open Market Committee, is scheduled to meet on March 18 and 19 this week to decide on the course of interest rates.

美联储的主要货币政策制定机构,联邦公开市场委员会,定于本周3月18日和19日召开会议,以决定利率的走势。

According to the CME Group's FedWatch tool, there is a 99% chance that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged for the March meeting. However, the probability of an ease increases from June 2025 onwards.

根据芝加哥商品交易所的联邦观察工具,美联储在3月会议上保持利率不变的可能性为99%。然而,从2025年6月开始,降息的可能性有所增加。

Furthermore, the U.S. real estate sector is consolidating, as Rocket Companies Inc. (NYSE:RKT) signed an acquisition deal worth $1.75 billion last week with Redfin Corp. (NASDAQ:RDFN).

此外,美国房地产业正在整合,Rocket Companies Inc.(纽交所:RKT)上周与Redfin Corp.(纳斯达克:RDFN)签署了一项价值17.5亿的收购协议。

Price Action: The SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:SPY) and Invesco QQQ Trust ETF (NASDAQ:QQQ), which track the S&P 500 index and Nasdaq 100 index, respectively, rose on Friday. The SPY was advanced 2.07% to $562.81, and the QQQ also jumped 2.42% to $479.66, according to Benzinga Pro data.

价格走势:SPDR 标普500指数ETF(纽交所:SPY)和纳指100ETF-Invesco QQQ Trust(纳斯达克:QQQ)分别跟踪标普500指数和纳斯达克100指数,上周五上涨。SPY上涨了2.07%,至562.81美元,QQQ也上涨了2.42%,至479.66美元,根据Benzinga Pro的数据。

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