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New Home Sales Poised for up to 50% Growth in 2025

New Home Sales Poised for up to 50% Growth in 2025

新房销售预计在2025年增长高达50%
Singapore Business Review ·  01/20 14:34

One of the drivers will be lower mortgage rates.

其中一个驱动因素将是更低的抵押贷款利率。

The housing market is projected to experience a surge this year, with an expected new home sales volume of 9,000 to 10,000 units in 2025, up 30% to 50% from last year.

预计今年房地产市场将会出现激增,2025年新房销售成交量预计为9000到10000套,比去年增长30%到50%。

According to RHB's sector update, this growth will be driven by lower mortgage rates, resilient household balance sheets, and an increase in new launch supply of over 13,000 units, which is double that of 2024.

根据RHB的板块更新,这一增长将受益于更低的抵押贷款利率、家庭资产负债表的稳健,以及超过13,000个新推出单位的供应增加,这个数量是2024年的两倍。

"Demand, however, is expected to remain selective, price-sensitive, and skewed towards the mass market and mid-tier segments," RHB said.

RHb表示:“然而,需求预计将保持选择性、对价格敏感,并偏向大众市场和中端市场。”

This follows a shift in buying interest seen in the fourth quarter of 2024 which saw around 3,500 new homes being sold, more than the entire first nine months of last year. Developers sold 6,560 units, up 2% year-on-year (YoY).

这跟随2024年第四季度购买兴趣的转变,当时大约售出了3,500套新房,超过了去年的前九个月的总销量。开发商出售了6,560个单位,同比增长2%。

RHB said the secondary market may also benefit from the healthy interest in new launches, as the 30% to 50% price differential remains, with a 10% to 15% YoY increase in private resale transaction volumes expected.

RHb表示,二手市场也可能受益于对新推出项目的健康兴趣,因为价格差异仍在30%到50%之间,预计私人物业转售交易量将同比增长10%到15%。

Meanwhile, RHB expects residential prices to continue moderating 1% to 4% in 2025 amidst higher supply and choices in the market, coupled with price-sensitive demand. Additional Buyer's StampDuty deadlines will also possibly limit developers' pricing power. T

与此同时,RHb预计住宅价格将在2025年将继续调整1%到4%,因为市场中供应和选择增加,加上对价格的敏感需求。此外,额外的买方印花税截止日期也可能限制开发商的定价能力。

"This is especially noticeable in the high-end segment, where the developer of One Bernam recently dangled discounts of 15% to 27%, resulting in a near sell-out of remaining units," it said.

“这在高端市场尤为明显,One Bernam的开发商最近推出了15%到27%的折扣,导致剩余单位几乎售罄,”它说。

RHB said it expects developers to maintain cautious bidding stance amidst ramp-up in land supply over the last three years via government land sales (GLS) programmes. For the first half, GLS has been raised to 8,505 units, comprising 5,030 units in the confirmed list.

RHb表示,预计开发商在过去三年由于政府土地销售(GLS)计划而增加土地供应的情况下,将保持谨慎的竞标态度。在上半年,GLS已提高到8,505个单位,其中包括确认名单中的5,030个单位。

There will be three executive condominium sites in the confirmed list, yielding 980 units to cater to rising demand.

确认名单中将有三个执行公寓地块,提供980个单位以满足不断增长的需求。

"We expect developers to remain selective and measured in their bids as development margins remain thin (5% to 15%) amidst increasing cost pressures. This, in our view, could lead to a more stable and sustained property market recovery in 2025," RHB said.

RHb表示:“我们预计开发商在竞标时将保持选择性和谨慎,因为在成本压力不断增加的情况下,开发利润仍然很薄(5%到15%)。在我们看来,这可能会导致2025年房地产市场的稳定和持续复苏。”

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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