SINOPEC Engineering (Group) (HKG:2386) Has A Rock Solid Balance Sheet
SINOPEC Engineering (Group) (HKG:2386) Has A Rock Solid Balance Sheet
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, SINOPEC Engineering (Group) Co., Ltd. (HKG:2386) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
传奇基金经理李录(查理·芒格支持的人)曾说过:‘最大的投资风险不是价格的波动,而是你是否会遭受永久性的资本损失。’当我们考虑一家公司的风险时,我们总是喜欢查看它的债务使用情况,因为债务过重可能导致破产。重要的是,中石化工程(集团)有限公司(HKG:2386)确实有债务。但真正的问题是,这些债务是否使公司变得危险。
When Is Debt Dangerous?
债务何时有危险?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
一般来说,当一家公司无法轻松偿还债务时,债务才会成为真正的问题,无论是通过筹集资本还是通过自身现金流。资本主义的一部分是'创造性破坏'的过程,失败的企业会被银行无情地清算。然而,更常见(但仍然代价高昂)的情况是,一家公司必须以低价发行股票,永久性地稀释股东,以强化其资产负债表。当然,很多公司利用债务来实现增长,而没有任何负面影响。当我们考虑公司债务的使用时,我们首先会查看现金和债务。
What Is SINOPEC Engineering (Group)'s Net Debt?
中石化工程(集团)的净债务是多少?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that SINOPEC Engineering (Group) had CN¥129.2m of debt in June 2024, down from CN¥154.2m, one year before. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥20.8b in cash, so it actually has CN¥20.7b net cash.
您可以点击下面的图形查看历史数据,但它显示中石化工程(集团)在2024年6月的债务为12920万人民币,比一年前的15420万人民币减少。不过,它的资产负债表显示它持有现金208亿人民币,因此实际上它净拥有207亿人民币的现金。
A Look At SINOPEC Engineering (Group)'s Liabilities
看一看中石化工程(集团)的负债
According to the last reported balance sheet, SINOPEC Engineering (Group) had liabilities of CN¥48.0b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥1.95b due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥20.8b and CN¥41.2b worth of receivables due within a year. So it can boast CN¥12.0b more liquid assets than total liabilities.
根据最近报告的资产负债表,中石化工程(集团)在12个月内有480亿人民币的负债,而12个月后到期的负债为19.5亿人民币。另一方面,它有现金208亿人民币,以及412亿人民币的应收款,均在一年内到期。因此,它的流动资产比总负债多出120亿人民币。
This luscious liquidity implies that SINOPEC Engineering (Group)'s balance sheet is sturdy like a giant sequoia tree. On this view, lenders should feel as safe as the beloved of a black-belt karate master. Succinctly put, SINOPEC Engineering (Group) boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
这样丰厚的流动性意味着中石化工程(集团)的资产负债表如同一棵巨型红杉树般稳固。从这个角度看,借款人应感到像黑带空手道大师心爱的那样安全。简单总结,中石化工程(集团)拥有净现金,因此可以说它并没有沉重的债务负担!
On top of that, SINOPEC Engineering (Group) grew its EBIT by 35% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine SINOPEC Engineering (Group)'s ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
此外,中石化工程(集团)在过去十二个月将息税前利润(EBIT)增长了35%,这种增长将使其更容易处理债务。分析债务时,资产负债表显然是重点关注的区域。但是,未来的收益,更多的是将决定中石化工程(集团)维持健康资产负债表的能力。所以如果你想看看专业人士的看法,你可能会觉得这份关于分析师利润预测的自由报告会很有趣。
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. While SINOPEC Engineering (Group) has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the last three years, SINOPEC Engineering (Group) actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash generation warms our hearts like a puppy in a bumblebee suit.
最后,虽然税务人员可能钟爱会计利润,但贷款人只接受冷硬的现金。虽然中石化工程(集团)在资产负债表上拥有净现金,但仍值得查看其将息税前利润(EBIT)转化为自由现金流的能力,以帮助我们理解它在多快地建立(或侵蚀)现金余额。在过去三年中,中石化工程(集团)实际产生的自由现金流超过了EBIT。这种强劲的现金生成让我们像小狗穿上蜜蜂服那样感到温暖。
Summing Up
总之
While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case SINOPEC Engineering (Group) has CN¥20.7b in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. And it impressed us with free cash flow of -CN¥1.1b, being 183% of its EBIT. At the end of the day we're not concerned about SINOPEC Engineering (Group)'s debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for SINOPEC Engineering (Group) (of which 1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) you should know about.
虽然调查公司的债务始终是明智之举,但在这种情况下,中国石化工程(集团)拥有207亿人民币的净现金和令人满意的资产负债表。它以负11亿人民币的自由现金流给我们留下了深刻印象,相当于其息税前利润的183%。最终,我们对中国石化工程(集团)的债务并不担心。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表显然是一个起点。然而,并非所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表中——远非如此。这些风险可能难以发现。每家公司都有这些风险,而我们发现了中国石化工程(集团)的两个警示信号(其中一个让我们有点不安!),你应该知道。
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
当一切尘埃落定时,有时更容易专注于那些甚至不需要债务的公司。读者可以立即免费查看零净债务的成长股列表。
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