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Zoomlion Heavy Industry Science and Technology Co., Ltd. Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Predictions

Zoomlion Heavy Industry Science and Technology Co., Ltd. Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Predictions

中联重科刚刚超过了分析师的预测,并且分析师们正在更新他们的预测
Simply Wall St ·  11/01 15:20

It's been a good week for Zoomlion Heavy Industry Science and Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000157) shareholders, because the company has just released its latest third-quarter results, and the shares gained 3.9% to CN¥7.13. Revenues were CN¥9.9b, approximately in line with whatthe analysts expected, although statutory earnings per share (EPS) crushed expectations, coming in at CN¥0.10, an impressive 67% ahead of estimates. The analysts typically update their forecasts at each earnings report, and we can judge from their estimates whether their view of the company has changed or if there are any new concerns to be aware of. Readers will be glad to know we've aggregated the latest statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their mind on Zoomlion Heavy Industry Science and Technology after the latest results.

中联重科科技股份有限公司(SZSE:000157)的股东们开开心心度过了一个不错的星期,因为公司刚刚发布了最新的第三季度业绩报告,股价上涨了3.9%,达到了7.13元人民币。营业收入为99亿人民币,与分析师预期基本一致,尽管法定每股收益(EPS)超出预期,达到了0.10元人民币,比预期高出67%。分析师们通常会在每次财报后更新他们的预测,我们可以从他们的估值中判断他们对公司的看法是否有变化,或者是否有任何新的值得注意的问题。读者们会高兴地得知,我们已经整合了最新的法定预测,以查看分析师们在最新业绩报告后是否改变了他们对中联重科科技股份有限公司的看法。

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SZSE:000157 Earnings and Revenue Growth November 1st 2024
SZSE:000157 2024年11月1日盈利和营收增长

Taking into account the latest results, the consensus forecast from Zoomlion Heavy Industry Science and Technology's 13 analysts is for revenues of CN¥60.7b in 2025. This reflects a sizeable 32% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to soar 45% to CN¥0.63. Before this earnings report, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of CN¥60.7b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥0.63 in 2025. So it's pretty clear that, although the analysts have updated their estimates, there's been no major change in expectations for the business following the latest results.

考虑到最新的业绩,中联重科科技股份有限公司的13位分析师的共识预测是,2025年营业收入将达到607亿人民币。这反映了与过去12个月相比营收增长32%。每股收益预计将飙升45%,达到0.63元人民币。在本次业绩报告之前,分析师们一直预测2025年的营业收入为607亿人民币,每股收益为0.63元人民币。因此很明显,尽管分析师们已更新了他们的预测,但在最新业绩后,对业务的预期并没有发生重大变化。

It will come as no surprise then, to learn that the consensus price target is largely unchanged at CN¥8.42. There's another way to think about price targets though, and that's to look at the range of price targets put forward by analysts, because a wide range of estimates could suggest a diverse view on possible outcomes for the business. The most optimistic Zoomlion Heavy Industry Science and Technology analyst has a price target of CN¥10.50 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at CN¥6.00. As you can see, analysts are not all in agreement on the stock's future, but the range of estimates is still reasonably narrow, which could suggest that the outcome is not totally unpredictable.

因此,毫不奇怪,共识价格目标仍然基本不变,为8.42元人民币。然而,有另一种思考价格目标的方式,那就是查看分析师提出的价格目标范围,因为广泛的估值范围可能表明对业务可能结果存在不同看法。最乐观的中联重科科技股份有限公司分析师将目标价定为每股10.50元人民币,而最悲观者估值为每股6.00元人民币。正如您所见,分析师对该股未来并不完全一致,但估值范围仍然相对狭窄,这可能表明结果并非完全不可预测。

Of course, another way to look at these forecasts is to place them into context against the industry itself. One thing stands out from these estimates, which is that Zoomlion Heavy Industry Science and Technology is forecast to grow faster in the future than it has in the past, with revenues expected to display 25% annualised growth until the end of 2025. If achieved, this would be a much better result than the 3.6% annual decline over the past five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in the industry are forecast to see their revenue grow 17% per year. Not only are Zoomlion Heavy Industry Science and Technology's revenues expected to improve, it seems that the analysts are also expecting it to grow faster than the wider industry.

当然,看待这些预测的另一种方法是将它们与行业本身的情况联系起来。这些估算中有一件事引人注目,即中联重科在未来的增长预期要快于过去,在2025年底之前预计营业收入将以25%的年增长率增长。如果实现,这将比过去5年里年均下降3.6%的结果要好得多。相比之下,我们的数据显示,分析师预测行业中其他公司的营业收入将以每年17%的速度增长。中联重科的营业收入预期不仅将会改善,而且分析师还预计其增长速度会超过整个行业。

The Bottom Line

最重要的事情是分析师增加了它对下一年每股亏损的估计。令人欣慰的是,营收预测未发生重大变化,业务仍有望比整个行业增长更快。共识价格目标稳定在28.50美元,最新估计不足以对价格目标产生影响。

The most obvious conclusion is that there's been no major change in the business' prospects in recent times, with the analysts holding their earnings forecasts steady, in line with previous estimates. Happily, there were no major changes to revenue forecasts, with the business still expected to grow faster than the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.

最明显的结论是,业务前景最近并没有发生重大变化,分析师们保持其盈利预测不变,与以往的预期相符。令人高兴的是,营收预测没有发生重大变化,该业务仍有望比更广泛的行业增长更快。一致的目标价格没有发生实质性变化,这表明通过最新的预测,业务的内在价值没有发生任何重大变化。

With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for Zoomlion Heavy Industry Science and Technology going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here..

话虽如此,公司收益的长期轨迹比明年更加重要。在Simply Wall St,我们对中联重科2026年的分析师预估有完整的覆盖,您可以免费在我们的平台上查看。

However, before you get too enthused, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Zoomlion Heavy Industry Science and Technology that you should be aware of.

然而,在你过于兴奋之前,我们发现了中联重科存在3个警告信号,你应该意识到。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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