The GCH Technology Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688625) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 25%. But the gains over the last month weren't enough to make shareholders whole, as the share price is still down 3.8% in the last twelve months.
Although its price has surged higher, GCH Technology's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 22.5x might still make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in China, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 33x and even P/E's above 63x are quite common. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Recent times have been advantageous for GCH Technology as its earnings have been rising faster than most other companies. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on GCH Technology will help you uncover what's on the horizon.
What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/E?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as low as GCH Technology's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market.
If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 18%. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 49% overall rise in EPS, aided by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 16% per year as estimated by the four analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 26% each year, which is noticeably more attractive.
In light of this, it's understandable that GCH Technology's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.
The Bottom Line On GCH Technology's P/E
GCH Technology's stock might have been given a solid boost, but its P/E certainly hasn't reached any great heights. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
As we suspected, our examination of GCH Technology's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook is contributing to its low P/E. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
Having said that, be aware GCH Technology is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 1 of those makes us a bit uncomfortable.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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