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China Zheshang Bank (HKG:2016) Shareholders Have Endured a 33% Loss From Investing in the Stock Five Years Ago

China Zheshang Bank (HKG:2016) Shareholders Have Endured a 33% Loss From Investing in the Stock Five Years Ago

中國浙商銀行(HKG: 2016)股東因五年前投資該股而遭受了33%的損失
Simply Wall St ·  04/30 19:56

Ideally, your overall portfolio should beat the market average. But every investor is virtually certain to have both over-performing and under-performing stocks. So we wouldn't blame long term China Zheshang Bank Co., Ltd (HKG:2016) shareholders for doubting their decision to hold, with the stock down 47% over a half decade.

理想情況下,您的整體投資組合應超過市場平均水平。但是,幾乎每個投資者都肯定會有表現過硬和表現不佳的股票。因此,我們不會責怪中國浙商銀行股份有限公司(HKG: 2016)的長期股東對他們的持股決定表示懷疑,該股在五年內下跌了47%。

It's worthwhile assessing if the company's economics have been moving in lockstep with these underwhelming shareholder returns, or if there is some disparity between the two. So let's do just that.

值得評估的是,該公司的經濟狀況是否與這些令人難以置信的股東回報步調一致,或者兩者之間是否存在一些差距。所以我們就這麼做吧。

To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

用本傑明·格雷厄姆的話來說:從短期來看,市場是一臺投票機器,但從長遠來看,它是一臺稱重機。評估公司情緒變化的一種有缺陷但合理的方法是將每股收益(EPS)與股價進行比較。

During the five years over which the share price declined, China Zheshang Bank's earnings per share (EPS) dropped by 4.3% each year. This reduction in EPS is less than the 12% annual reduction in the share price. This implies that the market is more cautious about the business these days. The less favorable sentiment is reflected in its current P/E ratio of 4.00.

在股價下跌的五年中,中國浙商銀行的每股收益(EPS)每年下降4.3%。每股收益的下降幅度低於股價每年12%的降幅。這意味着當今市場對該業務更加謹慎。不太樂觀的情緒反映在其當前市盈率4.00上。

The image below shows how EPS has tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

下圖顯示了 EPS 在一段時間內的跟蹤情況(如果你點擊圖片,你可以看到更多細節)。

earnings-per-share-growth
SEHK:2016 Earnings Per Share Growth April 30th 2024
香港交易所:2016 年每股收益增長 2024 年 4 月 30 日

We're pleased to report that the CEO is remunerated more modestly than most CEOs at similarly capitalized companies. But while CEO remuneration is always worth checking, the really important question is whether the company can grow earnings going forward. Dive deeper into the earnings by checking this interactive graph of China Zheshang Bank's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

我們很高興地向大家報告,首席執行官的薪酬比資本相似公司的大多數首席執行官要適中。但是,儘管首席執行官的薪酬總是值得檢查的,但真正重要的問題是公司未來能否增加收益。查看這張中國浙商銀行收益、收入和現金流的互動圖表,深入了解收益。

What About Dividends?

分紅呢?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. We note that for China Zheshang Bank the TSR over the last 5 years was -33%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

除了衡量股價回報率外,投資者還應考慮股東總回報率(TSR)。基於股息再投資的假設,股東總回報率納入了任何分拆或貼現資本籌集的價值以及任何股息。可以說,股東總回報率更全面地描述了股票產生的回報。我們注意到,中國浙商銀行在過去5年的股東總回報率爲-33%,好於上述股價回報率。而且,猜測股息支付在很大程度上解釋了這種分歧是沒有好處的!

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

We regret to report that China Zheshang Bank shareholders are down 9.6% for the year (even including dividends). Unfortunately, that's worse than the broader market decline of 4.2%. However, it could simply be that the share price has been impacted by broader market jitters. It might be worth keeping an eye on the fundamentals, in case there's a good opportunity. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 6% over the last half decade. Generally speaking long term share price weakness can be a bad sign, though contrarian investors might want to research the stock in hope of a turnaround. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for China Zheshang Bank that you should be aware of before investing here.

我們遺憾地報告,浙商銀行的股東今年下跌了9.6%(甚至包括股息)。不幸的是,這比整個市場4.2%的跌幅還要嚴重。但是,可能只是股價受到了更廣泛的市場緊張情緒的影響。如果有很好的機會,可能值得關注基本面。不幸的是,去年的表現可能預示着尚未解決的挑戰,因爲它比過去五年中6%的年化虧損還要糟糕。總的來說,長期股價疲軟可能是一個壞兆頭,儘管逆勢投資者可能希望研究該股以期出現轉機。儘管市場狀況可能對股價產生的不同影響值得考慮,但還有其他因素更爲重要。例如,我們發現了中國浙商銀行的兩個警告信號,在投資之前,您應該注意這些信號。

If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: insiders have been buying them).

如果你想與管理層一起購買股票,那麼你可能會喜歡這份免費的公司名單。(提示:業內人士一直在購買它們)。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在香港交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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