Poly Plastic Masterbatch (SuZhou) Co.,Ltd (SZSE:300905) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 110% share price jump in the last month. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 88% in the last year.
Following the firm bounce in price, Poly Plastic Masterbatch (SuZhou)Ltd's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 47.5x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in China, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 30x and even P/E's below 19x are quite common. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Poly Plastic Masterbatch (SuZhou)Ltd certainly has been doing a great job lately as it's been growing earnings at a really rapid pace. It seems that many are expecting the strong earnings performance to beat most other companies over the coming period, which has increased investors' willingness to pay up for the stock. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Poly Plastic Masterbatch (SuZhou)Ltd, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.
Is There Enough Growth For Poly Plastic Masterbatch (SuZhou)Ltd?
Poly Plastic Masterbatch (SuZhou)Ltd's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 136% gain to the company's bottom line. Still, incredibly EPS has fallen 37% in total from three years ago, which is quite disappointing. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the market is expected to grow by 38% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term earnings decline into perspective.
With this information, we find it concerning that Poly Plastic Masterbatch (SuZhou)Ltd is trading at a P/E higher than the market. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.
What We Can Learn From Poly Plastic Masterbatch (SuZhou)Ltd's P/E?
The strong share price surge has got Poly Plastic Masterbatch (SuZhou)Ltd's P/E rushing to great heights as well. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
Our examination of Poly Plastic Masterbatch (SuZhou)Ltd revealed its shrinking earnings over the medium-term aren't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given the market is set to grow. When we see earnings heading backwards and underperforming the market forecasts, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 4 warning signs for Poly Plastic Masterbatch (SuZhou)Ltd (2 make us uncomfortable!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.
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