The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company (NYSE:SMG), is not the largest company out there, but it saw a significant share price rise of 27% in the past couple of months on the NYSE. The recent rally in share prices has nudged the company in the right direction, though it still falls short of its yearly peak. With many analysts covering the mid-cap stock, we may expect any price-sensitive announcements have already been factored into the stock's share price. However, what if the stock is still a bargain? Let's take a look at Scotts Miracle-Gro's outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if the opportunity still exists.

What's The Opportunity In Scotts Miracle-Gro?

According to our valuation model, Scotts Miracle-Gro seems to be fairly priced at around 4.21% above our intrinsic value, which means if you buy Scotts Miracle-Gro today, you'd be paying a relatively fair price for it. And if you believe that the stock is really worth $65.01, then there isn't really any room for the share price grow beyond what it's currently trading. Although, there may be an opportunity to buy in the future. This is because Scotts Miracle-Gro's beta (a measure of share price volatility) is high, meaning its price movements will be exaggerated relative to the rest of the market. If the market is bearish, the company's shares will likely fall by more than the rest of the market, providing a prime buying opportunity.

Can we expect growth from Scotts Miracle-Gro?

Future outlook is an important aspect when you're looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Although value investors would argue that it's the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. With revenues expected to grow by a double-digit 11% over the next couple of years, the outlook is positive for Scotts Miracle-Gro. If the level of expenses is able to be maintained, it looks like higher cash flow is on the cards for the stock, which should feed into a higher share valuation.

What This Means For You

Are you a shareholder? SMG's optimistic future growth appears to have been factored into the current share price, with shares trading around its fair value. However, there are also other important factors which we haven't considered today, such as the financial strength of the company. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at the stock? Will you have enough confidence to invest in the company should the price drop below its fair value?

Are you a potential investor? If you've been keeping an eye on SMG, now may not be the most optimal time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. However, the positive outlook is encouraging for the company, which means it's worth diving deeper into other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing Scotts Miracle-Gro at this point in time. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Scotts Miracle-Gro (1 is concerning) you should be familiar with.

If you are no longer interested in Scotts Miracle-Gro, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.