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Earnings Growth Outpaced the 25% Return Delivered to ZYNP (SZSE:002448) Shareholders Over the Last Year

Earnings Growth Outpaced the 25% Return Delivered to ZYNP (SZSE:002448) Shareholders Over the Last Year

去年,收益增长超过了ZYNP(深圳证券交易所:002448)股东获得的25%的回报
Simply Wall St ·  04/23 19:10

Passive investing in index funds can generate returns that roughly match the overall market. But one can do better than that by picking better than average stocks (as part of a diversified portfolio). To wit, the ZYNP Corporation (SZSE:002448) share price is 23% higher than it was a year ago, much better than the market decline of around 16% (not including dividends) in the same period. So that should have shareholders smiling. The longer term returns have not been as good, with the stock price only 17% higher than it was three years ago.

对指数基金的被动投资可以产生与整个市场大致相匹配的回报。但是,通过选择比普通股更好的股票(作为多元化投资组合的一部分),可以做得比这更好。换句话说,ZYNP公司(深圳证券交易所:002448)的股价比去年同期上涨了23%,远好于同期约16%(不包括股息)的市场跌幅。因此,这应该让股东们微笑。长期回报率并不那么好,股价仅比三年前高出17%。

On the back of a solid 7-day performance, let's check what role the company's fundamentals have played in driving long term shareholder returns.

在连续7天表现稳健的背景下,让我们来看看公司的基本面在推动长期股东回报方面发挥了什么作用。

While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

尽管一些人继续教导高效市场假说,但事实证明,市场是反应过度的动态系统,投资者并不总是理性的。研究市场情绪如何随着时间的推移而变化的一种方法是研究公司股价与其每股收益(EPS)之间的相互作用。

During the last year ZYNP grew its earnings per share (EPS) by 70%. It's fair to say that the share price gain of 23% did not keep pace with the EPS growth. So it seems like the market has cooled on ZYNP, despite the growth. Interesting.

去年,ZYNP的每股收益(EPS)增长了70%。可以公平地说,23%的股价涨幅跟不上每股收益的增长。因此,尽管有所增长,但ZYNP的市场似乎已经降温。有趣。

The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

该公司的每股收益(随着时间的推移)如下图所示(点击查看确切数字)。

earnings-per-share-growth
SZSE:002448 Earnings Per Share Growth April 23rd 2024
SZSE: 002448 每股收益增长 2024 年 4 月 23 日

Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here.

在买入或卖出股票之前,我们始终建议仔细研究历史增长趋势,可在此处查阅。

What About Dividends?

分红呢?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. As it happens, ZYNP's TSR for the last 1 year was 25%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

重要的是要考虑任何给定股票的股东总回报率和股价回报率。尽管股价回报率仅反映股价的变化,但股东总回报率包括股息的价值(假设已进行再投资)以及任何折扣融资或分拆的收益。因此,对于支付丰厚股息的公司来说,股东总回报率通常远高于股价回报率。碰巧的是,ZYNP在过去1年的股东总回报率为25%,超过了前面提到的股价回报率。而且,猜测股息支付在很大程度上解释了这种分歧是没有好处的!

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

It's good to see that ZYNP has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 25% in the last twelve months. That's including the dividend. Since the one-year TSR is better than the five-year TSR (the latter coming in at 2% per year), it would seem that the stock's performance has improved in recent times. In the best case scenario, this may hint at some real business momentum, implying that now could be a great time to delve deeper. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with ZYNP , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

很高兴看到ZYNP在过去十二个月中向股东提供了25%的总股东回报率。这包括股息。由于一年期股东总回报率好于五年期股东总回报率(后者为每年2%),因此该股的表现似乎在最近有所改善。在最好的情况下,这可能暗示着一些真正的业务势头,这意味着现在可能是深入研究的好时机。我发现将长期股价视为业务绩效的代表非常有趣。但是,要真正获得见解,我们还需要考虑其他信息。例如,以永远存在的投资风险幽灵为例。我们已经向ZYNP确定了1个警告信号,了解它们应该是您投资过程的一部分。

But note: ZYNP may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).

但请注意:ZYNP可能不是最值得购买的股票。因此,来看看这份过去盈利增长(以及进一步增长预测)的有趣公司的免费清单。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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