To the annoyance of some shareholders, JinXianDai Information Industry Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:300830) shares are down a considerable 25% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 50% in that time.
Although its price has dipped substantially, JinXianDai Information IndustryLtd may still be sending very bearish signals at the moment with a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 72.1x, since almost half of all companies in China have P/E ratios under 29x and even P/E's lower than 18x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
For instance, JinXianDai Information IndustryLtd's receding earnings in recent times would have to be some food for thought. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on JinXianDai Information IndustryLtd will help you shine a light on its historical performance.
Is There Enough Growth For JinXianDai Information IndustryLtd?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as steep as JinXianDai Information IndustryLtd's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market decidedly.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 3.4% decrease to the company's bottom line. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk EPS by 71% in aggregate. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Comparing that to the market, which is predicted to deliver 36% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term earnings results is a sobering picture.
In light of this, it's alarming that JinXianDai Information IndustryLtd's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
What We Can Learn From JinXianDai Information IndustryLtd's P/E?
Even after such a strong price drop, JinXianDai Information IndustryLtd's P/E still exceeds the rest of the market significantly. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
Our examination of JinXianDai Information IndustryLtd revealed its shrinking earnings over the medium-term aren't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given the market is set to grow. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as this earnings performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
Having said that, be aware JinXianDai Information IndustryLtd is showing 4 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 2 of those are a bit unpleasant.
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.
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我们对JinxianDai Information IndustryLtd的调查显示,鉴于市场即将增长,其中期收益萎缩对其高市盈率的影响并没有我们预期的那么大。目前,我们对高市盈率越来越不满意,因为这种收益表现极不可能长期支撑这种积极情绪。如果最近的中期收益趋势继续下去,这将使股东的投资面临重大风险,潜在投资者面临支付过高溢价的危险。