The Goodyear Tire & Rubber Company's (NASDAQ:GT) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.2x may look like a pretty appealing investment opportunity when you consider close to half the companies in the Auto Components industry in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 0.8x. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.
What Does Goodyear Tire & Rubber's Recent Performance Look Like?
Goodyear Tire & Rubber hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining revenue compares poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth in their revenues on average. The P/S ratio is probably low because investors think this poor revenue performance isn't going to get any better. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.
Keen to find out how analysts think Goodyear Tire & Rubber's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.
Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Goodyear Tire & Rubber would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 3.6% decrease to the company's top line. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 63% overall rise in revenue, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the seven analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 0.3% each year over the next three years. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 17% each year, which is noticeably more attractive.
With this information, we can see why Goodyear Tire & Rubber is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.
The Key Takeaway
We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
We've established that Goodyear Tire & Rubber maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider industry, as expected. Shareholders' pessimism on the revenue prospects for the company seems to be the main contributor to the depressed P/S. The company will need a change of fortune to justify the P/S rising higher in the future.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with Goodyear Tire & Rubber, and understanding should be part of your investment process.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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