share_log

Credicorp (NYSE:BAP) Investors Are Sitting on a Loss of 16% If They Invested Five Years Ago

Credicorp (NYSE:BAP) Investors Are Sitting on a Loss of 16% If They Invested Five Years Ago

Credicorp(纽约证券交易所代码:BAP)投资者如果在五年前进行投资,将蒙受16%的损失
Simply Wall St ·  03/31 08:33

While it may not be enough for some shareholders, we think it is good to see the Credicorp Ltd. (NYSE:BAP) share price up 13% in a single quarter. But over the last half decade, the stock has not performed well. In fact, the share price is down 31%, which falls well short of the return you could get by buying an index fund.

尽管这对某些股东来说可能还不够,但我们认为看到Credicorp Ltd.(纽约证券交易所代码:BAP)的股价在单季度内上涨13%是件好事。但是在过去的五年中,该股表现不佳。实际上,股价下跌了31%,远低于购买指数基金所能获得的回报。

Since shareholders are down over the longer term, lets look at the underlying fundamentals over the that time and see if they've been consistent with returns.

由于从长远来看,股东会下跌,让我们来看看那段时间的潜在基本面,看看它们与回报是否一致。

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

在他的文章中 格雷厄姆和多兹维尔的超级投资者 沃伦·巴菲特描述了股价如何并不总是合理地反映企业的价值。研究市场情绪如何随着时间的推移而变化的一种方法是研究公司股价与其每股收益(EPS)之间的相互作用。

During the unfortunate half decade during which the share price slipped, Credicorp actually saw its earnings per share (EPS) improve by 4.1% per year. So it doesn't seem like EPS is a great guide to understanding how the market is valuing the stock. Or possibly, the market was previously very optimistic, so the stock has disappointed, despite improving EPS.

在股价下滑的不幸五年中,Credicorp的每股收益(EPS)实际上每年增长4.1%。因此,每股收益似乎不是了解市场如何估值股票的好指南。或者,市场此前可能非常乐观,因此尽管每股收益有所改善,但该股还是令人失望。

Based on these numbers, we'd venture that the market may have been over-optimistic about forecast growth, half a decade ago. Having said that, we might get a better idea of what's going on with the stock by looking at other metrics.

根据这些数字,我们敢说,五年前,市场可能对预测的增长过于乐观。话虽如此,我们可以通过查看其他指标来更好地了解该股的情况。

Revenue is actually up 9.4% over the time period. So it seems one might have to take closer look at the fundamentals to understand why the share price languishes. After all, there may be an opportunity.

在此期间,收入实际上增长了9.4%。因此,看来人们可能必须仔细研究基本面才能理解股价下跌的原因。毕竟,可能有机会。

The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

下图显示了收入和收入随时间推移的跟踪情况(如果您点击图片,可以看到更多细节)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NYSE:BAP Earnings and Revenue Growth March 31st 2024
纽约证券交易所:BAP 收益和收入增长 2024 年 3 月 31 日

We know that Credicorp has improved its bottom line over the last three years, but what does the future have in store? Take a more thorough look at Credicorp's financial health with this free report on its balance sheet.

我们知道Credicorp在过去三年中提高了利润,但是未来会怎样?通过这份免费的资产负债表报告,更全面地了解Credicorp的财务状况。

What About Dividends?

分红呢?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. In the case of Credicorp, it has a TSR of -16% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

在考虑投资回报时,重要的是要考虑两者之间的区别 股东总回报 (TSR) 和 股价回报。股东总回报率包含任何分拆或贴现资本筹集的价值,以及任何股息,前提是股息是再投资的。因此,对于支付丰厚股息的公司来说,股东总回报率通常远高于股价回报率。就Credicorp而言,在过去的5年中,其股东回报率为-16%。这超过了我们之前提到的其股价回报率。而且,猜测股息支付在很大程度上解释了这种分歧是没有好处的!

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

We're pleased to report that Credicorp shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 35% over one year. Of course, that includes the dividend. There's no doubt those recent returns are much better than the TSR loss of 3% per year over five years. The long term loss makes us cautious, but the short term TSR gain certainly hints at a brighter future. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Consider risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Credicorp you should know about.

我们很高兴地向大家报告,Credicorp的股东在一年内获得了35%的总股东回报率。当然,这包括股息。毫无疑问,最近的回报远好于五年内每年3%的股东总收入损失。长期亏损使我们保持谨慎,但短期股东总回报率的增长无疑暗示着更光明的未来。尽管市场状况可能对股价产生的不同影响值得考虑,但还有其他因素更为重要。例如,考虑风险。每家公司都有它们,我们发现了一个你应该知道的Credicorp警告标志。

If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.

如果你想看看另一家公司——一家财务状况可能优异的公司——那么千万不要错过这份已经证明自己可以增加收益的公司的免费名单。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在美国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

对这篇文章有反馈吗?对内容感到担忧?直接联系我们。 或者,给编辑团队 (at) simplywallst.com 发送电子邮件。
Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
    抢沙发