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Haitong Securities (SHSE:600837) Investors Are Sitting on a Loss of 27% If They Invested Five Years Ago

Haitong Securities (SHSE:600837) Investors Are Sitting on a Loss of 27% If They Invested Five Years Ago

海通证券(SHSE: 600837)如果投资者在五年前进行投资,他们将蒙受27%的损失
Simply Wall St ·  03/11 01:28

For many, the main point of investing is to generate higher returns than the overall market. But in any portfolio, there will be mixed results between individual stocks. So we wouldn't blame long term Haitong Securities Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600837) shareholders for doubting their decision to hold, with the stock down 34% over a half decade.

对于许多人来说,投资的要点是产生比整个市场更高的回报。但是在任何投资组合中,个股之间的结果都会好坏参半。因此,我们不会责怪海通证券有限公司(SHSE: 600837)的长期股东怀疑他们的持股决定,该股在五年内下跌了34%。

It's worthwhile assessing if the company's economics have been moving in lockstep with these underwhelming shareholder returns, or if there is some disparity between the two. So let's do just that.

值得评估的是,该公司的经济状况是否与这些令人难以置信的股东回报步调一致,或者两者之间是否存在一些差距。所以我们就这么做吧。

While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

尽管一些人继续教导高效市场假说,但事实证明,市场是反应过度的动态系统,投资者并不总是理性的。研究市场情绪如何随着时间的推移而变化的一种方法是研究公司股价与其每股收益(EPS)之间的相互作用。

During the five years over which the share price declined, Haitong Securities' earnings per share (EPS) dropped by 6.8% each year. This change in EPS is reasonably close to the 8% average annual decrease in the share price. This suggests that market participants have not changed their view of the company all that much. Rather, the share price change has reflected changes in earnings per share.

在股价下跌的五年中,海通证券的每股收益(EPS)每年下降6.8%。每股收益的变化相当接近股价年均下降8%。这表明市场参与者对公司的看法并没有太大改变。相反,股价变化反映了每股收益的变化。

The image below shows how EPS has tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

下图显示了 EPS 在一段时间内的跟踪情况(如果你点击图片,你可以看到更多细节)。

earnings-per-share-growth
SHSE:600837 Earnings Per Share Growth March 11th 2024
SHSE: 600837 每股收益增长 2024 年 3 月 11 日

We're pleased to report that the CEO is remunerated more modestly than most CEOs at similarly capitalized companies. But while CEO remuneration is always worth checking, the really important question is whether the company can grow earnings going forward. This free interactive report on Haitong Securities' earnings, revenue and cash flow is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

我们很高兴地向大家报告,首席执行官的薪酬比资本相似公司的大多数首席执行官要低得多。但是,尽管首席执行官的薪酬总是值得检查的,但真正重要的问题是公司未来能否增加收益。如果你想进一步调查海通证券的收益、收入和现金流,这份关于海通证券收益、收入和现金流的免费互动报告是一个很好的起点。

What About Dividends?

分红呢?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. As it happens, Haitong Securities' TSR for the last 5 years was -27%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

重要的是要考虑任何给定股票的股东总回报率和股价回报率。基于股息再投资的假设,股东总回报率纳入了任何分拆或贴现资本筹集的价值以及任何股息。可以说,股东总回报率更全面地描述了股票产生的回报。碰巧的是,海通证券过去5年的股东总回报率为-27%,超过了前面提到的股价回报率。而且,猜测股息支付在很大程度上解释了这种分歧是没有好处的!

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

It's nice to see that Haitong Securities shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 4.2% over the last year. That's including the dividend. That certainly beats the loss of about 5% per year over the last half decade. This makes us a little wary, but the business might have turned around its fortunes. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Haitong Securities that you should be aware of before investing here.

很高兴看到海通证券股东去年获得了 4.2% 的股东总回报率。这包括股息。这无疑超过了过去五年中每年约5%的损失。这使我们有点警惕,但该企业可能已经扭转了命运。我发现将长期股价视为业务绩效的代表非常有趣。但是,要真正获得见解,我们还需要考虑其他信息。例如,我们发现了海通证券的三个警告信号,在投资海通证券之前,您应该注意这些信号。

If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.

如果你想看看另一家公司——一家财务状况可能优异的公司——那么千万不要错过这份已经证明自己可以增加收益的公司的免费名单。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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