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Investing in Commercial Metals (NYSE:CMC) Five Years Ago Would Have Delivered You a 255% Gain

Investing in Commercial Metals (NYSE:CMC) Five Years Ago Would Have Delivered You a 255% Gain

五年前投资商业金属(纽约证券交易所代码:CMC)将为您带来255%的收益
Simply Wall St ·  02/17 07:10

When you buy a stock there is always a possibility that it could drop 100%. But on a lighter note, a good company can see its share price rise well over 100%. For example, the Commercial Metals Company (NYSE:CMC) share price has soared 224% in the last half decade. Most would be very happy with that. It's also good to see the share price up 21% over the last quarter. But this could be related to the strong market, which is up 12% in the last three months.

当你买入股票时,它总是有可能下跌100%。但简而言之,一家好的公司的股价可以上涨超过100%。例如,商业金属公司(纽约证券交易所代码:CMC)的股价在过去五年中飙升了224%。大多数人会对此感到非常满意。股价在上个季度上涨了21%也是件好事。但这可能与强劲的市场有关,市场在过去三个月中上涨了12%。

Let's take a look at the underlying fundamentals over the longer term, and see if they've been consistent with shareholders returns.

让我们来看看长期的基本面,看看它们是否与股东的回报一致。

To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

引用巴菲特的话说:“船只将在世界各地航行,但Flat Earth Society将蓬勃发展。市场上的价格和价值之间将继续存在巨大差异...”通过比较每股收益(EPS)和一段时间内的股价变化,我们可以了解投资者对公司的态度是如何随着时间的推移而变化的。

Over half a decade, Commercial Metals managed to grow its earnings per share at 45% a year. The EPS growth is more impressive than the yearly share price gain of 26% over the same period. So it seems the market isn't so enthusiastic about the stock these days. The reasonably low P/E ratio of 8.27 also suggests market apprehension.

在过去的五年中,商业金属成功地将每股收益增长到每年45%。每股收益的增长比同期26%的年股价增长更令人印象深刻。因此,如今市场似乎对该股并不那么热情。相当低的市盈率为8.27,也表明了市场的担忧。

The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

下图描述了 EPS 随着时间的推移是如何变化的(点击图片可以看到确切的值)。

earnings-per-share-growth
NYSE:CMC Earnings Per Share Growth February 17th 2024
纽约证券交易所:CMC每股收益增长 2024年2月17日

We like that insiders have been buying shares in the last twelve months. Having said that, most people consider earnings and revenue growth trends to be a more meaningful guide to the business. It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on Commercial Metals' earnings, revenue and cash flow.

像我们一样,内部人士在过去的十二个月中一直在购买股票。话虽如此,大多数人认为收益和收入增长趋势是更有意义的业务指南。可能值得一看我们关于商业金属收益、收入和现金流的免费报告。

What About Dividends?

分红呢?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. In the case of Commercial Metals, it has a TSR of 255% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

除了衡量股价回报率外,投资者还应考虑股东总回报率(TSR)。尽管股价回报率仅反映股价的变化,但股东总回报率包括股息的价值(假设已进行再投资)以及任何折扣融资或分拆的收益。可以说,股东总回报率更全面地描述了股票产生的回报。就商业金属而言,在过去5年的股东总回报率为255%。这超过了我们之前提到的其股价回报率。因此,该公司支付的股息提高了 股东回报。

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

While the broader market gained around 23% in the last year, Commercial Metals shareholders lost 2.3% (even including dividends). Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. On the bright side, long term shareholders have made money, with a gain of 29% per year over half a decade. It could be that the recent sell-off is an opportunity, so it may be worth checking the fundamental data for signs of a long term growth trend. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Commercial Metals better, we need to consider many other factors. For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Commercial Metals (1 is a bit unpleasant!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

尽管去年整体市场上涨了约23%,但商业金属股东损失了2.3%(甚至包括股息)。即使是优质股票的股价有时也会下跌,但我们希望在过于感兴趣之前看到企业基本指标的改善。好的一面是,长期股东赚了钱,在过去的五年中,每年增长29%。最近的抛售可能是一个机会,因此可能值得查看基本面数据以寻找长期增长趋势的迹象。长期跟踪股价表现总是很有意思的。但是,为了更好地了解商业金属,我们需要考虑许多其他因素。例如,我们发现了 3 个商用金属警告标志(1 个有点不愉快!)在这里投资之前,您应该注意这一点。

Commercial Metals is not the only stock that insiders are buying. For those who like to find winning investments this free list of growing companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.

商业金属并不是内部人士唯一买入的股票。对于那些喜欢寻找获利投资的人来说,这份最近有内幕收购的成长型公司的免费清单可能就是入场券。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在美国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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