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The Five-year Shareholder Returns and Company Earnings Persist Lower as China Merchants Port Holdings (HKG:144) Stock Falls a Further 5.3% in Past Week

The Five-year Shareholder Returns and Company Earnings Persist Lower as China Merchants Port Holdings (HKG:144) Stock Falls a Further 5.3% in Past Week

由于招商局港口控股(HKG: 144)股价在过去一周进一步下跌5.3%,五年股东回报率和公司收益持续走低
Simply Wall St ·  02/05 18:05

Ideally, your overall portfolio should beat the market average. But every investor is virtually certain to have both over-performing and under-performing stocks. So we wouldn't blame long term China Merchants Port Holdings Company Limited (HKG:144) shareholders for doubting their decision to hold, with the stock down 41% over a half decade. Even worse, it's down 10% in about a month, which isn't fun at all. However, we note the price may have been impacted by the broader market, which is down 5.0% in the same time period.

理想情况下,您的整体投资组合应超过市场平均水平。但是,几乎每个投资者都肯定会有表现过硬和表现不佳的股票。因此,我们不会责怪招商局港口控股有限公司(HKG: 144)的长期股东怀疑他们的持股决定,该股在五年内下跌了41%。更糟糕的是,它在大约一个月内下降了10%,这一点都不好玩。但是,我们注意到价格可能受到大盘的影响,同期下跌了5.0%。

If the past week is anything to go by, investor sentiment for China Merchants Port Holdings isn't positive, so let's see if there's a mismatch between fundamentals and the share price.

如果说过去一周有意义的话,投资者对招商局港口控股的情绪并不乐观,所以让我们看看基本面和股价之间是否存在不匹配的情况。

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

在他的文章中 格雷厄姆和多兹维尔的超级投资者 沃伦·巴菲特描述了股价如何并不总是合理地反映企业的价值。考虑市场对公司的看法发生了怎样的变化的一种不完美但简单的方法是将每股收益(EPS)的变化与股价走势进行比较。

During the five years over which the share price declined, China Merchants Port Holdings' earnings per share (EPS) dropped by 9.6% each year. In this case, the EPS change is really very close to the share price drop of 10% a year. This implies that the market has had a fairly steady view of the stock. Rather, the share price change has reflected changes in earnings per share.

在股价下跌的五年中,招商局港口控股的每股收益(EPS)每年下降9.6%。在这种情况下,每股收益的变化实际上非常接近股价每年下降10%。这意味着市场对该股的看法相当稳定。相反,股价变化反映了每股收益的变化。

The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

下图描述了 EPS 随着时间的推移是如何变化的(点击图片可以看到确切的值)。

earnings-per-share-growth
SEHK:144 Earnings Per Share Growth February 5th 2024
SEHK: 144 每股收益增长 2024 年 2 月 5 日

We're pleased to report that the CEO is remunerated more modestly than most CEOs at similarly capitalized companies. It's always worth keeping an eye on CEO pay, but a more important question is whether the company will grow earnings throughout the years. This free interactive report on China Merchants Port Holdings' earnings, revenue and cash flow is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

我们很高兴地向大家报告,首席执行官的薪酬比资本相似公司的大多数首席执行官要适中。始终值得关注首席执行官的薪酬,但更重要的问题是公司多年来是否会增加收益。如果你想进一步调查该股,这份关于招商港口控股收益、收入和现金流的免费互动报告是一个很好的起点。

What About Dividends?

分红呢?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. We note that for China Merchants Port Holdings the TSR over the last 5 years was -16%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

除了衡量股价回报率外,投资者还应考虑股东总回报率(TSR)。股东总回报率是一种回报计算方法,它考虑了现金分红的价值(假设收到的任何股息都经过再投资)以及任何贴现资本筹集和分拆的计算价值。因此,对于支付丰厚股息的公司来说,股东总回报率通常远高于股价回报率。我们注意到,招商局港口控股在过去5年的股东总回报率为-16%,好于上述股价回报率。因此,该公司支付的股息提高了 股东回报。

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

While it's never nice to take a loss, China Merchants Port Holdings shareholders can take comfort that , including dividends,their trailing twelve month loss of 6.1% wasn't as bad as the market loss of around 19%. Given the total loss of 3% per year over five years, it seems returns have deteriorated in the last twelve months. While some investors do well specializing in buying companies that are struggling (but nonetheless undervalued), don't forget that Buffett said that 'turnarounds seldom turn'. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand China Merchants Port Holdings better, we need to consider many other factors. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for China Merchants Port Holdings you should be aware of.

尽管亏损从来都不是一件好事,但招商局港口控股的股东可以放心,包括股息在内,他们过去十二个月的6.1%的亏损没有19%左右的市场亏损那么严重。鉴于五年内每年的总损失为3%,在过去的十二个月中,回报率似乎有所下降。尽管一些投资者在专门收购陷入困境(但仍被低估)的公司方面表现良好,但不要忘记巴菲特说过 “转机很少会转机”。长期跟踪股价表现总是很有意思的。但是,要更好地了解招商局港口控股,我们需要考虑许多其他因素。一个很好的例子:我们发现了招商局港口控股的两个警告信号,你应该注意了。

We will like China Merchants Port Holdings better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of growing companies with considerable, recent, insider buying.

如果我们看到一些大规模的内幕收购,我们会更喜欢招商局港口控股公司。在我们等待的同时,请查看这份免费清单,列出了最近有大量内幕收购的成长型公司。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在香港交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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