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The 12% Return This Week Takes Sun Hung Kai's (HKG:86) Shareholders Five-year Gains to 2.2%

The 12% Return This Week Takes Sun Hung Kai's (HKG:86) Shareholders Five-year Gains to 2.2%

本周12%的回报率使新鸿基(HKG: 86)股东的五年收益达到2.2%
Simply Wall St ·  01/02 18:11

It's nice to see the Sun Hung Kai & Co. Limited (HKG:86) share price up 12% in a week. But that doesn't change the fact that the returns over the last five years have been less than pleasing. After all, the share price is down 31% in that time, significantly under-performing the market.

很高兴见到新鸿基公司。限量版(HKG: 86)股价在一周内上涨了12%。但这并不能改变这样一个事实,即过去五年的回报并不令人满意。毕竟,当时股价下跌了31%,表现大大低于市场。

While the last five years has been tough for Sun Hung Kai shareholders, this past week has shown signs of promise. So let's look at the longer term fundamentals and see if they've been the driver of the negative returns.

尽管过去五年对新鸿基股东来说是艰难的,但过去一周显示出希望的迹象。因此,让我们来看看长期基本面,看看它们是否是负回报的驱动力。

Check out our latest analysis for Sun Hung Kai

查看我们对新鸿基的最新分析

While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

尽管一些人继续教导高效市场假说,但事实证明,市场是反应过度的动态系统,投资者并不总是理性的。考虑市场对公司的看法如何变化的一种不完美但简单的方法是将每股收益(EPS)的变化与股价变动进行比较。

Sun Hung Kai has made a profit in the past. However, it made a loss in the last twelve months, suggesting profit may be an unreliable metric at this stage. Other metrics may better explain the share price move.

新鸿基过去曾盈利。但是,它在过去十二个月中出现了亏损,这表明现阶段的利润可能是一个不可靠的指标。其他指标可以更好地解释股价走势。

The steady dividend doesn't really explain why the share price is down. It's not immediately clear to us why the stock price is down but further research might provide some answers.

稳定的股息并不能真正解释股价下跌的原因。我们目前尚不清楚为什么股价下跌,但进一步的研究可能会提供一些答案。

The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

下图显示了收入和收入在一段时间内的跟踪情况(如果你点击图片,你可以看到更多的细节)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SEHK:86 Earnings and Revenue Growth January 2nd 2024
SEHK: 86 2024年1月2日收益及收入增长

It's probably worth noting we've seen significant insider buying in the last quarter, which we consider a positive. That said, we think earnings and revenue growth trends are even more important factors to consider. If you are thinking of buying or selling Sun Hung Kai stock, you should check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

可能值得注意的是,我们在上个季度看到了大量的内幕买盘,我们认为这是积极的。话虽如此,我们认为收益和收入增长趋势是更重要的考虑因素。如果您正在考虑买入或卖出新鸿基股票,则应查看这份显示分析师利润预测的免费报告。

What About Dividends?

那股息呢?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. We note that for Sun Hung Kai the TSR over the last 5 years was 2.2%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

重要的是要考虑任何给定股票的股东总回报率和股价回报率。基于股息再投资的假设,股东总回报率纳入了任何分拆或贴现资本筹集的价值以及任何股息。可以说,股东总回报率更全面地描述了股票产生的回报。我们注意到,对于新鸿基而言,过去5年的股东总回报率为2.2%,好于上述股价回报率。而且,猜测股息支付在很大程度上解释了这种分歧是没有好处的!

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

While it's certainly disappointing to see that Sun Hung Kai shares lost 7.6% throughout the year, that wasn't as bad as the market loss of 8.9%. Of course, the long term returns are far more important and the good news is that over five years, the stock has returned 0.4% for each year. It could be that the business is just facing some short term problems, but shareholders should keep a close eye on the fundamentals. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Sun Hung Kai better, we need to consider many other factors. Even so, be aware that Sun Hung Kai is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...

尽管看到新鸿基股价全年下跌7.6%肯定令人失望,但这还不如8.9%的市场跌幅那么糟糕。当然,长期回报要重要得多,好消息是,在过去的五年中,该股每年的回报率为0.4%。可能是该企业正面临一些短期问题,但股东应密切关注基本面。长期跟踪股价表现总是很有意思的。但是,为了更好地了解新鸿基,我们需要考虑许多其他因素。即便如此,请注意,新鸿基在我们的投资分析中显示了1个警告信号,您应该知道...

Sun Hung Kai is not the only stock that insiders are buying. For those who like to find winning investments this free list of growing companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.

新鸿基并不是内部人士唯一买入的股票。对于那些喜欢寻找获利投资的人来说,这份最近有内幕收购的成长型公司的免费清单可能就是入场券。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在香港交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报率。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St 的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并非旨在提供财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。华尔街只是没有持有上述任何股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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