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Noel Gifts International Ltd (SGX:543) Stock Rockets 40% As Investors Are Less Pessimistic Than Expected
Noel Gifts International Ltd (SGX:543) Stock Rockets 40% As Investors Are Less Pessimistic Than Expected
Noel Gifts International Ltd (SGX:543) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 40% share price jump in the last month. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 41% in the last year.
After such a large jump in price, when almost half of the companies in Singapore's Specialty Retail industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 0.7x, you may consider Noel Gifts International as a stock probably not worth researching with its 1.5x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
View our latest analysis for Noel Gifts International
How Noel Gifts International Has Been Performing
For example, consider that Noel Gifts International's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. One possibility is that the P/S is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Noel Gifts International will help you shine a light on its historical performance.Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as high as Noel Gifts International's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 10% decrease to the company's top line. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 6.8% in aggregate. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 13% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.
In light of this, it's alarming that Noel Gifts International's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Bottom Line On Noel Gifts International's P/S
Noel Gifts International shares have taken a big step in a northerly direction, but its P/S is elevated as a result. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
We've established that Noel Gifts International currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. With a revenue decline on investors' minds, the likelihood of a souring sentiment is quite high which could send the P/S back in line with what we'd expect. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.
Plus, you should also learn about these 4 warning signs we've spotted with Noel Gifts International.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
上个月,Noel Gifts International Ltd(新加坡证券交易所股票代码:543)股东的耐心得到了回报,股价上涨了40%。再往前看,该股去年上涨了41%,令人鼓舞。
在价格大幅上涨之后,当新加坡专业零售行业将近一半的公司的市销比(或 “市销率”)低于0.7倍时,你可以将Noel Gifts International视为一只市销率为1.5倍的股票,可能不值得研究。但是,市销率之高可能是有原因的,需要进一步调查以确定其是否合理。
查看我们对Noel Gifts International的最新分析
Noel Gifts International 的表现如何
例如,假设Noel Gifts International最近由于收入下降而财务表现不佳。一种可能性是市销率居高不下,因为投资者认为公司在不久的将来仍将做足以跑赢整个行业。但是,如果不是这样,投资者可能会陷入为股票支付过多费用的困境。
想全面了解公司的收益、收入和现金流吗?然后,我们关于Noel Gifts International的免费报告将帮助您了解其历史表现。收入预测与高市销率相匹配吗?
只有当公司的增长有望超越行业时,你才能真正放心地看到像Noel Gifts International一样高的市销率。
回顾过去,去年的公司收入下降了10%,令人沮丧。过去三年看起来也不太好,因为该公司的总收入减少了6.8%。因此,可以公平地说,最近的收入增长对公司来说是不可取的。
与该行业相比,该行业预计将在未来12个月内实现13%的增长,根据最近的中期收入业绩,该公司的下行势头令人发人深省。
有鉴于此,令人震惊的是,Noel Gifts International的市销率高于其他多数公司。显然,该公司的许多投资者比最近所表示的要看涨得多,他们不愿意以任何价格抛售股票。只有最大胆的人才会假设这些价格是可持续的,因为近期收入趋势的延续最终可能会严重压制股价。
Noel Gifts International 市销率的底线
Noel Gifts International的股票向北方向迈出了一大步,但其市销率因此上升。尽管市销率不应该成为决定你是否买入股票的决定性因素,但它是衡量收入预期的有力晴雨表。
我们已经确定,Noel Gifts International目前的市销率远高于预期,因为其最近的收入在中期内有所下降。随着投资者认为收入下降,市场情绪恶化的可能性相当高,这可能会使市销售率恢复到我们的预期水平。除非近期中期情况有所改善,否则预计公司股东将面临艰难时期是没有错的。
另外,你还应该了解我们在Noel Gifts International上发现的这4个警告信号。
如果你喜欢实力雄厚的公司盈利,那么你会想看看这份以低市盈率(但已证明可以增加收益)的有趣公司的免费名单。
对这篇文章有反馈吗?对内容感到担忧?直接联系我们。 或者,给编辑团队 (at) simplywallst.com 发送电子邮件。
Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。
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moomoo是Moomoo Technologies Inc.公司提供的金融信息和交易应用程序。
在美国,moomoo上的投资产品和服务由Moomoo Financial Inc.提供,一家受美国证券交易委员会(SEC)监管的持牌主体。 Moomoo Financial Inc.是金融业监管局(FINRA)和证券投资者保护公司(SIPC)的成员。
在新加坡,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.提供,该公司受新加坡金融管理局(MAS)监管(牌照号码︰CMS101000) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMS) ,持有财务顾问豁免(Exempt Financial Adviser)资质。本内容未经新加坡金融管理局的审查。
在澳大利亚,moomoo上的金融产品和服务是通过Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd提供,该公司是受澳大利亚证券和投资委员会(ASIC)监管的澳大利亚金融服务许可机构(AFSL No. 224663)。请阅读并理解我们的《金融服务指南》、《条款与条件》、《隐私政策》和其他披露文件,这些文件可在我们的网站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中获取。
在加拿大,通过moomoo应用提供的仅限订单执行的券商服务由Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.提供,并受加拿大投资监管机构(CIRO)监管。
在马来西亚,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,该公司受马来西亚证券监督委员会(SC)监管(牌照号码︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMSL) 。本内容未经马来西亚证券监督委员会的审查。
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