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Yau Lee Holdings' (HKG:406) Solid Profits Have Weak Fundamentals

Yau Lee Holdings' (HKG:406) Solid Profits Have Weak Fundamentals

友利控股 (HKG: 406) 稳健的利润基本面疲软
Simply Wall St ·  2023/12/19 18:35

Yau Lee Holdings Limited's (HKG:406) robust earnings report didn't manage to move the market for its stock. Our analysis suggests that this might be because shareholders have noticed some concerning underlying factors.

友利控股有限公司(HKG: 406)强劲的收益报告未能推动其股票的市场。我们的分析表明,这可能是因为股东已经注意到了一些相关的潜在因素。

See our latest analysis for Yau Lee Holdings

查看我们对友利控股的最新分析

earnings-and-revenue-history
SEHK:406 Earnings and Revenue History December 19th 2023
SEHK: 406 2023 年 12 月 19 日的收益和收入记录

Zooming In On Yau Lee Holdings' Earnings

放大友利控股的收益

One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

用于衡量公司将其利润转化为自由现金流(FCF)的效果的一个关键财务比率是应计比率。为了获得应计比率,我们首先从一段时间内的利润中减去FCF,然后将该数字除以该期间的平均运营资产。你可以将现金流的应计比率视为 “非FCF利润率”。

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.

这意味着负应计比率是一件好事,因为它表明该公司带来的自由现金流比其利润所暗示的还要多。尽管应计比率为正并不是问题,表明非现金利润达到一定水平,但高应计比率可以说是一件坏事,因为它表明票面利润与现金流不匹配。值得注意的是,有一些学术证据表明,一般而言,高应计比率对短期利润来说是个坏兆头。

Over the twelve months to September 2023, Yau Lee Holdings recorded an accrual ratio of 0.21. Unfortunately, that means its free cash flow fell significantly short of its reported profits. Even though it reported a profit of HK$65.5m, a look at free cash flow indicates it actually burnt through HK$404m in the last year. We saw that FCF was HK$111m a year ago though, so Yau Lee Holdings has at least been able to generate positive FCF in the past. One positive for Yau Lee Holdings shareholders is that it's accrual ratio was significantly better last year, providing reason to believe that it may return to stronger cash conversion in the future. Shareholders should look for improved cashflow relative to profit in the current year, if that is indeed the case.

在截至2023年9月的十二个月中,友利控股的应计比率为0.21。不幸的是,这意味着其自由现金流远低于其报告的利润。尽管该公司报告了6,550万港元的利润,但从自由现金流来看,它实际上在去年消耗了4.04亿港元。但是,我们看到一年前的FCF为1.11亿港元,因此友利控股过去至少能够产生正的FCF。对友利控股股东来说,一个积极因素是,去年的应计比率明显改善,这使我们有理由相信它未来可能会恢复更强劲的现金转换。如果确实如此,股东应寻求在本年度的现金流相对于利润的改善。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Yau Lee Holdings.

注意:我们始终建议投资者检查资产负债表的实力。点击此处查看我们对友利控股的资产负债表分析。

Our Take On Yau Lee Holdings' Profit Performance

我们对友利控股盈利表现的看法

Yau Lee Holdings' accrual ratio for the last twelve months signifies cash conversion is less than ideal, which is a negative when it comes to our view of its earnings. Because of this, we think that it may be that Yau Lee Holdings' statutory profits are better than its underlying earnings power. But on the bright side, its earnings per share have grown at an extremely impressive rate over the last three years. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing Yau Lee Holdings at this point in time. When we did our research, we found 4 warning signs for Yau Lee Holdings (2 are a bit concerning!) that we believe deserve your full attention.

友利控股过去十二个月的应计比率表明现金转换率不理想,就我们对收益的看法而言,这是负数。因此,我们认为友利控股的法定利润可能好于其基础盈利能力。但好的一面是,其每股收益在过去三年中以极其惊人的速度增长。归根结底,如果你想正确地了解公司,必须考虑的不仅仅是上述因素。因此,尽管收益质量很重要,但考虑友利控股目前面临的风险同样重要。当我们进行研究时,我们发现了友利控股的4个警告信号(2个有点令人担忧!)我们认为值得你全神贯注。

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Yau Lee Holdings' profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

这份报告只考虑了揭示友利控股利润性质的单一因素。但是,还有很多其他方法可以让你对公司的看法。有些人认为高股本回报率是优质业务的好兆头。虽然可能需要你进行一些研究,但你可能会发现这份免费收集的拥有高股本回报率的公司,或者这份内部人士正在购买的股票清单很有用。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St 的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并非旨在提供财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。华尔街只是没有持有上述任何股票的头寸。

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