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The One-year Shareholder Returns and Company Earnings Persist Lower as Community Bank System (NYSE:CBU) Stock Falls a Further 3.0% in Past Week

The One-year Shareholder Returns and Company Earnings Persist Lower as Community Bank System (NYSE:CBU) Stock Falls a Further 3.0% in Past Week

由于社区银行系统(纽约证券交易所代码:CBU)股票在过去一周进一步下跌3.0%,一年期股东回报率和公司收益持续走低
Simply Wall St ·  2023/10/14 09:23

Passive investing in an index fund is a good way to ensure your own returns roughly match the overall market. Active investors aim to buy stocks that vastly outperform the market - but in the process, they risk under-performance. Unfortunately the Community Bank System, Inc. (NYSE:CBU) share price slid 35% over twelve months. That's disappointing when you consider the market returned 21%. Even if shareholders bought some time ago, they wouldn't be particularly happy: the stock is down 28% in three years.

被动投资指数基金是确保你自己的回报与整体市场大致匹配的好方法。积极投资者的目标是买入表现远远好于大盘的股票--但在这个过程中,他们面临表现不佳的风险。不幸的是,社区银行系统公司(纽约证券交易所代码:CBU)股价在12个月内下滑了35%。当你考虑到市场回报率为21%时,这是令人失望的。即使股东在一段时间前买入股票,他们也不会特别高兴:该股在三年内下跌了28%。

If the past week is anything to go by, investor sentiment for Community Bank System isn't positive, so let's see if there's a mismatch between fundamentals and the share price.

如果以过去一周为标准,投资者对社区银行系统的情绪并不乐观,所以让我们看看基本面和股价之间是否存在错配。

Check out our latest analysis for Community Bank System

查看我们对社区银行系统的最新分析

To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

本杰明·格雷厄姆(Benjamin Graham)的原话是:短期内,市场是一台投票机,但从长远来看,它是一台称重机。一种不完美但简单的方法来考虑市场对一家公司的看法是如何改变的,那就是将每股收益(EPS)的变化与股价走势进行比较。

Unfortunately Community Bank System reported an EPS drop of 11% for the last year. The share price decline of 35% is actually more than the EPS drop. So it seems the market was too confident about the business, a year ago.

不幸的是,社区银行系统报告去年每股收益下降了11%。股价35%的跌幅其实比每股收益的跌幅还要大。因此,一年前,市场似乎对这项业务过于自信。

You can see below how EPS has changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

您可以在下面看到EPS是如何随着时间的推移而变化的(通过单击图像来了解确切的值)。

earnings-per-share-growth
NYSE:CBU Earnings Per Share Growth October 14th 2023
纽约证券交易所:CBU每股收益增长2023年10月14日

It's good to see that there was some significant insider buying in the last three months. That's a positive. On the other hand, we think the revenue and earnings trends are much more meaningful measures of the business. Dive deeper into the earnings by checking this interactive graph of Community Bank System's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

很高兴看到,在过去的三个月里,出现了一些重大的内幕收购。这是一个积极的消息。另一方面,我们认为收入和收益趋势是衡量业务的更有意义的指标。通过查看社区银行系统的收益、收入和现金流的互动图表,更深入地了解收益。

What About Dividends?

那股息呢?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. As it happens, Community Bank System's TSR for the last 1 year was -32%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

在考察投资回报时,重要的是要考虑到股东总回报(TSR)和股价回报。TSR是一种回报计算,计入了现金股息的价值(假设收到的任何股息都进行了再投资),以及任何贴现融资和剥离的计算价值。因此,对于支付丰厚股息的公司来说,TSR往往比股价回报高得多。碰巧的是,社区银行系统最近一年的TSR为-32%,超过了前面提到的股价回报。而且,猜测股息支付在很大程度上解释了这种差异是没有好处的!

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

Community Bank System shareholders are down 32% for the year (even including dividends), but the market itself is up 21%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 4% over the last half decade. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. If you want to research this stock further, the data on insider buying is an obvious place to start. You can click here to see who has been buying shares - and the price they paid.

社区银行系统的股东今年下跌了32%(即使包括股息),但市场本身上涨了21%。即使是好股票的股价有时也会下跌,但我们希望在对企业产生太大兴趣之前,看到企业的基本指标有所改善。不幸的是,去年的表现可能预示着尚未解决的挑战,因为它比过去五年4%的年化损失更糟糕。我们意识到,罗斯柴尔德男爵曾说过,投资者应该“在街上血淋淋的时候买入”,但我们警告投资者,首先应该确保他们购买的是一家高质量的企业。如果你想进一步研究这只股票,内幕购买的数据显然是一个开始。你可以点击这里查看谁一直在买入股票--以及他们支付的价格。

Community Bank System is not the only stock insiders are buying. So take a peek at this free list of growing companies with insider buying.

社区银行系统并不是内部人士买入的唯一股票。所以让我们来看看这个免费内幕收购的成长型公司名单。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在美国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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